Soon enough it is going to be 2015 AFL finals time, but until then, spots in the top eight and top four look up for grabs and this week looks like an integral one for many clubs! Read on for our AFL Round 19 betting tips and find more picks on our AFL betting tips page.
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Adelaide Crows Vs. Richmond Tigers (Friday, August 7 at 7:20pm ACST)
This Friday night clash between the Adelaide Crows and the Richmond Tigers looks like one of the tougher games to pick for Round 19. If the game was at the MCG we would certainly give Richmond a big edge, but this is at Adelaide Oval which adds another dimension.
There is no doubt the Tigers have been playing better footy than the Crows. They have won four of the last five including their well-documented victory over Hawthorn last week. If they play with anywhere near the intensity of that game you can pin this up as a win for the yellow and black.
The Crows were starting to look much better in Round 16 and 17, but were brought back to earth last round. They are the No. 1 centre clearance team in the comp and are ranked better than Richmond for marks inside 50 too. However, if we go on last week’s form, regardless of where this one is played, the win will go to Richmond.
It’s unlikely, but if everything goes right for the Tigers they could make the top four and they won’t be giving up games like this if they consider themselves real September threats.
Collingwood Magpies Vs. Carlton Blues (Saturday, August 8 at 1:45pm AEST)
Games between Collingwood and Carlton at the MCG are usually reserved for Friday nights and are usually some of the biggest games of the year. That probably won’t be the case on this occasion with the Blues having one of their most woeful seasons in history and the Pies coming off a six game losing streak. At least the Pies fans can look forward to getting a much-needed win.
There is no doubt the Pies were terrible against Melbourne last week. After plenty of solid performances this year you have to assume the Pies can plug some of those leaks and bounce back against the Blues. A pride club like the Pies probably still think they can make finals too and though it’s mathematically possible, you can be pretty sure they won’t be around in September. I think the Pies should win quite easily, but personally won’t be touching this game.
Tip: No Bet
Western Bulldogs Vs. Port Adelaide (Saturday, August 8 at 2:10pm AEST)
One of the most interesting matchups of Round 19 is Saturday’s clash between the Western Bulldogs and Port Adelaide with both teams pride themselves on a fast-paced style.
The Bulldogs moved into fifth place on the ladder after a big win over the Bombers last week and are certainly one of the up and coming teams in the comp. interestingly, you could almost say the Bulldogs are playing the way we thought Port Adelaide would have at the start of the year. Many people also would have Port around fifth on the ladder, while you would have expected the Dogs to be down in 12th where Port are at the moment.
The fact this game is at Etihad is a big plus for the Dogs. The Power will be happy to see the Dogs are resting skipper Bob Murphy, but we will think the Dogs show significant value at this price.
Tip: Western Bulldogs Hd-Hd - $1.70 using CrownBet
Brisbane Lions Vs. Gold Coast Suns (Saturday, August 8 at 4:35pm AEST)
Not too many thought the Lions and Suns would be holding the bottom two spots on the ladder this year. Both have only won two games this year and one of those will go to three at the Gabba this Saturday afternoon.
It’s an ugly thing to talk about, but the Lions really need to lose and stay on the bottom to get the number one draft pick. Luckily I don’t think anyone will bring tanking up as the Lions are simply a worse team than the Suns – especially without Dayne Beams on the field. There isn’t much value on the Suns at this price and we do think they won’t blow it out, so see some value in the Suns by six goals or less.
Tip: Gold Coast by 1-39 points (Under 39.5) - $2.15 at Sportsbet
West Coast Eagles Vs. Hawthorn Hawks (Saturday, August 8 at 5:40pm AWST)
The biggest game of the round is no doubt when the Hawks head to Domain Stadium on Saturday night to take on the Eagles. The Hawks are hunting a spot in the top two and a win here is the next step. The Eagles won’t make it easy, however.
The Hawks were terrible last week and we know from experience that they don’t usually play two bad games in a row. They know how to bounce back and will surely have more intensity this week than we have seen so far this year. I do, however, think there is value on the Eagles using the CrownBet 80-point special. They are a high scoring team who very rarely kick less than 13 goals. They have shown enough this year to rumble with the best teams and at Domain I think they are a threat to the Hawks.
Tip: West Coast Hd-Hd - $2.15 using CrownBet
Take note: Proceed with caution after it was announced Nic Nat would not be playing! This is a big blow for the Eagles and maybe enough of a reason to get on the Hawks.
Melbourne Vs. North Melbourne (Sunday, August 9 at 1:10pm AEST)
The Demons take on the Kangaroos at the MCG this Sunday. The Dees are coming off one of the best wins for their club in a long time, while the Roos are starting to build momentum after an inconsistent first half of the year.
Even though they are playing the Demons, the Roos bring their A-game to this. They can’t afford any losses if they want to secure a spot in the top eight. The Roos were solid against the Blues last week, but I do think they will find this tougher. They also don’t play on the MCG very often, which will certainly be a factor. I definitely lean towards the Roos being too strong, but with Melbourne gaining some belief and the game being at the ‘G, I’m going to sit this one out.
Tip: No Bet
GWS Giants Vs. Essendon Bombers (Sunday, August 9 at 3:20pm AEST)
The Bombers would seriously be wishing their season was over. It’s been a nightmare and unfortunately the news won’t get any better at Spotless Stadium against GWS this Sunday.
The Giants have been hard to beat at home this year and I think the only factor in Essendon’s favour is that the Giants had a tough game against the Dockers at Domain last week. You just have to remember that the Bombers only scored 40 points against the Dogs last week and there aren’t many indications they will be better here. It’s a big line to bet on the Giants, but they still have the finals in their sights and will be doing everything they can to play in September for the first time in the history of the club.
Tip: GWS at the line (-26.5) - $1.92 at Sportsbet
St Kilda Saints Vs. Fremantle Dockers (Sunday, August 9 at 4:40pm AEST)
The Saints surprisingly have a pretty solid record against the Dockers, winning the last two – both at Etihad Stadium. The Saints will be happy to be on that ground again, but unfortunately for them I think the Dockers are cherry ripe. The Saints, meanwhile, were shocking against the Power last week and as such have made six changes.
The silver lining for the Saints is that Nat Fyfe is out. That shouldn’t really boost their confidence, however, as the depth of the Dockers is something to be feared. They will win the ball out the middle of the ground far too easy. Expecting the Dockers to win by quite a margin and think the line looks pretty generous.
Tip: Fremantle at the line (-13.5) - $1.92 at CrownBet
Find details of all the best AFL Round 19 Betting Promotions below!
Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly. Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!
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