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Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Predictions & Tips: AFL Round 10 2024

May 18th 2024, 3:09pm, By: Jack Tobin

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn Betting Tips

The second game on Sunday’s schedule sees the Power hosting the in-form Hawks at the Adelaide Oval. Port Adelaide will be looking to continue their push for a top four spot and we’ve got you covered with our full preview below!

Before You Bet have you sorted for the AFL season with comprehensive coverage of the 2024 AFL Season including free previews and betting tips for every game this year. Head to our AFL Tips to stay up to date with all of our content during the 2024 AFL Season.

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AFL Round 10 Preview & Betting Tips

Port Adelaide vs Hawthorn

Sunday 3:20pm AEST, Sunday 19th May, Adelaide Oval

The Power held on for their best win of the season last week, beating Geelong at GMHBA Stadium for the first time since 2007. Port Adelaide flew out of the blocks with an eight goal to one first quarter, and led by as much as 49 points in the second quarter. The Power then conceded nine goals to three in the second half, but just managed to hold on in a six point victory.

Port Adelaide’s early dominance was built on the back of clinical centre clearance work , kicking 5.1 from stoppages in the first quarter alone. Despite missing Connor Rozee, the Power’s midfield ran riot with Zak Butters (34 disposals, 7 clearances), Ollie Wines (33 disposals, 9 clearances), Willem Drew (27 disposals, 5 clearances) and Jason Horne-Francis (26 disposals, 7 clearances) broke the game open for the Power.

There’s positive news on the selection front for Ken Hinkley’s side with Connor Rozee, Jordan Sweet and Jason Burgoyne all named in Sunday’s extended squad. At the time of writing there are no confirmed omissions.

Hawthorn will make at least two changes with Jack Scrimshaw (suspension) and Jack Gunston (managed) out of the side this weekend. The Hawks have confirmed Ethan Phillips will make his debut, while Mabior Chol, Bailey Macdonald, Max Ramsden and Changkuoth Jiath have been included in the squad. If Jiath is selected it will be his first game of the season after suffering a serious hamstring injury during preseason.

After starting the season 0-5, Hawthorn have won three of their last four games including wins over St Kilda and the Western Bulldogs in the last fortnight. The win over St Kilda was impressive given the Hawks were without skipper James Sicily, and held on despite not kicking a goal in the fourth quarter.

Hawthorn were led by Karl Amon’s 31 disposals as the Hawks defence stood tall, with St Kilda winning the inside 50 count by 8. Given the quality of Port Adelaide’s forwardline, the Hawks cannot afford to lose the inside 50 count if they’re a chance to win.

Match Prediction: Although Hawthorn have punched above their weight the last fortnight, the prospect of facing Port Adelaide at the Adelaide Oval presents a much greater challenge than the Dogs and Saints. The Hawks are ranked 15th in points for this season averaging only 70 points per game, and that simply won’t stack up against a Port Adelaide side that has kicked over 100 points in five of its nine games in 2024.

The Power also have the Hawks number comfortably in the midfield battle given what Rozee, Butters and Horne-Francis have produced this year. Port Adelaide are ranked sixth in the AFL for clearances, while Hawthorn are ranked 17th for this stat, if the Power win the clearance battle and play the game in their front half, it’s going to be a long day for the Hawks.

Port Adelaide -32.5

$1.90 (1.5 Units)

 

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Zak Butters 30+ Disposals: With Connor Rozee out, Zak Butters put Port Adelaide on his shoulders with 34 disposals and a goal in a match winning performance. Butters has three 30+ disposal performances from his last four games, and looks set for another big outing.

Jason Horne-Francis 20+ Disposals: Much like his other teammates in the midfield, Jason Horne-Francis is putting together a quality season, averaging 22 disposals per game. Horne-Francis has hit the 20 disposals mark in five of his seven games in 2024.

Mitch Georgiades 2+ Goals: After missing nearly the entirety of 2023, Mitch Georgiades has made an excellent return since coming back into the side in Round 4. Georgiades has kicked multiple goals in four of his six games in 2024 including 2 goals against the Cats last week. Given how thin the Hawks are in their key defensive stocks, Georgiades shouldn’t have any opportunities getting looks at goal.

SGM Odds:$4.20 at BoomBet

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Jack Tobin has a Bachelor of Media and Communications Degree, majoring in Sports Media, and has been part of the Before You Bet writing staff since 2019.

Jack is a sports fanatic but is particularly keen on Cricket, AFL, Basketball, NFL and Soccer where he has a keen eye for spotting a winner or three. Jack is still waiting for Essendon to win a final in the AFL, while he also supports the Miami Heat in the NBA, Manchester United in the EPL and the Seattle Seahawks in the NFL.

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