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Breakers vs Kings Prediction & Tips: NBL26 Round 11

December 2nd 2025, 1:17pm, By: Jake Smit

NBL26 Betting Tips

After a week off for international play, the NBL26 season resumes on Wednesday night with a matchup in New Zealand between the Breakers and the Kings. It’s the first of eight games in Round 11 and we have you covered with our full game preview and best bet below! 

Also, we’re providing previews and expert betting tips for every game of the NBL26 season, so make sure to head over to our NBL Tips page regularly to keep up to date with all of our content. 

And if you’re looking for a bookmaker to place your NBL bets on this season, look no further than Dabble – The official wagering partner of the NBL! 

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New Zealand Breakers vs Sydney Kings Prediction & Betting Tips: NBL26 Round 11

Breakers’ Best is Good Enough 

The New Zealand Breakers (5-10) enter this crucial mid-season clash sitting seventh, just one win outside the NBL26 top six. Head Coach Petteri Koponen's side has demonstrated that their best, often led by star import Parker Jackson-Cartwright (PJC), is certainly good enough to trouble any team in the competition. However, a run of heartbreakingly narrow losses earlier in the campaign has significantly hurt their ladder position and prevented them from building momentum. For the Breakers to successfully push for the play-in spots, they need consistent performances from PJC and reliable forward Sam Mennenga, starting with this much-needed home victory. 

 

Kings are Hard to Catch 

The visiting Sydney Kings are currently fourth with a 7-6 record, a position that reflects the high calibre of their roster on paper. Yet, the Kings have been a hard team to predict this season. They often look awesome, showcasing the offensive firepower of their elite guard, Kendric Davis, and the athleticism of forward Xavier Cooks. Conversely, they sometimes appear lacklustre and lacking interest, leading to unexpected dips in form. Despite this inconsistency, their immense talent and recent run of winning four of their last five games make them a formidable opponent who are finding their rhythm. 

 

Recent H2H History 

Recent history between these two clubs heavily favours the Kings. Sydney has established a strong hold over their trans-Tasman rivals this season, winning both of their prior meetings on their home court. The first match-up in Round 2 was a dominant 22-point victory (97-75), followed by a closer 7-point Kings win (79-72) in Round 6. These two results extend Sydney’s head-to-head winning streak to four games against the Breakers, giving the visitors a significant psychological advantage heading into this third battle of the NBL26 season. 

 

Breakers or Kings? Here’s Our Tip! 

Despite the Breakers playing at home, the superior talent and recent head-to-head history lean towards the Kings. Given the -2.5 point spread, the recommendation is to back the Sydney Kings to cover the spread. This pick, however, carries a low level of confidence. The volatility of both teams means this game could easily swing either way; the Breakers are capable of an upset, and the Kings can underperform. Nevertheless, Sydney's quality, particularly from Davis and Cooks, and their proven dominance over the Breakers should be enough to secure a victory by a small margin. 

Sydney Kings –2.5

$1.92 (1.5 Units)

 

Breakers vs Kings Betting Odds & Match Info  

Date: Wednesday, December 3rd, 2025  

Time: 7:30pm AEDT  

Location: Claudelands Arena, New Zealand 

  

Odds: Breakers $2.15 vs Kings $1.70 

Line: Kings -2.5 

Points: 180.5 

   

Where to Watch Breakers vs Kings 

You can watch the Breakers vs Kings clash live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.  

   

Back In our Breakers vs Kings Tips at Dabble!  

Not familiar with Dabble and want to learn more about what they offer? Check out our full Dabble review here, or by clicking the banner below. 

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Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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