The first game on Sunday afternoon is arguably the ‘match of the round’ with the Knights hosting the Rabbitohs. Both teams are locked in a battle for a few remaining spots in the Top 8 and will be desperate to grab a victory. Such a result has large implications moving forward, with a win over a potential Finals opponent another factor. The action in this game promises to be exciting!
As always, BeforeYouBet is here to take a thorough look at the action in this game and will be here all weekend to guide you through a multitude of sporting action.
NRL Round 25 Preview & Betting Tips
Newcastle Knights vs South Sydney Rabbitohs
McDonald Jones Stadium, Sunday 20th August, 2pm (AEST)
Preview
The Knights delivered their second crushing defeat of the Bulldogs in 2023 with a 42-6 victory in front of their home fans. Clearly the better team, the Knights lead 30-nil at the break after a 5-try blitz in the first half. With the game all but decided, they continued about their business in the second half. Controlling possession (55%) and having a superior completion rate (77%), the Knights averaged 9.3m per carry, had 571pcm and had 7 line breaks. Defensively, they allowed just 1 line break and missed 26 tackles. This has seen them climb up the competition ladder and NRL Power Rankings list.
The Rabbitohs are still searching for consistency, unconvincing in their 26-14 win over the Dragons. Forced into a grinding contest, they rarely looked comfortable and allowed the Dragons numerous chances to get back into the contest. Their shocking 63% completion rate highlights just how poor they are. Able to score from anywhere on the field, they are not building enough pressure on their opponents to be afforded this opportunity. Despite dominating metres (1,778), post contact metres (453), line breaks (5) and missed tackles (23), they were let down by their execution. Still able to get the win, they will need a strong performance here as they cling onto a spot in the Top 8.
Verdict
The doubt around Jackson Hastings featuring in this match has led to the Rabbitohs being named as favourites ($2.15 vs $1.70). He has been named, but the consensus is that he will miss this match. They would be foolish to risk him when he could miss the entire Finals schedule if further damage to his ankle were to occur. If you analyse the form of each side, it is surprising to see the Rabbitohs listed as favourites; the Knights are performing well and have what it takes to pressure their opponents in most areas. Season averages suggest the Knights have an edge also; they average 25gpp in attack compared with the Rabbitohs 24ppg. Both teams concede an average of 20ppg. Recent history suggests the Rabbitohs have a slight edge; they have won their past 3 matches against the Knights, while home ground advantage sways the contest back in favour of the Knights (54% vs 44% record at this ground).
With plenty to play for, you can expect the best of both sides. The Rabbitohs have been promising as much in recent weeks but are yet to deliver. The Knights have been performing well but doubts remain about their ability against top sides. With that, and the possibility of this game being tight, in mind, it is best to take a betting option which involves this game being close. It is better to take this option and see what unfolds over 80 minutes than taking an opponent on to win the contest.
Either Team to Win Under 10.5 Points
$1.95 (1.5 Units)
