Saturday Horse Racing: P.B. Lawrence Stakes Preview

August 15th 2015, 11:40am, By: admin

After a string of second place finishes, we landed a nice winner last week in the Aurie's Star Handicap with a bob of the nose on the line! Our resident horse racing expert is back once again to bring you some more great horse racing betting tips

Those that have followed Tim's work, either on Twitter or through his subscription service at Tim's Tips, will know that Tim brings excellent form and great experience in the industry. Tim will be providing previews and analysis of feature races, with regular articles each Saturday and throughout the spring racing season. 

Caulfield Race 7 - Back to Caulfield P.B. Lawrence Stakes 1400m - Group 2

SMOKIN' JOEY is racing in fantastic form, returning from Group 1 racing in Queensland to record back to back victories at his past two starts. Last start he settled back and covered ground but was still far too good in the Group 3 Bletchingly Stakes, winning by 2 lengths. The step up to 1400m is probably ideal and draws a nice barrier today so could even position a bit further forward with cover. 59kgs no problem, especially on this weight scale, and he is the one to beat.

THE CLEANER resumes from a fairly long spell today and will no doubt go to the front and set a decent tempo. Has a great first up record but definitely finds it easier to win at Moonee Valley rather than Caulfield or Flemington. I expect him to lead and be tough to run down but finish a length or two off the winner.

MOURINHO surprised everybody last prep when he won the Group 2 Australia Stakes first up over 1200m. Went on to win a Group 2 over 1800m at Caulfield and I think that is when we will see the best of him. He does have the ability to cause an upset first up as mentioned, but I will wait until he gets to 1600m-1800m.

DIBAYANI is the horse I am very keen to watch. Highly talented import from Hong Kong, with previous form behind Able Friend and Designs On Rome. His best form is over 1600m-2400m and the 1400m might find him out today. He will need the run as he is resuming off a very long break and could find this a bit sharp. Keen to see his final 200m though.

BIG MEMORY is another stayer that resumes from a spell today. Doesn't have a great first up record and generally needs a few runs to hit top gear. Look out for him later in the prep when he gets out to a longer trip. Was also beaten by Smokin' Joey over 1600m last prep and is worse off at the weights today.

TAIYOO had an absolutely phenomenal prep last time we saw him. From his last 9 races he has 7 wins, one 2nd and one 4th. Does have two wins over 1400m but stretched out to 3200m at his final run last prep where he went down very narrowly. Very interested to see how he has come back and he could be one to spring a little surprise at big odds.

EXCESS KNOWLEDGE had just the two runs last prep which were both wins. His last win was over the likes of Malice and Leebaz, who then went on to win the Group 2 Hollindale Stakes in Brisbane later in his prep. Has had two nice trials leading into this and does have a great first up record (5:2-1-1) so should be ready to fire here. My problem lies with the fact he is a Gai Waterhouse horse resuming (or even running) in Melbourne. The market should tell the story here so keep an eye on that lead.

PETROLOGY was expected to run very well fresh last start when he resumed in the Bletchingly Stakes that was won by Smokin' Joey. He ran well to come from the back and finish 3rd and he would have taken a lot of benefit from that run. 2nd up today and steps up to 1400m today which will suit him more than most here. Barrier 9 means he will go back to the rear and sweep home over the top of them. I think he is a very good chance.

NO TRICKS comes off a win on the Gold Coast. Has had 2 months between races now and drops back from 1800m to 1400m. Will have some residual fitness but will likely need the run before stepping back up in distance.

Verdict

Going to stick with SMOKIN' JOEY here who has the advantage of race fitness on his side. He is racing near enough to career best form and is suited at the weights and by the step up to 1400m. Draws a good gate and should be too slick for many of these horses which will be looking for longer. PETROLOGY comes in as the biggest danger. He will be much fitter today and will appreciate the step up in distance. Behind that it should be fairly even with The Cleaner, Mourinho and Excess Knowledge all able to perform well fresh, while the big watch will be on Hong Kong import DIBAYANI. Absolute blowout chance could be TAIYOO. 

1st Smokin' Joey ($4.40 at William Hill) *Premium Price
2nd Petrology ($7.50 at Ladbrokes)
3rd Mourinho ($7.00 at Bet365)

Other bets for Caulfield:

Race 1 - Gingerboy
Race 2 - Iggimacool
Race 4 - Vezalay
Race 5 - Braccenby E/W
Race 6 - Petits Filous

This day could go very well for favourite backers or they might be eating cardboard for dinner!

Promotions

Ladbrokes

Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the PB Lawrence Stakes at Caulfield this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Ladbrokes horse racing promotion

 

CrownBet

CrownBet Boost: Receive enhanced prices for eight horses across eight different races at Caulfield and Rosehill on Saturday. Promotion available from 11am-1pm Saturday. Details will be provided on the CrownBet website.

Bonus Bet Refund: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on any of the last four races at Caulfield or Rosehill this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Multi Bonus: Place a Fixed Odds win 3+leg multi on any metro venue this Saturday, and if one leg fails, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $50.

Live Vision: CrownBet also offer free streaming vision of all Victorian horse races for its customers on their website, so you can watch Victorian races live.

Luxbet

Place a Win bet on the PB Lawrence at Caulfield this Saturday and if your horse finishes 2nd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100. Applies to your first bet only.

Sportsbet

Place a Win bet on the PB Lawrence at Caulfield this Saturday and if your horse finishes 2nd, receive cash back matching your stake up to $100. Applies to your first bet only.

Sportsbet horse racing promotion

 

Bookmaker

Place a Fixed Odds win bet on San Domenico, Race 5 at Rosehill this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

William Hill Australia

Quaddie Insurance: Place your first quaddie at Rosehill this Saturday at William Hill and if your last leg loses, get cash back matching your stake up to $50.

Premium Prices: Receive special over the odds prices on selected horse races this Saturday around the country. Head to the website for more details.

BetStar

Vain Stakes Bonus Bet: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Vain Stakes, Race 5 at Caulfield this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Lay of the Day: Get enhanced fixed odds of $4 for Dig a Pony in Race 3 at Caulfield this Saturday. Max bet $50.

Centrebet

Power Prices: Receive special over the odds prices on selected horse races this Saturday around the country. Head to the website for more details.

BetHQ

No Loss Weekend! New customers can enjoy a no lose weekend at BetHQ. Get busy on the punt over the weekend, and on Monday morning, if your account has suffered a loss, then the difference will be refunded as a bonus bet up to $500!

TopBetta

Horse Racing Tournaments! Join in regular horse racing tournaments every Saturday at TopBetta! Compete against other punters and whoever can accumulate the most winnings during the day with their tournament dollars will scoop the lion's share of the prize pool! Great fun for a Saturday on the punt with minimal risk and big prize pools.

 

Make sure to read full terms and conditions of any betting promotion before placing any bets. 

_ _ _ 

Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

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