Cranbourne offers another great race card this Friday, the 12th of April and Luke Krahe is back to preview all eight races and give his betting tips below!
Best Bet: Race 4 – Parlay Princess.
Lay Of The Day: Race 5 - Boulevardier.
It looks a tough maiden to start to the night, a lot will depend on if they back the first–starter Serene Spirit. She won an official trial dating back before Christmas, was last seen at the jump-outs at Wangaratta a couple of weeks ago where she was quietly ridden but was good through the line when stoked up the last furlong. Whitemore has placed at 6 of his 14 starts but has had enough chances, Haven Road and Taarank, the latter beat the former home but I would rank them equally as good runs.
Sealed is the runner that creates the most interest here, she hasn’t been seen since missing a place for the first time in her career in the Wakeful on Derby Day. She stuck on well after a tough run that day, she probably wants further but she looks to have a stack of class. This race looks very thin, I spent 35 minutes looking for a jump-out for We Know So but the difficulties surrounding what should be such an easy task are mind-boggling in this day and age. Watch the betting with her on debut. Yarrinup Flyer should be up on the speed and they look the only chances. If there is no money for the debutant, go with Sealed.
A lot will depend on whether Neighbourhood goes around at Kyneton on Thuursday or not as she was one of my best of the day there off a nice trial win and jump-out prior to that. Her jump-out was quiet but when the camera panned away from her, she really extended and 100m after the line she was struggling to be pulled up behind the leading trio. If she is not here, Alshahhad looks to have come back well this tie and may have just run out of condition late at Ballarat, Authorisation was a pass on debut here last week and All Too Natural has good speed, but admittedly has had his chances. He may be the one if Neighbourhood doesn’t run here.
There was a lot to like about the way that Parlay Princess hit the line at the Valley last start in a Group Three race, she was held-up when the runs came and only got clear at the furlong pole and hit the line hard. She looks to be crying out for the 2000m, gets a very winnable maiden and should be a lot closer to the speed. She could be the best of the night. Wealthy Wolf has some upside at start number three after working home strong over the mile last start and No Effort may lead for a long way.
It looks a race in two. Jochberg over-raced when on the speed resuming, he was only fair to the line but that was a harder Class One than this. He was super when second-up last prep and with the small field, he should have the tactical advantage over his main rival Boulevardier. He dead-heated here last week to win his maiden, that was his first run back off a long break. Not sure how that maiden form will stack up so go with the top weight.
See how the earlier races are playing but if they are favouring the leaders, Doc’s Hero looks a really good bet here resuming. He hasn’t been seen at the official trials nor has he had a recent jump-out at his home track, but he has a great record fresh and with his natural speed, we can take him on trust. Shenanigan City won his maiden last start comfortably, would be happy to make him a chop-out as that win was impressive after he was held-up for a lot of the straight.
Predecessor comes through the Bendigo Guineas and drops back to a 64-grade race here, he was wide on the run and didn’t get a lot of galloping room over the last 100m and was beaten under two lengths. He ran on hard to win fresh prior to that and should be at peak fitness now. A Fighting Fury wears the yellow and black, good at both runs back but will be giving them a start. He will run on hard but not sure that will be the pattern of the night with the rail out. Pop Queen has been racing well against the girls and Alsvin may lead for a long way.
Kardashing is a fight horse and is racing so well, you know what you will get with her, she will go forward off the inside gate and make her own luck. She has to step up in grade again after winning at the Valley, if the leader’s are dominant she looks a great bet. Lucabelle will get back from the wide draw, he charged to the line after being held-up to win an easier race last time. Herecomesmybaby didn’t have a lot of luck here last time when well in the market at this grade. King’s Full gets the blinkers on for the first time, he has been getting home well but may settle closer with the gear change.
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