Horse Racing Tips: Saturday, October 31st

October 30th 2020, 9:34pm, By: Trent Crebbin

Derby Day Racing

One of the most popular race days on the calendar, we are looking forward to a big day of racing on Saturday for Victoria Derby Day. Trent Crebbin has plucked out his best bets from Flemington as well as a couple of plays from other metro meetings around the country in our Saturday horse racing preview and betting tips.

For further analysis, including race-by-race and runner-by-runner breakdowns and racing tips from Derby Day, head over to our dedicated horse racing site RacingBet at www.racingbet.com.au!

Flemington Race 2

I conceded (1) Personal is the horse to beat here, but the odds on offer for (8) Miravalle are too good to ignore. We’ve seen numerous times this Spring that the Sydney form has to be respected, and this filly is going to be right in the finish at a double figure quote. Last start in the group one Spring Champion she settled 2nd last in run and was flushed out early and very wide by a horse shifting out in front of her. She still ran on nicely for 6th behind the dominant Oaks favourite Montefilia, beating home a leading VRC Derby chance in Cherry Tortoni. Unlike Personal, she’s already had the run at 2000m and will definitely get the distance. She’ll get back again from a wide barrier, but Willo will present her at the right time and ideally try to follow Olly on the favourite. I think she’ll go very close here and shorten drastically for the Oaks on Thursday.

 

 

Flemington Race 3

Getting back to Flemington looks to be the key for (9) Octane. He was an impressive winner over 1000m three starts ago, and his run last start in the group 2 Schillaci Stakes was outstanding at WFA level, beating home subsequent group one winner Hey Doc. He plummets in the weights down to 54kg, the low flying Jamie Kah keeps the ride and he draws beautifully out in barrier 7. If there’s one slight knock it would be that most of his form is over 1000/1100m, but I don’t think it’ll be a strongly run race and with the weight his turn of foot should get him home. The danger at odds is (2) Tactical Advantage, who wasn’t suited last start at Randwick when racing in restricted room. His one go down the straight was a comprehensive victory and he’s a big price at $23.>

TIP:

(9) Octane
$2.95

BET NOW AT PlayUp

Value: Tactical Advantage - $23 at TAB

Rosehill Race 6

With the abundance of rain predicted in Sydney, (3) Wu Gok is going to be hard to beat. His last couple of runs have been a bit below his best over 2400m and 2600m on good tracks, but the drop back to 2000m on a heavy track looks ideal. He’s 8 from 13 on heavy tracks, and his 2000m record reads 8: 2-2-1. His first two runs this prep, also on good tracks, were very solid, only beaten 2L and 2.5L in stronger races, and if he brings that form, he’s going to be very hard to run down.

Morphettville Race 8

Open race for the feature of the day, but if (2) Danon Roman brings his best, he’ll be hard to beat. He had his first start for the Hickmott camp at Murray Bridge and was posted wide on speed from barrier 15, finishing 6th. This is an easier race on paper, and second up last prep (with the Freedman stable), he won a decent race at Flemington coming from back in the field despite the leaders otherwise dominating the race. He draws much better in barrier 5 here, should have taken plenty of improvement from his first up run, Todd Pannell sticks dropping to 56kg and he should strike a good track with no rain predicted on the day. The danger looks to be (4) Andrea Mantegna coming off a Horsham Cup win. He’s racing very well and will be somewhere in the finish if Danon Roman isn’t at his best.

 

TAB

 

 

Doomben Race 6

Cairns cult hero (1) The Harrovian came to town last start and showed a tremendous will to win, getting up on the line. He has to carry 59kg on a heavy deck, but that won’t be a problem whatsoever. His one run on a heavy track was first up last prep, where he carried a whopping 65.5kg and bolted in by 2.8L. Strangely he’s never won from 3 attempts at the 1600m, but some of his best wins have been at 2000+ so the step up in distance will be ideal here, and he draws nicely in barrier 6. Compared to most of this field, he actually knows how to win races and that’s often underestimated - winners win and The Harrovian should be doing just that again.

TIPS

Horse Racing Tips: Wednesday, November 25th

Racing around the country today takes us to Sandown in Melbourne and Warwick Farm in Sydney, as well as Bunbury over in the west. Trent Crebbin has scoured the form and is back with his best bets for the day right here. read more

Esports Betting Tips: Tuesday, November 24th

Big night of esports coming up this Tuesday night and into Wednesday morning with a variety of different events on the card! Today we take a look at some of the key matchups from the EPIC League Division 2 as well as the CDA-FDC Professional Championship S2. read more

Champions League 2020-21: Matchday 4 Betting Tips

The Champions League continues this Wednesday and Thursday morning with a big 16 game slate! Spots in the second round are up for grabs and the fate of many teams will be decided in Matchday 4. See our preview and betting tips for the key matchups across the two days here. read more

ESports Betting Tips: Monday, November 23rd

Our Esports betting guru Michael Lee is back for his best bets from around the Esports world for Monday, November 23rd. Today, we head to the ESEA Advanced Season 35 Europe, as well as the Nine to Five Cup 6. read more

ARTICLES

Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best betting options in Australia. read more


Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


BLOGS

Top 5 Bowlers to Watch in BBL10

The countdown is on until the BBL10 season officially gets underway! We ranked our BBL10 top 5 batsmen to watch earlier in the week, and today we are doing the same for bowlers! Check out our BBL10 top 5 bowlers to watch, courtesy of Mr.Cricket, here. read more


BBL10 Teams: Predicted Starting Lineups

The BBL10 squads are pretty much finalised and the season is not far away! We've taken a look at the squads for each team, and put together our predicted starting lineups taking into consideration availability of Australian national players and the playing schedule of the international recruits. Check out our BBL10 team lineups here! read more


Top 5 Batsmen to Watch in BBL10

The Big Bash League season is just around the corner! In the lead up to BBL10, we will be taking a look at some of the key players who will be hoping to lead their teams to victory! Today, we go through the top five batsmen to watch in BBL10 read more


Top 3 Melbourne Cup Price Push Plays from Palmerbet

The team at Palmerbet take a look at three key chances for the 2020 Melbourne Cup as punters look to take advantage of the Palmerbet Price Push among 10+ other promos available for Palmerbet customers for the "Race That Stops The Nation" on Tuesday. read more