Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Monday, June 29th.
The new week of horse racing kicks off with three meetings across Australia. Luke Krahe has focused in on the racing at Albury and Wangaratta and picked out his best bets for each meeting.
Check out his preview and betting tips below!
(1) Royal Fighter is going to go around a short-priced favourite in this, he can certainly win as he handles the conditions well and has a very good SP profile, but how big a start will he be giving? I think he has to be a drifter in the betting, I am going with (10) Tough Decision who should have the tactical advantage early. There doesn’t look a lot of early speed in the race and those that are likely to go forward are going to be big odds. Tough Decision is drawn well and gets the good weight relief, Heni Ede rides best when she is on the speed so expect her to be looking to land on the bunny. He has only placed once in 10 career starts so he is no “good thing” but if he can find the front, he will be hard to run down back in this type of maiden.
(3) Jack The Brumby looks the best of good things but there are certainly no spoils with the price, but you know what they say, any price a winner! The Nick Olive trained gelding debuted in a harder maiden at Canberra 10 days ago on a soft track, he showed good speed to lead. He controlled the race in front and kicked away early in the straight, he stuck on well to be run down narrowly with a big gap back to third. The heavy track looks the only query but he did handle the rain-affected ground at start one so I am assuming it will be sweet. The speed looks only moderate and the front looks there for him.
12 first-starters line-up to start the day at Wangaratta, I am interested in what the betting does with (8) Jacobe Queen. She has had three jump-outs this time in, the most recent of them at Mornington was the one that caught my eye. She jumped well and held the inside running in a line of three up front, after being clicked up early in the straight ran through the line to win easily. A replay can be found here. She didn’t wear the blinkers in that trial and interestingly gets them on for her debut today, hopefully if she jumps away well enough she will give them something to catch.
(1) Aristo Missile has the 18 barrier next to his name, should we be looking elsewhere?? No way, it just means we are going to get a better price! The Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig trained gelding debuted at Mornington three weeks ago, he was very solid in the betting and SP’d a $2.70 favourite. After settling outside the speed, he stuck on well all the way up the straight and was beaten the smallest margin in a blanket go. Usually those finishes can be a no-go zone as form references going forward, but the third horse across the line came out and won at Ballarat a week later very impressively. All the speed looks drawn wide, I think the perfect scenario will be if the other well fancied runner (11) Mini Boom goes across to lead and our pick can sit outside her, and will be too strong.
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