We hit on three of six AFL bets last weekend for a breakeven week and we’ll be looking to improve as we present our preview and betting tips for Round 13 of the AFL below.
Another bye round this week means there is just six games on the schedule but we’ll look to do our best to get some value out of the rounds action below.
AFL Round 13 Betting Tips
Port Adelaide vs Western Bulldogs (Thursday 7.50pm AEST)
See our full preview for the Thursday night clash between Port Adelaide and the Western Bulldogs here.
Sydney vs West Coast (Friday 7.50pm AEST)
The Swans will host West Coast in Sydney in what should be an absolute blockbuster on Friday night. West Coast currently sit first on the AFL ladder with a 10-1 record but Sydney can move also rack up their tenth win with a victory over the Eagles on Friday night. The Swans are currently on a five game win streak and were dominant over the over the Saints last weekend, smashing them by 71 points as Lance Franklin and Cam Sinclair booted seven goals between them.
West Coast will be feeling great after winning their last ten games in a row and having the week off to recuperate. Their only loss of the season so far came at the hands of the Swans all the way back in Round 1 when Sydney travelled to Optus Stadium and claimed victory.
The two teams have arguably the best injury lists in the competition at the moment, as Sydney are set to get Kieren Jack back this weekend. Jack Darling remains the only notable out for the Eagles, with the big forward still managing an ankle injury. Should be tough for the Eagles without the key forward. The week off definitely helps West Coast but I think the Swans come out firing at home and get the job done.
Carlton vs Fremantle (Saturday 1.45pm AEST)
Fremantle were super impressive last weekend as they defeated Adelaide at home by 3 points. They did it all without their skipper Nat Fyfe, who will return for the game against the Blues after serving a one match ban. Big man Brennan Coz was fantastic for the Dockers against the Crows, kicking four goals while Lachie Neale did the bulk of the work in the midfield racking up 32 touches.
Carlton are still hunting their second win of the season and currently sit on the bottom of the AFL ladder. They have lost their last three games in a row after beating Essendon back in Round 8 but should be fresh for this clash after having the bye last weekend. A couple of injury problems are still haunting the Blues, as skipper Marc Murphy remains on the sidelines with a foot injury but they are hopeful Levi Casboult can return this weekend to face the Dockers.
Tough game to call here, Fremantle looked great on the weekend and will welcome Fyfe back into the side but haven’t travelled well this season. Only one of the last five matches between these two teams has surpassed the 160 point mark and even though this clash is under the roof at Etihad I think we see the unders here.
Total Points Under 161.5
$1.88
Gold Coast vs St Kilda (Saturday 4.35pm AEST)
The Saints had a horror run since they claimed their only win of the season agains the Lions back in Round 1. In the past 11 games, the Saints have played every team in the top eight except Port Adelaide, they have also played GWS, Adelaide and Hawthorn, who sit in 9th, 10th and 11th. They are yet to play Carlton, Gold Coast, Western Bulldogs and Essendon, who all sit 12th or lower on the ladder.
The Suns currently sit in 15th place on the ladder with 3 wins and 8 losses on the season so far. Two of their three wins have come against teams ranked lower than them on the ladder and the other win came in torrential rain against the Kangaroos in Round 1. They have been absolutely dominated in their two weeks since the bye in Round 10, losing to the Cats at home by 85 points before travelling to Sydney and losing to the Giants by 108 points.
The Saints finally get another great opportunity for a win here and while they too were disappointing last week, going down to the Swans by 71 points, however, they were impressive against the Eagles and Tigers the two weeks prior and should be able to get a win here.
St.Kilda Saints -6.5
$1.92
Hawthorn vs Adelaide (Saturday 7.25pm AEST)
The Hawks will be coming off the bye week this weekend as they host the Crows at the MCG on Saturday night. For the Crows, next weekend’s bye cant come quick enough as they have lost their last three games in a row and now sit outside the top eight with a 6-6 record on the season so far.
The Crows were dismal three weeks ago against the Demons, losing by 91 points and have since had two tough close losses to the Giants and Dockers by a combined total of 19 points. They’ll be desperate to get back on the winners list here in an attempt to put some pressure back on the top eight.
Injuries are the biggest concern for the Crows at the moment as Rory Sloane, Brodie Smith, Mitch McGovern and Riley Knight all remain on the sidelines for this weekend’s clash. They should, however, get Rory Laird and Tom Lynch back for the clash, which should strengthen either end of the ground. Hawthorn start as slight favourites for this clash and I’m finding it hard to pick a winner here. Have to go with the Hawks at home coming off a freshening bye.
Hawthorn Hawks 1-39
$2.25
Geelong vs Richmond (Sunday 3.20pm AEST)
Geelong and Richmond will face off at the MCG (for some reason) on Sunday afternoon in what should be the game of the round. I hate to harp on about it, but the fact that Richmond get to play this game at the G instead of having to play at GMHBA Stadium, where the Cats were dominant over the Kangaroos last weekend is a bit of a joke.
Richmond will start as favourites for the game, but you can be assured that if the game was down in Geelong then the Cats would certainly be favoured. Richmond were outplayed by Port Adelaide on the weekend and the Power’s wayward kicking in the final term was the only thing that stopped the Tigers from being beaten by even more.
I’m picking Geelong to come out and make a statement here. They should be furious at the fact that this game has to be played at the MCG and the Tiges have looked vulnerable over the last month or so.
Geelong Cats to win
$2.55
