2019 Ashes: 1st Test Preview & Betting Tips

July 30th 2019, 10:53am, By: Mr.Cricket

The 2019 Ashes Series gets underway this Thursday, the 1st of August from Edgbaston! The home of one of the greatest Test matches ever played, the first Test between England and Australia is set to be a thrilling one.

We posted our series preview and betting tips earlier in the week, but today we are focusing more on the 1st Test itself, and providing our betting tips for the game below.

2019 Ashes 1st Test Betting Tips

England

England will go into the 1st Test at Edgbaston as slight favourites to win at around $1.97 at most outlets. They will likely start as favourites for all five Tests, however, we think Edgbaston might be the one they are most worried about, especially if the pitch plays anything like it did in the recent World Cup.

The Edgbaston pitch has traditionally been one of the most spin friendly pitches in England, with spinners averaging just 28.08 there since the 2002 season, the fifth lowest average of any international pitch in the world.

England will be banking on a pace and swing heavy attack throughout the series, with a four pronged pace attack of Anderson, Broad, Woakes and Archer likely to start. The all-rounder, Moeen Ali, is the only spinner in the 14 man squad, which could hinder the English at Edgbaston.

The batting line-up looks set but there are still some concerns over the top three which currently has just 11 Tests combined experience. The English middle/lower order could carry a large load in this series.

Likely England XI for Edgbaston Test

1. Jason Roy
2. Joe Denly
3. Rory Burns
4. Joe Root
5. Ben Stokes
6. Jonny Bairstow
7. Jos Buttler
8. Moeen Ali
9. Chris Woakes
10. Stuart Broad
11. James Anderson


Australia

While Australia’s bowling line-up looks pretty solid with any combination of pacemen and Nathan Lyon set to play a big part, there’s still massive concern over their top six. Four of the positions in the top six are still well and truly up for grabs just a few days out from the 1st Test, which can’t be a promising sign.

Even when Australia has had what looked to be a fully cemented batting line-up heading into an away Ashes series since 2005, they have still failed miserably, and with so much inexperience in the squad this time around, it’s hard to see it going any differently. Only Steve Smith and David Warner have had any type of success in England, while most of the top six candidates have never even played a Test in the UK.

Harris or Bancroft to open? Labuschagne or Khawaja at three? Wade of Marsh at six? There are so many different combinations of the Australian top six, this is how we see it playing out for the 1st Test at Edgbaston, but we wouldn’t be surprised to see the Aussie selectors go a completely different way.

Likely Australia XI for Edgbaston Test

1. David Warner
2. Cameron Bancroft
3. 
Marnus Labuschagne
4. 
Steve Smith
5. 
Travis Head
6. 
Matthew Wade
7. 
Tim Paine
8. Pat Cummins
9. 
Mitch Starc
10. 
James Pattinson
11. 
Nathan Lyon


Prediction

If Australia is going to be competitive in this series, they need to take advantage of the more spin friendly conditions in Edgbaston and get Nathan Lyon into the game. They have a massive advantage with arguably the best Test spinner in the world in their ranks and while he might not play a massive part for the rest of the series, he can help get Australia off to a strong start here.

In saying all of this, however, it’s still too hard to look past the English here. Regardless of how spin friendly the pitch plays, there’s no doubt that the ball will still swing and seam early in the innings, which makes it almost impossible to back the Australian top order against the likes of Broad, Anderson and co.


 

TIPS

Horse Racing Tips: Monday, December 9th

Three meetings kick off the new week of Australian racing, with Tuncurry, Wellington and Gatton all hosting programs. Check out Luke Krahe's best bets for each track here! read more

2019 World Surf League: Pipe Masters

There is just one event left in the 2019 WSL Championship Tour as we head into the Pacific Ocean for the Pipe Masters held on the north shore of Oahu, Hawaii. The action gets underway this week and continues, weather permitting, through the weekend. read more

2019 Hong Kong International Races Preview & Betting Tips

It's 2019 LONGINES Hong Kong International Races at Sha Tin this afternoon, featuring four huge international Group 1s! Check out our preview and betting tips for the day's feature races here! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Sunday, December 8th

The Werribee Cup headlines another big day of racing in Australia this Sunday. Luke Krahe has analysed the race as part of his preview, along with his best bets for Norwa, Hawkesbury and Werribee. Check out his preview here! read more

ARTICLES

2019-20 Big Bash League (BBL09) Squads

The 2019-20 Big Bash League season is set to be a thriller! Check out the full squads for the upcoming BBL09 here read more


Understanding Betfair Staking Plans

In the third instalment of our Betfair instructional series, we take a look at understanding staking plans and how they can be used to stay in control of your bank roll read more


Understanding the Betfair Markets

In our next strategy guide for the Betfair platform, we take a look at understanding how the Betfair markets work and what different types of backs and lays you can place with Betfair! read more


Understanding Back and Lay Betting on Betfair

Unlike your ‘normal’ betting agency where it’s you versus the Bookmaker, Betfair is a peer-to-peer wagering platform. Betfair allow you to both ‘back’ and ‘lay’ bets, which gives you complete control and a totally unique betting experience. View how full guide to backing and laying here read more


BLOGS

December Highlights on Kayo

It's another busy month ahead this December at Kayo Sports! Fans of all sports are covered on Kayo this month with live NBA, NFL, UFC, NBL, Soccer, Golf and Surfing, just to name a few! Check out the December highlights here. read more


Great Odds For Melbourne Cup Punters

The Melbourne Cup has transformed from the race that stops the nation into the race that stops the world in recent years, and Palmerbet are giving punters more bang for their buck with great odds on all Melbourne Cup runners this Monday! read more


2019 Melbourne Cup Odds

The Melbourne Cup is known as the race that stops a nation, but is quickly becoming the race that stops the world! There's 42 horses left in contention for the 2019 Melbourne Cup, which will be held on the first Tuesday in November. Check out the latest betting odds for the race here! read more


Cox Plate Glory Awaits

Get fantastic odds of $4.50 for Te Akau Shark to finish in the top five in Saturday's Cox Plate thanks to Palmerbet. read more


PlayUp

Palmerbet