Flemington Racing Tips, Saturday January 19th

January 18th 2019, 10:44pm, By: Tristan Heffernan

With Tim still in the paddock for the weekend, we've called in the services of one of Tasmania's finest, horse racing expert Tristan Heffernan, to give us a preview of Saturday racing from Flemington. Here's Tristan's preview of every race and horse racing betting tips for Saturday, January 19th 2019.

BEST BET: Race 1 - Viking Warrior

 

BEST VALUE: Race 4 - Royal Performance, Race 5 - Du Well

 

Flemington Horse Racing Tips - Saturday, January 19th

RACE 1

Even field of youngsters to take part here with no horse having raced more than twice. Viking Warrior is an incredibly well bred galloper, being a half-brother to the stallion Magnus by Fastnet Rock. Looked above average when he scored an impressive win a Geelong maiden on Boxing Day, beating Maozi who came out and won at his subsequent start. Short in the market but does look the winner to start the day off. Maozi was strong in winning last time but hard to see him turn the tables on Viking Warrior, while Game Keeper ran on well behind Maozi and can be improved with that run under his belt. Keep an eye on the betting with debutant Skiddaw, who jumped out ok against Microphone, is trained on the track and has Oliver in the saddle.

TIP:

RACE 2

Happy to go with Pleasuring here at the better value. Finally showed a return to form last start at Moonee Valley and will appreciate the big drop in weight to get in on the minimum here. Arguably the class runner of this race and now Williams hops on. Lean her way over the favourite Lycurgus, who has obvious claims after a solid 2nd last start behind Etymology. Oliver may control the race in front on him in which case he will take plenty of running down. Looking wider, Pedro Ximenez is going ok and may be better suited in the small field.

RACE 3

Open race. The money has been steadily rolling in for Abyssinian here and for good reason. She made up a stack of ground last time at Sandown to finish 3rd behind Tin Hat and is looking for the slightly longer trip here. Might not have to get quite so far back from a better draw and her best looks good enough here with luck in running at reasonable odds. Rox The Castle is the obvious favourite but might not get the run he needs in front to run the 1400m right out at his first try. The query runner is English Gambler, who has his first up run for Weir and hasn’t missed a top two finish in six starts. Hard to line up his New Zealand form but any positive betting moves should be strongly respected.

RACE 4

Liked the effort of Royal Performance last time when she found the line strongly behind Mahis Angel. Stepping up to the 2000m looks ideal and she should take up a forward position for Linda Meech. Think that position in running could be crucial here with the scratching of Catching Beams. Genuine respect for Oceanex who is also ideally suited out to this trip and has won well at her past couple but might have to drift right back from her wide gate. Next best Make Me Shiver who is racing well.

RACE 5

Tricky race. Du Well has returned in very solid form as a 3yo with three good efforts over the 1000m and looks ready for the 1100m here. Looks suited drawn out sitting just off the speed which might be the spot to be down the straight. Thorondor is the obvious class runner with form down the straight including a 2nd in the Danehill Stakes. Gate 1 might be a query but has Williams on to negotiate. Ollivander has a bit of quality so respect any market support for him first up at odds.

RACE 6

Mastering stands out as the clear top pick here. Promising gelding who is racing well and should put himself in the race again over the 1400m from his wide draw. Fell in last time at odds-on which is a little concern but with that 1400m run under his belt he may be set to improve again off that and if he does he should prove too strong. Very open race outside of him but the best at odds might be Bad Wolf, who is racing well and now drops down to the minimum weight.

RACE 7

Champagne Cuddles is a quality mare who looks well placed here fresh. Has won three times first up in the past and trialled well enough to suggest she will be ready to go over 1000m. Baker stable is in hot form and she only has to be somewhere near her best to be winning this. Thermal Current is a straight track specialist so appeals as an obvious danger given he won over this trip over the Melbourne Cup carnival. Glenall is a smart galloper who is good fresh but inside barrier might not be ideal.

RACE 8

The short priced favourites keep coming and Laure Me In looks especially well placed. Flashed home last time when 2nd at this track and is ready for 1800m now off three mile runs. While this is slightly harder he won’t have to get back as far off his better draw and only has to continue his natural progression to be mighty hard to beat. Another horse on the up is Five Kingdom and he gave a good display in front over this course last time so he appeals as the logical danger. Next best Kilmacurragh.

RACE 9

A big field to finish the day but there is another talented lightly-raced horse on the way through here in Langhro. The form has stood up from his first up 2nd behind Star Fall so this looks a nice progression second up. Despite the big field there isn’t a great deal of obvious pace in the race so expect Langhro to be near the lead and prove hard to run down. If you need one at value to get you out on the last then take a look at Castelo. Very big win two starts ago at Moonee Valley and wasn’t bad in strong grade last time. Drawn out may suit by this time of the day and he can run a race at odds.


TIP:

Langhro
$3.20

BET NOW AT Sportsbet

Castelo at odds - $20 at Bet365

TIPS

Horse Racing Tips: Sunday, August 18th

Luke Krahe has singled out three best bets at Cranbourne and Coleraine for Sunday's horse racing! Find his preview and tips here! read more

Harness Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

Bendigo and Menangle host solid harness racing meetings on Saturday night and Trent Orwin has previewed some of the key races here! read more

Kensington Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

We're on the Kensington track at Randwick this Saturday for our nine-race card in Sydney. Check out our preview and betting tips for every race here! read more

Caulfield Racing Tips: Saturday, August 17th

Some of Australia's big guns step out for the first time to kick off their Spring campaigns at Caulfield this Saturday! Find out our thoughts on every race here! read more

ARTICLES

Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more


Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more


Harness racing form: what are the most important things to consider

Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more


BLOGS

2019 AFL Round 22 Odds

With just two rounds to go in the AFL season, the battle for finals seedings is at fever pitch! Check out the odds for all nine Round 22 games courtesy of BetEasy here read more


2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 21

Another round and another new leader in the race for the 2019 Brownlow Medal. This year is shaping as one of the most exciting Brownlow counts in history! Find out who got the votes in Round 21 with our vote predictions here. read more


2019 AFL Round 21 Odds

Round 21 of the AFL offers a fantastic slate of games as we close in on the finals series! Take a look at all the odds for the weekend's action courtesy of Bet365 here read more


2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 20

The 2019 Brownlow Medal is starting to look pretty interesting with the likes of Nat Fyfe, Adam Treloar and Dusty Martin closing the gap on the leaders. Find out who we gave votes to in Round 20 and click through for our rolling Brownlow leaderboard. read more


Ladbrokes