AFL Round 19 continues on Friday night with a cracking matchup between the Brisbane Lions and the Western Bulldogs. First bounce at the Gabba will be at 7:40pm AEST, and it’ll be the Lions who start as the narrow favourites on their home deck.
Below, we bring you our best bet, player prop, and Same Game Multi for the Lions vs Bulldogs, with odds thanks to BetReal - a brand-new Aussie sportsbetting site we think you'll love!
Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 19
Lions in Form
The Brisbane Lions continue to flex their muscle, and they’ll look to continue their impressive run when they host the Western Bulldogs on Friday night. Chris Fagan’s side has strung together three consecutive victories, solidifying their position at second on the ladder, just six points adrift of the top-placed Collingwood. Their most recent outing was a commanding 37-point triumph over Carlton, a game in where they never needed to get out of second gear. The Lions will be confident of extending their winning streak. However, they will have to do it without one of their most dynamic players, with livewire forward Zac Bailey set to miss the clash after accepting a one-match suspension for a high bump.
Desperate Dogs
For the Western Bulldogs, this match is nothing short of season-defining. Luke Beveridge’s team currently sits in ninth position, just outside the top eight, and a loss here would put a significant dent in their finals aspirations. Their record against top-eight sides this season has been poor, and this presents a perfect opportunity to claim a major scalp. The Bulldogs’ momentum was halted last weekend in a disappointing 11-point loss to Adelaide, a result that snapped a four-game winning streak which had come exclusively against bottom-half teams. In a bid to spark his side, Beveridge has swung the axe, making three unforced changes, most notably recalling veteran defender Liam Jones for his first senior game after a long spell in the VFL.
Recent H2H & Key Stats
Recent history favours the home side, with the Lions winning their past two encounters against the Bulldogs by 43 and 21 points respectively. This clash pits two of the league’s offensive powerhouses against each other. The Bulldogs enter the round as the highest-scoring team in the AFL, while the Lions rank in the top six for points per game. The battle in the midfield will be crucial; both teams are clearance machines, but the Bulldogs hold a slight edge in contested possessions. A key indicator will be efficiency inside 50. The Lions are notoriously lethal in their forward half, rarely wasting opportunities, while the Bulldogs will need to convert their forward entries at a high rate to challenge the home side.
What to Expect? Here's our Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Tip
While the Lions are deserving favourites at home, this match has all the makings of a desperate, high-stakes thriller. Currently outside the top 8 looking in, the Bulldogs simply have more to play for an I expect them to bring a finals-like intensity that could unsettle the Lions. Brisbane’s loss of Zac Bailey’s creativity and goal sense is significant, and the Bulldogs’ midfield has the depth to go toe-to-toe with Brisbane’s engine room. This feels like a game that will go down to the wire, and with a +11.5 point spread, the value lies with the visitors.
Western Bulldogs +11.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Prop Bet
Our Best Player Prop Bet: McCluggage Score Anytime
We’re going back to the well again on Friday night and backing in Hugh McCluggage to kick at least one goal. It’s been a fruitful prop bet for a number of weeks now, as the star mid has hit the scoreboard in five straight games. He got some attention from Cincotta last weekend but was still able to use his class to jag a goal, and he should get some more freedom against the Dogs who seldom tag.
Hugh McCluggage Score Anytime
$2.25
Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Same Game Multi
Sam Darcy 2+ Goals: Will get a tough matchup in Harris Andrews but I still fancy him to kick at least two goals in what should be a high-scoring contest.
Lachie Neale 25+ Disposals: Is no longer the number one mid at the Lions thanks to the ascendance of McCluggage. Neale used his extra freedom to collect 25 touches last week and remains good value.
Ed Richards 25+ Disposals: What a consistent year this man has had. He’s had 25+ disposals in 10 of his last 11 outings.
Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Betting Odds & Match Info
Location: Gabba, Brisbane
Odds: Brisbane $1.58 vs Western Bulldogs $2.35
Where to Watch Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs?
You can watch Lions vs Bulldogs on Channel 7 or live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
Follow our Brisbane vs Western Bulldogs Tips at Dabble!
