Collingwood on a two-game losing streak, Richmond on a two-game winning streak. Not long ago it would be far-fetched for that to be the reality coming into this game, but that’s the scenario as Sunday football kicks off at the MCG!
We bring you our full preview and expert tips for the Tigers vs Magpies below, with odds thanks to Dabble!
Richmond vs Collingwood Prediction & Betting Tips: AFL 2025 Round 20
Tigers in Form
After grinding their way to an ugly win against a depleted Essendon side, Richmond produced their best performance of the season on the road in Perth last week. The Tigers smashed West Coast by 49 points, and kicked over 100 points for the first time since Round 23 2023. Richmond were led by experienced stars Jacob Hopper (33 disposals, 2 goals) and Tim Taranto (30 disposals, 3 goals) who dominated West Coast’s midfield. Adam Yze’s side have now registered five wins this season, massively exceeding expectations in what has been a positive campaign for last year’s wooden spooners.
Magpies Challenged for the First Time In 2025
Collingwood had the roles reversed last week against Fremantle, as they gave up a 22 point lead in the final quarter to go down by 1 point. The Pies have now lost back to back games, which now has them only two points ahead of second placed Brisbane, after looking like the minor premiership was secured just a fortnight ago. Despite the defeats, Collingwood’s game is still stacking up well in most areas. The Pies won most of the key stats against Fremantle, recording +23 inside 50’s, +21 tackles, +20 contested possessions and +4 clearances. Collingwood’s pressure game was through the roof, recording 86 tackles (19 above their season average) and a whopping 35 tackles inside 50 (22 above their season average).
The Stats That Matter
Collingwood have been the best pressure team in the AFL, ranking 1st for tackles, 2nd for tackles inside 50 and 4th for pressure acts. If they bring the heat they brought last week against Fremantle, Richmond are going to be in a lot of trouble. This pressure has enabled Collingwood to be one of the best teams at scoring from turnovers, ranking 2nd in the competition with 56.2 points per game. The Tigers have been one of the worst teams in the league at defending turnovers this season, which has resulted in Richmond conceding the third most points in the league in 2025 (94 points per game).
Tigers or Magpies? Here’s Our Collingwood vs Richmond Tip
It’s a nightmare scenario for Richmond coming up against the ladder leaders, who will be out to send a statement after losing their last two games. The Pies are loading up with talent, with Dan Houston, Tim Membrey and Tom Mitchell coming into the extended squad for Sunday’s clash. Collingwood has a 9-0 record against the current bottom nine teams on the ladder, with an average winning margin of 38 points in those nine wins.
On the other hand, Richmond has a 1-7 record against top eight teams, with an average losing margin of 53 points. The Tigers 13 losses this season have come by an average margin of 47 points. As expected with such a young side, it’s a tough effort for them to compete across four quarters, especially against the better sides in the AFL. The Magpies will be desperate to bounce back, expect an empathic performance by Collingwood, who have won three of their last four against Richmond.
Collingwood -45.5
$1.90 (1.5 Units)
Richmond vs Collingwood Prop Bet: Elliott Set to Shine Again
Our Best Prop Bet: Elliott 3+ Goals
Jamie Elliott has been in the form of his life, kicking a career best 46 goals, with still four home & away games plus finals to go. Elliott has kicked 9 goals across his last three games, and has kicked 3+ goals in seven of his last fourteen games. With the supply Collingwood’s forward line should get, Elliott will be in for another big day in front of goal.
Jamie Elliott 3+ Goals
$2.00
Richmond vs Collingwood Same Game Multi
Nick Daicos 30+ Disposals: Nick Daicos was moved to half back last week, and it resulted in a career high disposal count. Daicos amassed 43 disposals, to continue a stellar five week run for the superstar. Daicos’ last five weeks has produced disposal counts of 43, 26, 36, 34, and 30 disposals. While his last two games against Richmond have seen him record 42 and 33 disposals.
Josh Daicos 25+ Disposals: Josh Daicos backed up his stunning fourth quarter in Round 18, with a 25 disposal game against Fremantle. Daicos has reached the 25+ disposal mark in 11 of his last 13 games and is currently on a six game streak of recording at least 25 disposals.
Brody Mihocek 2+ Goals: Once again Brody Mihocek keeps producing in front of goal, kicking 30 goals in 15 games this season. Mihocek has kicked 2 goals in three consecutive games, and has kicked multiple goals in 8 of his last 12 games.
Richmond vs Collingwood Betting Odds & Match Info
Weather: Light rain, 12 degrees
Odds: Richmond ($10) vs Collingwood ($1.05)
Where to Watch Richmond vs Collingwood?
Tail our Richmond vs Collingwood Tips at Dabble!
