NRL Super Saturday begins with a blockbuster contest in Brisbane between the Dolphins and Warriors. A traditional top-of-the-table clash with the NRL Finals on the horizon sets the stage for an epic contest. Neither will want to give much away to their opponent in this game and with everything to play for, both are expected to do whatever is possible for victory. Before You Bet is here to help with a detailed preview of what is ahead in this thrilling contest.
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Dolphins vs Warriors Predictions & Tips: NRL Round 17 2026
Powering into 3rd
Despite conceding 22-points against the Tigers on the road, the Dolphins scored 36 of their own to capture victory and move into 3rd on the competition ladder. In a tight match, they equally shared possession and completed at 80%, leading to 9.2m per carry and 604 PCM’s, which also saw them make 6 line breaks. Still improving, their 35 missed tackles will be punished as the Finals approach but there is a lot to like about the Dolphins. They appear to be executing with poise and should only get better as their Origin players return.
Another strong statement
The Warriors produced an impressive display in their 38-20 home victory over the Cowboys. Following a tight first half where they lead by just 14-10, they kicked into another gear to start the second half. They were dynamic in scoring points, which was well supported by resolute defence. This was supported statistically, as they had 56% possession, completed at 80%, made 8.9m per carry, and produced 607 PCM’s. All their dominance in attack was well rewarded by 10 line breaks, as their second-phase play created opportunities both in the middle and on the edge. It has become a cornerstone of their play and is proving hard for opponents to combat.
Stats that matter
- The home ground advantage means a lot in this fixture. The Dolphins have won 56% of matches here while the Warriors have won just 36%. The Warriors won their Round 8 home fixture 20-18.
- Close games are a normal thing between these two sides, as the 5 past games have been decided by either 2 or 4 points, with the average sitting at 2.8 points. The average total points in the same number of matches is 42.8 points.
- These two teams are close in 2026 in a variety of areas. Both average 29ppg in attack, with the Warriors having a slight edge in defence over their opponents (17ppg vs 20ppg).
Balance and power prevails
You cannot knock the fight of the Warriors, but they will need every bit of resilience they have developed this year to be a chance of winning this contest. The loss of Jackson Ford, on top of other players who are still unavailable, impacts their chances. The Dolphins welcome back their Origin stars, and they are expected to find form quickly following a rest last week. Katoa is named to also return following an injury and now, the Dolphins are a dangerously balanced team. It would be a different story if each side was at full-strength, but fact is, they are not. This sways the contest in the Dolphins favour.
The determination of the Warriors will ensure the Dolphins must work hard for victory and should they faulter, the visitors will ensure they pay for their mistakes. As the Warriors rarely get blown away in a match (average loss margin in 2026 is 9 points), this game should be decided by fewer than 2 converted tries, with the Dolphins to even out the ledger for 2026.
Dolphins 1-12
$2.95 (1 unit)
Dolphins vs Warriors Same Game Multi
Leg 1 = Either team by 12 points or less – a safety blanket to prevent against an upset result.
Leg 2 = Total points under 51.5 – see above for justification.
Leg 3 = Farnworth to score – he scores tries for fun against the Warriors with 6 tries from his past 5 matches against them. 2 tries in his past 2 games at this venue and 3 in his past 4 NRL matches, and there is little doubt he can cross the line again.
Dolphins vs Warriors Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Saturday 27th June
Location: Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
Time: 3pm (AEST)
Odds: Dolphins $1.48 vs Warriors $2.65
Line: -6.5
Points: 51.5
Where to Watch Dolphins vs Warriors
Watch the Dolphins vs Warriors match live and ad free on Kayo Sports.
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