It’s a huge Saturday night clash in Round 9 of the AFL with Geelong taking on Collingwood at the MCG. It’s an important match for both clubs who haven’t quite been at their best so far this season, although all eyes will be on Scott Pendlebury as he ties Boomer Harvey’s AFL games played record.
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Cats vs Magpies below. And if you’re keen to back in our tips, consider doing so at Bet365 - one of the biggest and best sportsbooks in the world!
Geelong vs Collingwood Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2026 Round 9
Are the Cats Contenders?
Geelong enters this Round 9 blockbuster with momentum following a 49-point dismantling of North Melbourne. Their offensive versatility was on full display in Round 8 as they piled on 135 points with 12 different goal scorers contributing to the tally. Max Holmes was the premier playmaker again, coming off a staggering 802 metres gained and 28 disposals, while the backline gains an emotional lift with star defender Tom Stewart celebrating his 200th AFL game.
Pendles Matches Games Record
Collingwood arrives at the MCG looking to re-establish the defensive grit that defined their recent premiership era. While their 2026 campaign has been inconsistent, the headlines belong to Scott Pendlebury. He is poised to equal Brent Harvey’s all-time record of 432 VFL/AFL games. To honour the occasion with a win, the Magpies must find a way to neutralise Geelong’s intercept marking and prevent the game from becoming a high-scoring shootout.
Recent H2H History & Betting Trends
Recent head-to-head history heavily favours the Cats, who have secured victory in six of their last seven encounters against the Magpies. Last time they met was an absolute thriller with the Cats coming away three-point winners (90-87). We could be in for another tight contest as well if history is to repeat, as each of the last seven meetings between these sides have been decided by a margin of four goals or less.
Cats or Magpies? Here’s Our Best Bet
The line has been set at -12.5 in favour of Geelong, and the Cats look well-positioned to cover this spread. Their more potent attack, tendency to pile on goals quicky, and ability to pull away late, contrasts sharply with Collingwood’s recent struggles to hit the scoreboard. If Mullin is able to nullify to Daicos to some degree, then the Magpies have little weapons to hurt the Cats enough over four quarters to casue the upset.
Geelong -12.5
$1.91 (2 Units)
Geelong vs Collingwood Prop Bet
Nick Daicos has been at his accumulating best this season, leading the league in disposals per game at 36.6. However, he now comes up against the best tagger in the business in Oisin Mullin who has been shutting down superstars for fun this season. Daicos has failed to reach the 30-disposal mark in 3 of his last 5 against the Cats including last time where he had 28. On top of that, he looked extremely sore against the Hawks last week. He could be in for a tough night.
Nick Daicos Under 29.5 Disposals
$1.86
Geelong vs Collingwood Same Game Multi
Jeremy Cameron 3+ Goals: After a quiet start to the year, Jezza has found his form late with 3+ goals in each of his last four games, including a bag of 10 a couple of weeks back.
Jamie Elliott 2+ Goals: Similarly to Cameron, Elliott has found his rhythm over the last couple of weeks with 2+ goals in three straight games and remains good value.
Shannon Neale 2+ Goals: Neale remains a constant threat up forward for the Cats and has kicked 2+ goals in four of his last five games and is averaging 2.3 for the season.
Same Game Odds: $5.00 at Bet365
Geelong vs Collingwood Match Info & Betting Odds
Date: Saturday 9th May
Time: 7:35pm AEST
Location: MCG, Melbourne
Odds: Geelong $1.50 vs Collingwood $2.60
Line: -12.5
Points: 176.5
Where to Watch Geelong vs Collingwood
You can watch the Cats vs Magpies live and ad-free on Kayo Sports.
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