Round 3 of the AFL season kicks off on Thursday night with an interesting clash between the Magpies and Brisbane. Before You Bet and followers went 5/9 in Round 2 for another profitable week and we are now 2.66 units in profit for the year.
Catch our full preview and tips for the Thursday night clash and remember to head to our AFL Betting Tips page for previews for every game in Round 3 and beyond.
Marvel Stadium, Thursday 1st April 7.40pm (AEDT)
This game was originally scheduled to take place at the Gabba but due to the recent COVID outbreak in Queensland, the two fixtures between Collingwood and Brisbane this season have been swapped, with this game moving to Marvel Stadium and the game later in the season moving to the Gabba.
It’s been a tough start to the season for the Lions and now when they were set to get a winnable home game at the Gabba, they have been forced to travel to Melbourne to face a feisty Collingwood team on the back of a good win. Brisbane were defeated at home by Sydney in Round 1 before going down to the Cats in a controversial finish in Geelong in Round 2.
The Pies had a tough task in Round 1, facing the Western Bulldogs on Friday night and going down by 16 points. They were much improved in Round 2 as they defeated the Blues on Thursday night by 21 points to move to 1-1 on the season. After getting decimated by the Western Bulldogs midfield core in Round 1, the Collingwood mid were impressive against the Blues, with Jack Crisp, Scott Pendlebury and Taylor Adams racking up 95 touches between them.
On the injury front, the Pies are looking really solid. They got Steele Sidebottom back last week and got through their game against the Blues with only one major setback to Jamie Elliot, who injured his ankle and could miss up to 12 weeks. Apart from Elliot, the Pies should have a full list to pick from this week against the Lions.
For Brisbane, they will be without a few key players heading into the Thursday night clash. Oscar McInerney hurt his ankle in the game against Geelong and will be in a race to prove fitness as will Jarrod Berry with a hamstring injury. The Lions are still without Connor McFadyen, Dan McStay and Cameron Rayner who are all on the sidelines for extended periods with knee injuries.
The Pies start as slight favourites at hoem for this clash, which is probably expected given they were impressive in Round 2 and the Lions have struggled so far this season. However, I really like the value of the Lions here. Their games so far this season have been against really solid sides. They faced a Swans team that looks to be the big improvers in the 2021 season and then had arguably the toughest test in football as they travelled to Geelong to take on the Cats.
The Lions got the chocolates when the teams last met back in Round 15 of last season and I think they get their first win of the year on Thursday night.
Taylor Adams was one of the Pies best in the win over the Blues in Round 2. He racked up 29 touches and was off the ground for an extended period with an injury scare. Seems like he, along with Jack Crisp, are the go to ball winners in the midfield at Collingwood now with Adam Treloar departing and Scott Pendlebury and Steele Sidebottom playing gradually less time in the midfield. Back him to surpass 30 touches this week.
We loved the unders on Lachie Neale disposals last week and we are taking them again in Round 3. The reigning Brownlow Medallist has had a slow start to the season with games of just 24 disposals against the Swans and 16 against the Cats last week. In his last two games against the Pies he has failed to surpass the 30 disposal mark. Considering he is paying $1.72 to have 30+ at Sportsbet this week, we assume when his disposal line comes out on the day of the game, it will likely be 30.5 or 31.5. Love the under on either.
The conference semi-finals in the NBA are almost done and dusted at the time of writing, and by Monday just four teams will remain in the hunt for the 2020-21 NBA title. Check out our full preview and betting tips for the Conference Semis, beginning on Monday, here read more
The 2021 NBL Grand Final series between Melbourne United and the Perth Wildcats continues on Sunday night. Catch our match prediction and best player prop bet for this crucial Game 2 right here! read more
Just the one game on Sunday in the AFL this week and while it’s not a blockbuster, it’s all we’ve got. PuntingInDanger is here to guide you through the game in full and give his preview and AFL tips here. read more
The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more
Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more
Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more
Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more
The bye rounds continued over the long Queen's Birthday weekend with just the six games across five days for Round 13. Check out our analysis, Brownlow vote predictions for Round 13 and our current Brownlow leaderboard here! read more
Just the six games of AFL during Round 12 of the 2021 AFL season but that was enough for the likes of Marcus Bontempelli, Dustin Martin, Darcy Parish and Clayton Oliver to add to their Brownlow Medal tallies. Who got the Round 12 Brownlow votes? Find out here... read more
We have a new leader in our 2021 Brownlow Medal leaderboard. After an amazing month, Melbourne's Clayton Oliver is now on top of our counts after Round 11. Check out who got our Brownlow votes and all the analysis from Round 11 here! read more
Some interesting games in Round 10 of the AFL season where the best players arguably came from the losing teams. Will the umpires see it the same as we did? Read on to find out our Brownlow vote predictions for Round 10. read more