AFL Round 13 begins on Thursday night with a high-quality matchup between Adelaide and Geelong at Adelaide Oval. Both clubs have won five of their last seven games and are coming off last start losses, so we should be in for an intense and exciting spectacle.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Crows vs Cats below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 13
Crows Yet to Match it With the Best
The Adelaide Crows return from their bye carrying some decent momentum into this Thursday night blockbuster at Adelaide Oval, having won five of their last seven matches. However, their 6-5 season record shows a clear divide in quality. While the Crows have been perfect against struggling sides with a 6-0 record against the bottom eight, they are still hunting for their first major scalp of the year, currently sitting at 0-5 against top-10 teams. Breaking that duck will be even tougher this week with Izak Rankine still sidelined by a calf injury and Riley Thilthorpe missing through suspension.
Can’t Read Much into Cats' Recent Loss
Geelong arrives in Adelaide looking to bounce back after a narrow loss to Carlton last week. Prior to that speedbump, Chris Scott’s men were in superb form and playing like genuine premiership contenders. The Cats have banked six wins from their last eight outings, proving they can get the job done when it matters most. Crucially, Geelong has already taken down five top-10 teams this season, showing a level of big-game execution that the Crows are still trying to find.
Recent H2H History & Betting Trends
History heavily favours the visitors here, which gives the Cats a massive psychological edge. Geelong has won six games on the trot against Adelaide, and these matches usually turn into tight, gritty contests rather than blowouts. In fact, the last five meetings between these two sides have all been decided by 1-39 points. That includes their early-season clash back in Round 3, where the Cats ground out an eight-point win.
Crows or Cats? Here’s our Best Bet!
With Adelaide still failing to prove they can match it with the league's best, Geelong looks the safer bet. The Crows will be fresh after the break and will lift in front of a loud home crowd, but the Cats have the composure and experience to handle the heat. Expect a tight, fiercely contested battle that goes right down to the wire, but Geelong should edge it. The play here is Geelong 1-39.
Geelong 1-39
$2.20 (2 Units)
Adelaide vs Geelong Prop Bet
It’s hard not to go back to the well again this week considering the form Jeremy Cameron is in coupled with what the data tells us. He’s kicked 34 goals this season in 11 matches for an average of 3.1. He’s kicked 3+ goals in seven of his last eight games, and he kicked four the last time these clubs met at Adelaide Oval.
Jeremy Cameron 3+ Goals
$1.88
Adelaide vs Geelong Same Game Multi
Geelong to Win: They’ve won six straight against the Crows and look to have the edge once again.
Jeremy Cameron 3+ Goals: He’s kicked 3+ goals in seven of his last eight matches.
Josh Rachele 15+ Disposals: He had a career-high 31 touches when these sides met earlier this season. He should get more midfield time this week with Rankine out.
Adelaide vs Geelong Match Info & Betting Odds
Date: Thursday 4th June
Time: 7:30pm AEST
Location: Adelaide Oval
Odds: Adelaide $2.36 vs Geelong $1.60
Line: +8.5
Points: 166.5
Where to Watch Adelaide vs Geelong
You can watch the Crows vs Cats live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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