Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Moonee Valley on Saturday, September 7th.
We've previewed every race on the card below.
Moonee Valley Racing Tips: Saturday, September 7th
Best Bet: Race 5 - (1) Exhilarates
Best Value: Race 2 - (13) Silent Roar
Think (2) The Holy One could just about be a moral here. I'm surprised they opened $5.00 and I'm still surprised there's $2.80 around. He was dominant breaking his maiden at Echuca and he was strong to the line when winning convincingly at Sandown last start, despite sitting three-wide the trip. I don't think this is necessarily a difficult field and this stable seem to have their runners absolutely flying at the minute. Should be up on speed and should prove very difficult to beat. The stablemate (3) Cheptegei can be thrown in at decent odds given how well the stable is going, while (5) Olympic Oath has had a solid start to his career and Linsey Smith also has his team going very well.
One horse stands out for me as a bet here and that's (13) Silent Roar. She comes out of a very strong form race first up behind Age Of Chivalry and Rox The Castle, who have both gone on to win again, and her second up record currently stands at three wins from three starts. Second up last prep she went from 1400m to 1600m and bolted in by 2.75L, so if she can get a cosy enough run from barrier 11 today she should be very competitive at a nice each way price ($8.50). (1) Junipal was a solid winner over track and distance last start and should be hard to beat once again, while (16) But It's True can be thrown into numbers at each way odds.
(13) Silent Roar E/W
$8.50
It's not exactly like the stable is flying at the moment but I'll follow my money on (8) King Of Leogrance here, who I backed first up. On that occasion, he ran home strongly to be beaten less than a length after settling three-wide without cover throughout the race. Damien Oliver replaces Anthony Darmanin today and from the good draw he should be able to settle in a prominent position. Expecting him to be hard to beat. (6) Kentucky Breeze is flying and can be competitive again, (7) Inverloch can bounce back after a luckless run last time out.
(8) King Of Leogrance
$2.80
(2) Haut Brion Her has done nothing to suggest she can't win this. She's three from three in Sydney this preparation and hasn't looked like losing, and the form has stood up so I'm happy to continue following her. (1) Working From Home is huge odds at $51. She tends to improve second up from a spell and she won her only start at this track and distance. Damien Oliver jumps off (12) Turfane to ride (6) Mystery Love who is undefeated and returns from a spell. (9) Victory Kingdom will be around the mark.
Value: (1) Working From Home $51
I find it hard to see (1) Exhilarates getting beat here after her dominant return to the track first up at Caulfield. She came from back in the field to sweep home over the top of them with a superior turn of foot. She only rises 100m in distance which will be no problem and she's drawn perfectly in barrier 4. If she repeats what she did first up, she'll be winning. (7) Sassy Salitage has been well backed in both career starts to date and she's won both in good style. The latest of those was at this track and distance so she's got the experience here and she'll also be ahead of Exhilarates in the run. She'll come across to sit right up on the speed and she'll be the one Exhilarates needs to run down.
Good little race this. (10) The Inevitable produced a big performance first up to beat Assertive Approach down the straight at Flemington and Assertive Approach then came out and won its next start in Listed grade. I think the step up in trip suits The Inevitable better today so I'll stick with him to win again. (6) Deprive has been impressive in Sydney, winning his past five starts. I reckon he beat a very smart horse in Trope last start but the query for him here is where he ends up from barrier 3. There's every chance he gets strung up behind horses around the turn, although Oliver probably won't let that happen. (11) Tavisan next best.
(10) The Inevitable
$3.10
(1) Faatinah could be a good each way bet in an open race here at $6.50. He's won five from seven when first up from a spell and he's won over this track and distance previously. He just flies fresh and he's drawn to sit right up on the speed so I'm expecting him to be in this for a long way. (3) Bons Away has a better first up record than he does second up, but he should have won first up when beaten narrowly by Assertive Approach. He didn't necessarily have a hard run on that occasion so he might just be good enough to win this. (10) Prophet's Thumb is an interesting runner. She won first up in Sydney last prep and continued on to win in Listed company. She could fire fresh here. (4) Eduardo certainly not hopeless, while it remains to be seen which (6) Booker turns up today.
A really competitive line up for the Group 2 Feehan Stakes. (3) Homesman returns from a spell and he went awfully close in this same race last year when beaten a nose. He went on to win a Group 1 second up last prep so he's not short of ability. He draws awkwardly in barrier 13 here but if he gets a decent enough run, he can go close once again. (7) Mahamedeis might not have the ability of some others in this race but he was huge first up and he has a terrific second up record. He's won three of his four starts when second up and the one he missed out on was last prep when he was completely luckless. He's won his only start at this track and distance and he could be the smokey in the race at $18. (9) Sikandarabad could be another that will improve second up after a good first up run behind Mystic Journey. That form should hold up. (15) Kenedna might just need one more run but she gets the blinkers on second up today which is a sure sign they've got her close to the mark. Not sure the Valley is her track but she's a quality mare.
Value: (7) Mahamedeis $18
Hoping (4) Dr Drill can bounce back from his last-start failure on heavy ground at Flemington. Prior to that he was racing very consistently and with Craig Williams booked to ride today, it would suggest the horse has taken no ill-effect from his poor showing last time out. Drawn for a nice run from barrier 1 and down to 54kg, he should be in the finish. (6) Love Shack Baby makes the trip down to Melbourne after some good recent form in NSW. He can be competitive at each way odds.
