Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Monday, November 25th.
Three race meetings kick off the new week, with seven races at Ballina and Wagga and eight races at Wangaratta. Luke Krahe has highlighted his best bets for each meeting below!
(3) Kingly has been a little costly at his last three runs, placing when well in the market and seemingly having his chances to win. For that reason, I expect that he won’t be well backed so it may be best to monitor the market late as that will be when the Top Fluc should be. Two back at Lismore he got out past the 2000m for the first time, ran on well to grab a placing late. He was then at Grafton last time and well backed, lost his mid-field position in the run and chased hard but was no match for the winner. The key here is that he is coming back in trip and draws top get a great run one off the fence about mid-field. All he needs is the right horse to take him into it and he will finish best.
At the time of writing (Saturday afternoon) there were no prices out for this meeting, I thought that this son of Zoffany (3) Keen Power was going to be too short to bet straight out, but he has opened at $2.60 and at that price looks a fantastic bet. He has had three trials leading into this, winning the first two. The second of those was a gap job by almost 8 length sat the Gold Coast. The latest trial was also north of the border, he jumped well, eased, accelerated before the turn to open up a huge gap before being cuddled to the line. The horse that was stoked up and ran past hm late in that trial was Supergiant, he was backed as if there was no settling at the Gold Coast on debut and was a brilliant winner after sitting outside the speed. He looks to be well above average. Unless there is a mountain of money for one of the Edmonds trained runners who have trialed ok, this guy will win with a leg in the air.
The betting will tell us that it is a two-horse race between the top two saddlecloths, but I am extremely confident that (1) Ajyaal will be winning this, and I expect that there will be a truckload of money for him also. HE took a while to wind up when winning his maiden two back at Albury, once he got into full stride though he really hit the line well. He was at the same track last start in a BM66, sat third, one off the fence and showed great acceleration to put them away in a few strides for a comfortable win. The inside gate is a little concern, but traffic issues shouldn’t be a problem in the small field. He should sit behind the leader and go bang when asked. (2) The Chaplain is the other horse in the market, he was dominant winning an easier race from the back last time but was $5? Could not entertain the thought of taking shorter than that here when he will again be last in the run and goes from a senior jockey to a claim? The only way I can see him winning is if the pace slackens mid-race and he takes off from the back, assuming Ajyaal is caught up and loses momentum.
(2) Mayor Of Methul is worth a small each-way bet at the double figure odds, he was really good winning a 58 at Wodonga two starts back after being forced to sit three-wide without cover. He was plain last start and under the pump a long way out, happy to say that it was just a flat run and he is better than that. He maps to get the perfect sit on the leaders and hopefully takes off before the turn, I don’t want it turned into a sit and sprint where he can be vulnerable again. The sped looks to be out wide so I expect the tempo to be better than average for this grade of race.
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