2019 ATP Cincinnati Masters Preview & Betting Tips

August 13th 2019, 5:18pm, By: Jake Smit

The King of Clay was also the king of the hard courts last week. Rafael Nadal rolled into Montreal as the $3 favourite to win the Rogers Cup, and he did just that. For us, well our value picks struggled in what was a week full of upsets. 

This week the ATP World Tour heads to Cincinnati, USA, for the Cincinnati Masters (AKA the Western & Southern Open). All the big names are in action for what’s the final event before the fourth and final major of the year, the US Open. Below, we’ve previewed this week’s major tournament and provided our best value bets. Good luck to everyone following our tips this week!

ATP World Tour Betting Tips

2019 Cincinnati Masters

Founded way back in 1899, the Cincinnati Masters is one of ninenelite Masters 1000 tournaments on the ATP World Tour this year. As the name suggests, it’s based in Cincinnati, USA, and is played on outdoor hard courts. The winningest men’s tennis player of all time at this tournament is Roger Federer with seven titles (2005-15). The current men’s champion is Novak Djokovic after he won here in 2018 – his first career title at the event.

Seeded Players

There are 56 players in the field at the Cincinnati Open this year, and of those 56, 16 are seeded. The real advantage here is to be a top eight seed however, as they are awarded a bye in Round 1, meaning they get automatic qualification to the second round. Here’s the top eight seeds this week.

(1)   Novak Djokovic (Serbia)

(2)   Rafael Nadal (Spain) *Withdrawn*

(3)   Roger Federer (Switzerland)

(4)   Dominic Thiem (Austria)

(5)   Stefanos Tsitsipas (Greece)

(6)   Kei Nishikori (Japan)

(7)   Alexander Zverev (Germany)

(8)   Karen Khachanov (Russia)

Contenders

It’s almost like a mini Grand Slam this week, such is the strength of the field. The only top 10 player not participating is Rafael Nadal who pulled out late to avoid overplaying ahead of the US Open. Simply, Nadal played a ton of tennis in Montreal last week and has chosen to sit this one out.

The favourite to win the title at all major agencies is Novak Djokovic ($2.40). The Joker is the defending champion here and has absolutely dominated the hard courts in the recent seasons on Tour. He hasn’t played any singles matches since he lifted the Wimbledon trophy, so it may take him a while to get into the swing of things... pardon the pun.

In the next line of betting we’ve got Roger Federer ($4). The GOAT also hasn’t played since Wimbledon, so the grass-to-hard court transition may take a little bit of getting used to. He’s a 7x champion here however, so his record speaks for itself. 

After Djokovic and Federer, you get out to all double-figure odds, headlined by Dominic Thiem ($13). The Austrian gun has won two Masters 1000s already this year, so he’s certainly got the ability. The only query is his consistency on hard courts, which has been his least successful surface to date. 

The only others with sub-$20 quotes are Alexander Zverev and Kei Nishikori – both $15 shots. Zverev is a proven winner at Masters 1000 tournaments but has had a really poor season by his standards, while Nishikori probably doesn’t have good enough form to trouble the big dogs this week. 

Prediction

Even without any matches under his belt since Wimbledon, Novak Djokovic is clearly the man to beat. He’s won the last two hard court Majors (US 2018, AO 2019) and is the defending champion here at the Cincinnati Masters. Djokovic has the wood over Federer, while no Nadal in the field will also help his chances. Anything over $2 seems like a more than fair price to jump on at. 

Quarter 4 Betting

If you’re looking for a bit more value or something else to follow this week, then we like the odds of Taylor Fritz to win his quarter and make it to the semi-finals. Fritz is enjoying a career best year on Tour and has risen up to #25 in the World Rankings as a result – his highest to date. His favourite surface is hard court and he’ll have the home crowd behind him this week (he’s American). 21-year-old Fritz was a Grand Slam winner at the US Open as a junior in 2015 and has won five challenger titles already as a pro. In the weakest of all four quarters this week, we’re keen to see how far he can go.

TIPS

Flemington Racing Tips: Saturday, July 4th

It's Flemington Finals day at headquarters in Melbourne this Saturday, July 4th, with a number of big fields and wide open betting markets. Trent Crebbin is looking to continue his good form with his preview and betting tips here! read more

EPL 2019-20: Matchday 33 Preview & Betting Tips

Big weekend of EPL action coming up! The games kick off at 9.30pm on Saturday night and continues until Tuesday morning! We have a full preview and betting tips for the key games across Matchday 33 in the EPL here. read more

Bookie Bag Best Bets - Belmont: Saturday, 4th July

The team at Palmerbet are back with their best bets for Belmont this Saturday, using the Price Push and Race Rescue products available for all Palmerbet customers in The Bookie Bag! read more

AFL Round 5: Saturday Preview & Betting Tips

Round 5 of the AFL season continues on Saturday with a great four game throughout the day! As usual, we have a full preview and betting tips for all four games here read more

ARTICLES

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more


What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more


Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


What is Lay Betting?

Lay betting is when you’re betting against an event to occur. You’re betting that a horse won’t win a race, a team won’t win a match or your player will lose to their opponent. Find out more about lay betting at Betfair right here. read more


BLOGS

AFL Announces Round 6 & 7 Fixture

With Victoria recently suffering another surge in COVID-19 cases, the AFL has had to restructure the next few rounds of the season. They have officially released the fixture for both Rounds 6 & 7, which can be viewed in full right here read more


2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 4

A full round of nine matches are in the books for Round 4 of what has been a crazy 2020 AFL season. Here's our break down of each match and our Round 4 Brownlow vote predictions, as well as a couple of Brownlow betting tips. read more


2020 AFL Round 5 Odds

The Saints beat the Tigers in the upset of the round and after a shuffle of the schedule due to COVID-19 restrictions, they will be back in action in the opening game of Round 5 on Thursday night against the Blues! See the odds for all of the games in Round 5 HERE read more


2020 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 3

We saw some standout performances for Round 3 of the 2020 AFL season with a couple of our early Brownlow betting plays rising to the top of the early Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Check out our AFL Round 3 Brownlow vote predictions here. read more


PlayUp