Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Monday, August 12th.
It's a new week of racing and Luke Krahe has picked out four selections to kick things off this afternoon. Check out his best bets for Goulburn and Pakenham below!
(1) Acquittal is still yet to win out of maiden grade but faces a severe drop in class into today’s Class One Handicap. He placed at Moruya resuming at flip-of-the-coin odds after having a tough wide run back in the field, he then went to the city 9 days ago for a Class Three Highway where he started well in the market around the 5/1 mark. He was handy to the speed but never closer than three or four wide without cover and was quickly under pressure in the straight, he didn’t respond and was beaten a long way. That continued his poor run when racing second-up, third-up however he has a win and a second from two runs. He gets the good weight relief with the 4kg claiming apprentice, a good gate and the blinkers come off. He only has to jump away with them and be ridden positively from the gate to be too good for this lot. I do expect however, that he will be a drifter in the market, so take him at SP or Best Tote.
(3) Drifter is from the Joe Pride yard, one of the great things with this stable is that you can bet with confidence if the money comes for them. Drifter won his maiden on the Acton track four starts back, was good at Gosford in a good form race following that run and has only been fair in two runs since. This stable can often do that, run well then put in a couple of howlers and get right back into form. Perfectly drawn, winkers on for the first time and a very winnable BM58 contest on a surface he has shown a liking to, if the money comes for him tomorrow, bet up.
This will look a race in two on paper and in the betting between (6) Frivolosophy and (10) Indiscretion. They have both shown potential in limited starts but I am happy to settle with the former. (6) Frivilosophy is a daughter of Tavistock that has had one start, that was back on the Sandown track in the late Summer. She showed good speed as she had done at the trials but was run down late over 1300m, a nice debut effort and her condition may have just given way at the back end. She resumes here over 6 furlongs, her first time on the synthetic but that looks the only question beside her. She has had a good hit-out at the Flemington jump-outs recently, she jumped well from a wide gate, landed on the bunny and was never out of second gear. She has the wide gate here which looks perfect, she can work across early and control the race from outside the leader. (10) Indiscretion has the fitness edge with all three career runs this prep, she will be giving the tactical advantage away early and may be left flat footed when the top pick kicks at the top of the straight.
(4) Vogue Empress has had two runs back from a spell and both of them here at the Pakenham synthetic, giving her the crucial experience that is a huge advantage over horses that have not raced here. Resuming at 58 level, she got well back before swinging wide and running on hard into second place. She then went up to 64-grade last time, was laying out throughout the race and well beaten pulling up with a throat issue. With the tongue tie off I am willing to forgive that run and her previous start showed she can handle the track. Back against the girls at 58 level it is a huge drop in class, she may just need a little luck off the inside as she will get back but if the splits appear, she will be finishing best.
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