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Australia vs Philippines Predictions & Tips: 2025 FIBA Asia Cup Quarterfinals

August 12th 2025, 6:55pm, By: Jake Smit

Asia Cup Betting Tips

We’re now into the business end of the FIBA Asia Cup with just eight nations remaining, meaning it’s time for the quarterfinals! The Australian Boomers have had a great campaign thus far and will head into their final 8 meeting with the Philippines as the hot favourites. Action gets underway at 9pm AEST on Wednesday night, and we have you covered with our preview and tips for the game below! 

BlondeBet

FIBA Asia Cup Australia vs Philippines Quarterfinal Preview & Tip 

Can the Boomers be Stopped? 

The reigning champions, the Australian Boomers, enter the quarter-finals in imperious form, looking every bit the team to beat. They swept through the group stage with an undefeated record, showcasing their depth and offensive firepower. They have been a well-oiled machine, securing comfortable, double-digit victories against South Korea, Lebanon, and a spirited Qatar side. With a balanced scoring attack and suffocating defence, Australia has yet to be truly tested in this tournament. Players like Jaylin Galloway have stepped up, leading a roster that combines NBL talent with future stars, all of whom have seamlessly bought into the team's system. Their clinical execution makes them a formidable opponent for any team standing in their way of a third straight Asia Cup title.

 

Philippines Doing it the Hard Way 

The Philippines, known as Gilas Pilipinas, have taken a much more arduous path to the final eight. After a shaky group stage that saw them finish with a 1-2 record, they had to dig deep in a do-or-die qualification match against host nation Saudi Arabia. It took a heroic, last-second three-pointer from naturalised star Justin Brownlee to force overtime, where Gilas finally pulled away for a dramatic victory. Their journey has been characterised by resilience but also inconsistency. They have relied heavily on the offensive brilliance of Brownlee and Dwight Ramos, and will need a monumental team effort to challenge the tournament favourites.

 

Head-to-Head History 

History in this matchup heavily favours the Australians. The Boomers hold a commanding 5-1 all-time record against the Philippines in FIBA competitions. This will be the first encounter between the two nations since the infamous and chaotic brawl during the 2018 World Cup qualifiers, an incident that resulted in multiple suspensions and left a dark cloud over their rivalry. While both rosters have changed significantly since then, the memory of that game adds an undeniable layer of tension and intrigue to this highly anticipated quarter-final clash.

 

Boomers to Advance With Ease

Given the form of both teams, it's difficult to see anything other than an Australian victory. The Boomers' depth, size, and systematic approach present a matchup nightmare for a Philippines team that has battled hard but lacks the same level of consistent execution. While Justin Brownlee is capable of a scoring explosion, Australia has the defensive versatility to make things difficult for him. Expect the Boomers to control the tempo from the outset and methodically break down the Gilas defence. Australia should not only win but also comfortably cover the -18.5 point spread on their way to the semi-finals.

Australia -18.5

$1.98

Based on the South-West coast of Victoria, Jake has been an avid sports fanatic since he could walk. Aussie Rules, basketball, and soccer are his main three loves, but he's also got a soft spot for countless other sports.

Besides being a major contributor to our sports and fantasy content since 2017, Jake is our Content Manager & Editor and helps to plan and coordinate our team of writers every week. He's also one of the unlucky ones that is a keen Port Adelaide and Phoenix Suns fan, so go easy on him.

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