Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Kensington and Bendigo on Wednesday, March 6th.
We’re racing on a Good 4 at both tracks and we’ve picked out our best bets from each venue.
Check out our selections below! As announced earlier today, the Before You Bet Podcast will return this week, ahead of a huge weekend of Group 1 racing! Be sure to tune in!
Pretty keen on this Hawkes runner Amangiri here and I think the $3.00 on offer is actually pretty decent. I reckon the stable is going particularly well at the moment and this filly did a very good job to finish 2nd on debut after sitting wide without for the second half of the race. That race has already produced three subsequent winners which, given it was only a month ago, indicates the form is holding up strongly. She’s had experience at this track now, steps up in distance, draws well and finds a very winnable race. Pretty keen.
Kylease went close on debut at Warwick Farm on Heavy ground before breaking her maiden at Gosford last time out as the $1.40 favourite. The horse she beat - Sir Owen - has since come out and won so the form has held up and she took care of him pretty easily so she's up to this grade, no doubt. She's been given a trial since that win and looks to be ticking along nicely, so from the good draw (3) today, she should once again prove hard to beat stepping up in class. She looks the leader in the race, with WImlah likely to come across and join her from the wide gate, but she should find the front with relative ease. After opening $4.20, her price has been crunched all the way into $2.40 ($2.80 enhanced with Ladbrokes).
This horse culd be a complete moral, Wagner. He's a very good animal and he returns to the races today as a gelding. He blted in first up last preparation when taking out his maiden by 3L and went on to win his next start in BM74 grade too. He failed in some of the better 3YO races as his preparation went on, so with that came the decision to geld him. He's only had the one trial leading into this and he looked superb in winning it under a stranglehold. He jumped very well so it will be interesting to see where he ends up in the run here. Robbie Dolan takes 2kg off him and with even luck I think he wins this pretty easily.
Another horse who returns as a gelding today is Calculated for Chris Waller and Kerrin McEvoy. I'm a bit reluctant to bet into this race as it's a bit murky, but I can't let Calculated go around at $8.00 without something on. He could stay very solid around that mark or he could start 15/1 and I wouldn't be surprised. He's shown plenty of talent in his eight starts to date. Early in his career he beat Brave Song before running 2nd to Siege Of Quebec. He resumed with a runner-up finish behind Savatiano first up last prep and went on to run 3rd in the Gold Coast Magic Millions race behind Pierata and Goodfella. All of that is very solid form for a midweek race at Kensington. I'm sure he probably has a few bigger targets ahead of him this Autumn but this is a good starting point and the 1400m first up indicates to me they've got enough work into him. He made great improvement from his first trial to his second trial and I'm expecting him to run a big race here. Carries 60.5kg from barrier 10 which isn't ideal, but he's got a class edge on plenty of these. 1x3 sort of bet looks appealing.
There really wasn't a great deal on this card that interested me but the Team WIlliams runenr Latin Beat should be going close here. He won first up from a 30-week spell at Sandown two weeks ago over 1800m and today he steps up to 2200m. The extra trip should suit him given he ran 2nd beaten a nose first up last preparation over 2400m. He should derive plenty of benefit from that race a fortnight ago and we'll probably see similar tactics today from barrier 11, with the horse likely to roll forward to either lead or sit outside the speed. Fanciful Toff was beaten just a nose by Latin Beat first up and has the benefit of an extra run under the belt, this being his third run for the preparation. He also gets senior rider John Allen on board, who takes over from apprentice Liam Riordan. He should go close but he had barrier 1 the other day and didn't have to do any work in the run. Today he's drawn barrier 10 so is unlikely to have such a cosy run. Therefore, sticking with Latin Beat.
Something a bit different here with a horse I'm pretty keen to take on at the current price. Boss Coni comes up the $3.50 favourite in Race 5 at Bendigo on the back of an eye-catching first up run at Stawell. While he seemingly put the writing on the wall with that performance, he always tends to run well first up, but the same can't be said about his second up record. He's finished in the top two in four of his five first-up runs, but has only placed once from four second-up runs. While he's got a terrific record at this distance with three wins and 2nd from four starts, he's got a terrible record at Bendigo, with zero placings from four starts. With just the three wins from 25 career starts, I'm happy to take him on at the price today. This is the first time I've ever put out a lay of the day, so let's hope it doesn't go up in flames.
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