It’s the penultimate Matchday of the English Premier League season, with a thrilling race for European positions headlining the final fortnight of action. There’s only six points separating second positions from seventh, with a massive fortnight of football in store. Jack Tobin has you covered with his best bets of the weekend!
And if you like our picks and are keen to follow, make sure to join BoomBet – One of the best sportsbook in the country!
EPL 2024-25: Matchday 37 Preview & Betting Tips
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
Villa Park, Saturday 17th May, 4:30am AEST
Aston Villa were one of the big winners of Matchday 36, moving into sixth place after their 1-0 win over Bournemouth and Nottingham Forest’s draw with Leicester. Chelsea’s loss last week also means that Villa are also tied on points with fifth placed Chelsea, so their Champions League hopes are well and truly alive. Tottenham’s Premier League winless streak extended to five games after their 2-0 defeat against Crystal Palace, which has seen Tottenham fall to seventeenth place on the table. Spurs' saving grace for this season is next week’s Europa League Final, so it’s difficult to see them playing a full strength side on Saturday.
Tottenham’s form in 2025 has been nothing short of horrendous, with just four wins from seventeen games. Their 4-2-11 record has been a result of a shambolic defence that has conceded goals at will. Spurs have conceded 31 goals across their last 17 games, and have conceded the 5th most goals in the league this season (59). Unai Emery’s side have been arguably the most in-form team of the last two months, winning seven of their last eight games. Villa are getting done at both ends of the pitch, with an aggregate score of 16-4 across those eight games.
Aston Villa are a quality team with so much to play for, while Tottenham are an out of form side that have nothing to play for, and will be preserving themselves for the Europa League Final. Spurs have a 5-2-11 away record, while Villa have a 10-7-1 record in home games this season. Expect a ruthless performance from a red hot Aston Villa side, who will be far too good for a horrendous Spurs defence.
Aston Villa -1
$1.91 (2 Units)
Chelsea vs Manchester United
Stamford Bridge, Saturday 17th May, 5:15am AEST
Chelsea face off against Manchester United in a crucial clash on Saturday morning, with Chelsea clinging on to 5th place. Chelsea’s three game winning streak was brought to an end in a 2-0 defeat against Newcastle, which now sees Chelsea on equal points with sixth placed Aston Villa and only one point ahead of seventh placed Nottingham Forest. Fortunately for Chelsea, they come up against a Manchester United side that is winless in their last seven Premier League games. The Red Devils haven’t won a Premier League match since March 16th, and have conceded six goals across their last two games.
Ruben Amorim’s side ranks 16th in goals for (42) and rank 13th for goals against (53), and have been all over the place since he took charge in November. Much like Tottenham, it’s hard to see Manchester United playing their best team on the weekend given they’re playing in the Europa League Final next week. Chelsea have been a prolific side in the front third, scoring 62 goals, ranked seventh in the Premier League, which is an area they should get on top of United in this clash.
It’s to no surprise that Manchester United have been horrific away from home, winning only four of their eighteen games on the road this season. Chelsea on the other hand, have an 11-5-2 record at Stamford Bridge, including winning seven of their last eight home games. 10 of Manchester United’s 17 losses have come by two or more goals, and given what is on the line for Chelsea you can expect a big performance against a United side that has been listless all season.
Chelsea -1
$1.91 (2 Units)
Arsenal vs Newcastle
Emirates Stadium, Monday 19th May, 1:30am AEST
The biggest game of the weekend takes place at the Emirates on Monday morning with Arsenal and Newcastle facing off in a battle of second versus third. Despite being in second place, the Gunners form is faltering, with just one win from their last six league games. Newcastle have stormed into third place with seven wins from their last nine games, and are now only two points behind Arsenal, and have a genuine chance of finishing in second place.
The key to this match is the battle between Newcastle’s attacking game and Arsenal’s defence. Arsenal are the number one ranked defensive side in the Premier League having only conceded 20 goals, while Newcastle are the second most prolific side in the league with 68 goals. Newcastle have scored 19 goals across their last seven games, while Arsenal’s defensive work is falling away slightly having conceded six goals across their last three games.
Looking at the formline of both sides this game provides plenty of value for Newcastle in the head to head and handicap markets. Newcastle have enjoyed playing against Arsenal in recent times, winning two of the last three games between the two teams, including a 1-0 win back in November when they last met. Given how good they've been over the last two months you can easily take Eddie Howe’s side in the head to head market, however they still provide good value with the +1 goal buffer.
Newcastle +1
$1.80 (2 Units)
