AFL Round 9 comes to a close on Sunday afternoon with a match between Richmond and Adelaide at the MCG. The Tigers are coming off their first win of the season and welcome back star midfielder Tim Taranto, while the Crows are flying high after a thrilling Showdown win against the Power last weekend.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Tigers vs Crows below. And if you’re keen to back in our tips, consider doing so at Bet365 - one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in the world!
Richmond vs Adelaide Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 9
Monkey off the Tigers Back
Richmond enters this Round 9 clash with renewed energy and a sense of relief after securing their first victory of the 2026 season against West Coast. Their 11-point win at Optus Stadium was sparked by Jack Ross who led from the front with 29 disposals and 11 clearances. Noah Balta proved to be a versatile threat in his ruck-forward role while young forward Seth Campbell provided the clinical finish with three goals. The Tigers gain a further boost this week with the return of star midfielder Tim Taranto who replaces the injured Dion Prestia.
Crows Starting to Build
Adelaide arrives at the MCG with confidence after a thrilling one-point Showdown victory over Port Adelaide. The Crows were inspired by Sam Berry who claimed the Showdown Medal following a relentless performance featuring 29 disposals and a massive 19 tackles. While they lose veteran forward Taylor Walker to a hamstring injury, the return of captain Jordan Dawson and defender Nick Murray strengthens their spine. With Izak Rankine also starting to build some form, Adelaide possesses the top-end talent required to overwhelm a developing Richmond outfit.
Recent H2H History
Recent encounters between these two sides suggest a significant advantage for the visitors who dismantled Richmond 122 to 54 in their most recent meeting at the MCG. While the Tigers showed improved defensive grit last week, they have historically struggled to neutralise the Crows when the game opens up on the wide wings of the MCG.
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What to Expect? Here’s Our Best Bet
Adelaide are heavy favourites with a 39.5-point handicap, but the real value is in their team total of 108.5. They piled on 122 points in their last MCG visit against the Tigers and look set to dominate territory again. Expect the Crows to trap the ball in their forward half and use relentless repeat entries to eventually break an undermanned and undersized Richmond defence. Taking the over on Adelaide’s 108.5 points feels like the sharpest play of the afternoon.
Adelaide Over 108.5 Points
$1.87 (1.5 Units)
Richmond vs Adelaide Prop Bet
After a huge 2025 season, it’s been a tough season to date for Riley Thilthorpe. Due to a much tougher fixture and perhaps a dip in confidence, he’s only averaging the 1.6 goals per game so far. However, he now comes up against the worst defence in the AFL, which presents the perfect opportunity to kick a bag and kickstart his season. He kicked 5 against the Tiger last time they met and I'm expecting something similar again on Sunday.
Riley Thilthorpe 4+ Goals
$3.05
Richmond vs Adelaide Same Game Multi
Adelaide to Win: They should be far too powerful for the young and undermanned Tigers.
Riley Thilthorpe 4+ Goals: For the reasons mentioned above in our prop bet.
Izak Rankine 2+ Goals: This is a great opportunity for Rankine to continue to build his form. He’s kicked 6 goals over the last 4 weeks and will get plenty of chances against the Tigers.
Same Game Odds: $5.00 at Bet365
Richmond vs Adelaide Match Info & Betting Odds
Date: Sunday 10th May
Time: 3:15pm AEST
Location: MCG, Melbourne
Odds: Richmond $6.40 vs Adelaide $1.12
Line: +39.5
Points: 180.5
Where to Watch Richmond vs Adelaide
You can watch the Tigers vs Crows live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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