Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Sandown Hillside on Wednesday, June 17th.
We’re racing on the Hillside track on Wednesday where the track is rated a Soft 5 and the rail is out 3m for the entire circuit. There is eight races scheduled for the meeting and you can find Trent Crebbin's preview and betting tips below!
You can also click here to view our Warwick Farm preview and betting tips!
Sandown Hillside Racing Tips: Wednesday, June 17th
Best Bet: Race 5 - (2) Shahzade
Best Value: Race 7 - (9) Alsvin
Handy little 1000m contest. The top three in the market do look to have a handle on the race. I’ll start with the favourite (2) Standoff who was a winner down the straight at big odds last start. It was a solid win and Olly jumps on but she’s one tenth of the price she started last time out. I’m going with a debutant in the form of (4) Ilovethegame. The jumpout was excellent leading in, he draws barrier 2 for Newitt/Eurell and looks to have a bit of talent so I’d rather take the price about him instead of the two favourites.
Tricky race, and I’m not overly keen to get involved. There’s not much between (1) Toyz On Fire and (2) Derive from their Wangaratta clash. Toyz On Fire won but did start $18. There’s a couple at big odds that I could speck. The booking of Olly on (10) Creed Adventis interests me. He’s only ridden for Busuttin/Young seven times this season, for two wins and a POT of 52.9%. The training duo also have a POT of 30.8% at the Hillside track this season. The horse draws well, could find an easy lead and comes out of some solid races earlier this year. The horse that could potentially start $50+ on the exchange is (5) Bout. The debut run was nothing to get excited about, but it did run the 3rd fastest last 200m of the race, with the 2nd horse having beaten the older horses easily since. The extra 100m suits and she could run better than her odds suggest from an inside barrier.
The staying contest of the day, and as usual it’s a pretty dour affair. I’ll keep this simple and side with the horse with upside, which to me is (10) Art Heiress. A good winner at Cranbourne two back, this 3yo filly just had no hope given the race shape at Flemington. She gets quickly up to 2400m which should suit, and she has the SP over a few rivals from her last start. The favourite is (6) Sign Seal Deliver who was close up in a much harder race last start as $2.10 favourite. He comes through the St Leger a couple of runs back, so we know he’ll run the trip, but I’ve been taking on everything out of that race and it’s worked so far, so at the even money I have to be against.
(10) Art Heiress E/W
$9.00
Tough race, but it’s not bad quality. I’m not sure what to make of (3) Grand De Flora’s last start performance. She started favourite and looked to get a good run behind the speed but was beaten a long way out when the swoopers came. Personally, I think she’s looking for further being by Savabeel. The winner of that race was (1) Oriental Lily, and she was dominant after being well backed to start 3rd favourite. There are a couple of negatives she’ll have to deal with here. She meets the field 2.5kg worse off and comes back onto drier ground. On a soft 5 at Flemington two back (2) Charleise comfortably had her measure. Last start she got into a tricky position back in the field, racing without cover at the tail before being held up a touch in the straight, whereas Oriental Lily was able to build momentum perfectly. 3rd in that race was (4) Quantum Mechanic, but I’m not convinced she can turn the tables as she did have a much easier run and the two in front were pulling away late. Look for (6) Rapid Romance next start and possibly up in trip. I want to follow my money with Grand De Flora but she’s the same price as the others and has 5 lengths to make up. I’ve got Charleise on top who I think can turn the tables with a more positive ride.
Gee this race sets up well for (2) Shahzade. She won two in a row at the midweeks before jumping up to a handy mares BM84 at Flemington and finished off well for 3rd, being one of only two horses in the race to break 12 seconds for her last 200m. She maps to sit midfield and with any pattern well and truly revealed by now, Zahra can find the best part of the track and prove too strong. The topweight (1) Pure Scot looks the danger. She hasn’t been able to crack a win this preparation, but she’s been close up in similar races, finishing just over a length behind All Too Huiying and Sikorsky last start. That effort would go close here, but Shahzade has the upside.
Tough race with a big field and many horses first up. One of those at double figures is (3) Guess Again. This So You Think mare is 2/4 first up, draws well and handles all ground. Her last start before a spell was good, leading and finishing 3rd to a couple of handy types. She also led in a recent jumpout, so I’d expect them to be fairly prominent from barrier 3. (10) Splendid Isolation narrowly beat (11) Sword Of Mercy on debut. The former failed next time out and comes here fresh, while the latter was dominant first up in an average race. (2) Elite Legacy has a big weight first up but was good last preparation, winning twice in this grade before running credibly in tougher contests. The chances don’t end there. If (9) Prussian Dream gets out to the 40-1 range on the exchange I could speck him. He doesn’t win many, but I liked the last start run and will carry just 55.5kg after Stockdale’s claim.
A few of these met last start, with (8) Trigger Point landing the prize. He’s a big chance again but does rise a bit in the weights. I think (13) Maximak can turn the tables. He started $3.80 favourite in that race and didn’t seem to love the heavy track. His win before at Cranbourne was dominant, and he meets the others better at the weights. (6) Hapaira was 2nd in that race and has obvious claims again. I’m not sure why (9) Alsvin is $34. He was coming off a 7 week break two back and was only beaten 1.25L by Trigger point, carrying 2kg more after starting shorter in the market. Last start he was given absolutely no hope in a much better race, going around 3 and 4 wide on speed and was only beaten 5 lengths behind Ruban Bleu and I’m Telling Ya. He’ll be my best value of the day each way whilst having something on Maximak.
(9) Boomstock has been frustrating to follow this campaign, running three 2nd placings in a row. I’d have preferred this to be at 2000m, but he finally steps up in trip and I think he can break through. In his last 9 races, he’s started $2.70 or under 8 times, and was $6 when first up and not fit. Now 4th up out to 1800m you’re getting nearly that price at $5.50. He draws barrier 9, which should be fine at this time of the day and if you’ve been on him I think you have to go again. If (1) La Belle Jude can get across from out wide she’ll run well, even with the big weight. She’s absolutely flying and her 3rd to Oasis Girl two back would probably win this. (3) Ridgewood Drive is ready to win. His last start effort behind Sikorsky at Flemington was solid, but he’ll likely be back near the fence which could be chopped up. (13) Jenkins probably should’ve won at Warnambool, then went forward last start and dropped out over 2000m. Back to 1800 and with a quieter ride he can feature, especially if they’re coming very wide in the straight. If that’s the case, he’ll be my other play in the race so watch the pattern.
