Super Saturday in AFL Round 11 concludes with a fixture out west as the Fremantle Dockers host the Port Adelaide Power at Optus Stadium. Action gets underway at 8:10pm AEST, with the 10th placed Dockers looking to surge into the top eight with a win against the 15th placed Power.
We bring you our full match preview, best bet, prop bet, and Same Game Multi for the Dockers vs Power below, and if you’re keen to tail our tips, consider joining BoomBet for great odds!
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide Prediction & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 11
The Dockers being more Daring by Foot
Fremantle are riding a welcome wave of confidence, and it’s showing in the way they’re moving the footy. Their recent victories, particularly the stirring win on the road against the Giants, will have undoubtedly injected a palpable belief into the playing group. No longer are they solely reliant on a stoic, controlled game. We’re starting to see the Dockers take more calculated risks through the corridor, shifting the ball with greater dare and speed. This isn't reckless abandon, but a more assertive approach that aims to stretch opposition defences and give their forwards better looks. Their improved efficiency inside 50 and the willingness to change angles by foot are subtle but significant indicators of this evolving attacking mindset, a welcome sight for the Freo faithful.
Wheels falling off for the Power
Contrast the above with the current mood down at Alberton, and it’s a starkly different picture. The wheels appear to be wobbling, if not outright falling off, for Port Adelaide. Another heavy defeat has alarm bells ringing, and their once-vaunted ferocity seems to have dimmed considerably. They look a side struggling for answers, and the casualty ward certainly isn't helping matters. The news that dynamic midfielder Jason Horne-Francis is set for a stint on the sidelines with a hamstring injury is a bitter pill to swallow, robbing them of one of their genuine game-breakers and a crucial cog in their engine room. His absence will undoubtedly be felt, further compounding their recent woes.
Stats to Consider
Looking at the key numbers heading into this clash, they paint a telling picture that strongly favours the Dockers. A massive part of Fremantle's success this season has been on the back of elite pressure and their intercept game – they currently rank third for intercept possessions across the competition, averaging over 75 a match, and generate significant turnover from their forward half pressure. Contrast this with Port Adelaide's recent output, particularly on the road. The Power have managed an average of only 68 points in their last three away fixtures and have seen their clearance efficiency drop to just 45% in the past month, a figure likely to be further impacted by Horne-Francis's absence. Furthermore, Fremantle's ability to retain possession, boasting a +25 uncontested possession differential at home, against a Port side that has lost the contested possession count in four of their last five games, suggests the home side should control the tempo and starve the visitors of opportunities.
Dockers to Dominate: Here’s our Fremantle vs Port Adelaide Tip
Given Fremantle’s burgeoning self-belief, their more adventurous ball movement, and the significant advantage of playing on their home deck, it’s hard to see anything but a Dockers victory here. Port Adelaide, in their current state and missing key personnel, look up against it. We expect Fremantle to be far too good and comfortably account for the Power, covering the -19.5 spread in the process.
Fremantle –19.5
$1.90 (2.5 Units)
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide Player Prop Bet: Brayshaw Brilliance
Our Best Player Prop: Andrew Brayshaw 30+ Disposals
Andrew Brayshaw (Fremantle) has put together another strong season and continues to rack up the disposals each week. Despite getting a lot of attention from opposition taggers, he’s averaging over 28 disposals per game and that average is only going up on the back of recent performances. Brayshaw has collected 30+ disposals in five of his last six games including 30 and 34 over the past fortnight. On top of that, he’s had 30+ in two of his last three games against the Power, including 33 when they last met in Round 24, 2024. All signs lead towards another big night at the office for Brayshaw.
Andrew Brayshaw 30+ Disposals
$2.15 (1.5 Units)
Fremantle vs Port Adelaide: Same Game Multi
Fremantle to Win – As mentioned earlier, I just can’t see anything other than a Dockers win here considering recent form.
Jye Amiss 2+ Goals – Hasn't had a great season but 2+ goals for him has been a fairly safe bet recently – It's hit in four of his last five games and remains good odds.
Shai Bolton 20+ Disposals – Other than a disastrous game a few weeks ago, Bolton has been finding plenty of the footy. He’s had 20+ in four of his last five games and has been getting more run in the midfield of late.
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Fremantle vs Port Adelaide Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday, 24th May
Time: 8:10pm AEST
Location: Optus Stadium
Weather: 15 degrees, partly cloudy
Odds: Fremantle ($1.33) vs Port Adelaide ($3.30
Line: Fremantle -20.5
Points: 166.5
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Where To Watch Fremantle vs Port Adelaide?
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