Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Warwick Farm and Sandown Hillside on Wednesday, March 13th.
We've cast our eyes over both cards and offered our best bets from both meetings. At Warwick Farm, there's the potential for some rain but currently the track is a Good 4, while Sandown is also a Good 4 and should remain so.
Check out our selections below!
I'm very, very keen on Got Your Six here for the Waterhouse/Bott stable with Tim Clark in the saddle. This horse looked good at the trials prior to her debut and has run 2nd in both career starts to date. The form out of those two races looks to be particularly strong. On debut, Got Your Six ran 2nd to Trope, who then came out and ran 2nd beaten 0.4L in the Listed Fireball Stakes last weekend. Got Your Six then followed that up with a 2nd placing behind boom horse Classique Legend, beaten 2.5L, with a further 1.3L back to the 3rd horse. Classique Legend then came out and won its next start by 6L! Fair to say this is a much easier assignment today and Tim Clark takes over from Rachel King, which is a massive positive jockey change. I really think with even luck here, Got Your Six just wins and I'm more than happy to take the even money available.
Sticking with Debate here, but he really needs to jump well from barrier 1, otherwise his chances may be gone after 50m. He was a debut winner at Gosford back in August and resumed with a 5th placing at Rosehill two weeks ago. On that occasion, he bombed the start and probably did well to only be beaten 3L in the end. There was money for him that day and judging by his lone trial prior to that start, he looks to have come back well. If he jumps properly, he should be able to box seat and if he gets the breaks at the right time, he should be right in the finish.
I think the $6.00 about Great Job looks to be a decent price for a small each way play here. It's a competitive race and a couple of others have been very well backed in early betting, but the top weight looks to find a suitable race. He's had two starts back from a spell and has run 2nd on both occasions, beaten 0.1L and 0.2L. He's undefeated from two previous third up runs and Jason Collett takes over today from the apprentice who has ridden him at his first two starts this prep. He has to carry 60kg but he should be able to find the lead in this field and he should take plenty of catching if he's able to find the rail.
Ligulate has been very well backed in early markets but I'm going to back a couple of others at better odds and hope for a good result to close out the card. Julian Rock makes his Australian debut today and might be able to run a race fresh, especially if the rain comes throughout the day. The wetter the better for him, as his only career win has come on Heavy ground. He's likely going to be suited over a bit further than the 1400m today but he's trialled well on two occasions leading into today and he did win first up over the mile in France last preparation. I think we'll probably get better than the $7.00 on offer but I won't be losing on him. Quadriga is the other that appeals at $7.00. He won first up at Canterbury and then went to Melbourne, where he was well-beaten in the G2 Autumn Stakes. Hawkshot won that race and then went on to run 2nd in the Australian Guineas, so the form is obviously pretty decent. Back to Sydney now, drawn well in barrier 2, should get the right run and can be very competitive back down in grade.
Competitive little race but there's a few I'm interested in backing. Mystery Love absolutely bolted in on debut at Benalla, leading all the way to prevail by 3.25L, with a further 2L back to 3rd. She ran the fastest final 400m of the day in winning that race and comes straight to town now. Damien Oliver takes the ride for Mick Price and the filly should be able to jump straight to the lead from barrier 2. If she gets an easy enough time of it out in front, she should take plenty of catching. The value in the race could be Vanuatu, who makes her stable debut for Grahame Begg. She's had just the two career starts to date, winning the second of those over 1600m. Whether the 1300m first up today is a touch short for her is the query, but she trialled nicely and comes straight to the races on the back of that. She's drawn poorly in barrier 17 but I think we'll see her run well here at double figure odds. I won't be losing on Zargos, who is an $8.00 chance. He's first up today and has to carry 60kg from an awkward barrier, but he was dominant on debut last prep over this distance and the stable is going particularly well. Save on him at the price.
I had to convince myself to bet here so the confidence isn't as high, but I just thought the $5.00 on offer about Silent Roar was good enough to take. We're getting $1.75 for the place in a field of nine runners, so we can even back him each way here. He's first up today and even though I think he'll be much better suited second up, his first up run last prep suggested to me he has the ability to win this fresh. He's had two jumpouts at Flemington leading into this and both have been sound, despite not being asked to do much in either. He should take up a forward position and if Dwayne Dunn can give him a decent ride, he should be pretty competitive.
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