The sandwich game on the Saturday slate in AFL Round 12 sees the Giants host the Tigers at ENGIE Stadium. The odds suggest this is going to be an extremely one-sided affair in favour of the home side, however there’s still plenty of value to be found in the key markets.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Giants vs Tigers below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
GWS vs Richmond Prediction & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 12
Orange Tsunami Needs to Build Momentum
The Greater Western Sydney Giants are navigating a period of frustrating inconsistency and will be desperate to build upon their recent victory as they host Richmond. Adam Kingsley's men have displayed flashes of their formidable best, as seen in their thrilling win over Geelong and a more recent triumph against Carlton. However, these have been punctuated by disappointing losses, including a concerning 34-point defeat to Fremantle in their last outing at ENGIE Stadium and another home loss to the Western Bulldogs prior to that. This makes their upcoming clash crucial for re-establishing their home ground as a fortress and stringing together a consistent run of form as they push for finals. Injuries to key midfielders have also tested their depth, making a commanding performance all the more important.
Another Big Test for Tiger Cubs
Richmond has arguably surpassed external pre-season expectations, showcasing a competitive spirit and a willingness to take the game on. While their win-loss record may not fully reflect it, the Tigers have been far from easy-beats, highlighted by a stunning come-from-behind victory against Carlton in their opening game and narrow wins over West Coast and the Suns. They have pushed more fancied opponents and demonstrated an ability to score quickly when their game clicks. However, they face another significant challenge against a Giants outfit eager to make a statement on their home turf. The Tigers' away form has been a concern, with a string of losses on the road, and they will need to bring their absolute best to trouble GWS.
Key Stats and Trends
Statistically, the Giants generally hold an edge in key areas such as disposals, inside 50s, and clearances when compared to the Tigers this season. GWS boasts a potent forward line, and when their midfield gets on top, they are difficult to contain. Head-to-head, recent encounters have been relatively evenly matched, with Richmond winning three of the past five meetings. However, the Giants secured a convincing 24-point victory in their most recent clash in 2024, and there’s now an even bigger gulf in class between the sides than there was on that day. One of the most compelling statistics in their recent history is the tendency for high-scoring affairs.
Goal Fest on the Cards? Here’s our GWS vs Richmond Tip
The past five matches between GWS and Richmond have all surpassed the total points line. Considering the Giants' offensive capabilities at home and Richmond's ability to contribute to a high-scoring contest, even if they are underdogs, history suggests another entertaining, end-to-end game. With the total points line currently set at 173.5 and good weather for footy forecasted, the expectation is that this encounter will once again see the scoreboard attendants kept busy and ultimately go over this mark.
Over 173.5 Points
$1.92 (1.5 Units)
GWS vs Richmond Player Prop Bet: Toby Evergreen
Our Best Player Prop: Toby Greene 3+ Goals
The Giants skipper had a poor 2024 season by his lofty standards but has responded this year with a great first half of the season. He kicked three goals against the Blues last weekend in his 250th and he gets an even easier matchup this Saturday. Greene has thrived against poor opposition recently, kicking 3+ goals in each of his last three matchups against teams in the bottom four. We expect this to be a high-scoring game and Greene should certainly get on the end of a few. On top of that, Greene has kicked 4, 3, 1, and 5 goals in his last four matches against the Tigers.
Toby Greene 3+ Goals
$2.50 (1 Unit)
GWS vs Richmond Same Game Multi
Jesse Hogan 4+ Goals: Hogan kicked four goals last week and seven goals just three games ago. He’s the reigning Coleman Medal winner for a reason and should be in for a big day against the lowly Tigers. He also kicked four against them last time they met.
Toby Greene 2+ Goals: For the reason mentioned above, I’m happy to include Greene in our Same Game Multi for a more conservative two goals. 13 in his last four games against this opposition.
Jacob Hopper 20+ Disposals: After an injury-riddled 2024, Hopper has put together some great consistent footy this season. He’s averaging over 26 disposals per game and is yet to dip below 20.
GWS vs Richmond Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday, 31st May
Time: 4:15pm AEST
Location: ENGIE Stadium, Sydney
Weather: 19 degrees, partly cloudy
Odds: GWS ($1.07) vs Richmond ($8.50)
Line: GWS –46.5
Points: 173.5
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Where to Watch GWS vs Richmond?
Watch the Giants vs Tigers match live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
Back in our GWS vs Richmond Tips at Dabble!
