Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing on Thursday, September 10th.
We have five meetings around Australia on Thursday afternoon and Tim Geers has found races he's keen to bet on at four of them! Find his best bets for Mornington, Hawkesbury, Ipswich and Ballina below!
This is a very low 2000m race to start the day at Mornington but I’m having something on (8) Warrior Woman for Phillip Stokes and Luke Nolen. She’s had two starts this prep, over 1400m and 1600m, and now steps up to 2000m for the first time third up from a spell. She gets the blinkers on for the first time so hopefully that can sharpen her up, because this is a very winnable race. Stokes has a great record on the Pakenham track and Nolen is one of his main riders, so the set up looks good.
Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott brings two runners to Hawkesbury today and (9) Only Mine looks to be quite clearly the best of their chances. Whenever this stable bring runners here, they normally win with at least one of them. They operated at a 52% strike rate here last season, with 16 winners from 31 runners. This filly failed in two starts in her debut campaign but she returns from a good break today and has been trialling well leading into her first up run. She led in her latest trial, so expect her to come across from barrier 12 and lead. From there, she will be very hard to run down. (4) Invincible Ninja is the obvious danger. She’s also been trialling well and Mark Newnham is another trainer with a good record here. She will have the sit on Only Mine, it’s just whether she can get past her.
Tony Sears brings one runner to Ipswich today in the form of (1) Raging Pole, who was beaten 2.45L first up at Doomben in a BM78. Back to an easier grade today in a Class 5 at Ipswich today and this looks a very winnable race. He goes well second up with a win and two placings from three starts, including a 0.1L defeat last prep. Speaking of trainers with good strike rates, Tony Sears has a 41% strike rate here at Ipswich. Expecting him to win.
(3) Miss Too Fly resumes from a spell today and should find this easier than what she was racing against last preparation. She did all her racing in the city last campaign, before failing last time we saw her at the Sunshine Coast. She’s trialled at Doomben leading into this, should appreciate dropping back to this BM60 for fillies and mares, and this is one of just two runners on the day for Tony Gollan. Looks hard to beat fresh.
Pretty simple way to play this race. I’ll be backing (3) Entitlement and saving on (1) Dorset Coast. Entitlement finished 5th as favourite first up at Gatton, having won two trials leading into his resumption. He normally improves significantly with that run under the belt though, so I wouldn’t jump off him just yet. He’s undefeated from two starts when second up from a spell. He’ll put himself right up there on speed from barrier 2, he gets Matthew McGuren on board and trainer Michael Costa had four winners from seven starters here at Ballina last season. Expect him to improve and be hard to beat. Dorset Coast is from the Matt Dunn yard. He’s improved with each run this prep, and third up is really when he peaks. He’s undefeated third up and that’s when both career wins have come. He looks the obvious danger.
The Group 1 Moir Stakes headlines Friday night's meeting at Moonee Valley, and is the first of three Group 1s in Australia this weekend. It promises to be a cracking night of racing, despite some predicted rain, and Trent Crebbin has given his assessment of every race on the card here! read more
The final round of the 2020 NRL season is underway and as usual, there is a double header to dig into on Friday night! The action gets underway at 6.00pm and as usual, we have a full preview and betting tips for both games here read more
After a blistering start from The Horse on Thursday, fellow racing expert Joshua Reed is hoping to start just as well in his first preview for the Before You Bet team on Friday! Find his preview and best bets for Scone and Goulburn here! read more
Another big weekend of NFL action coming up! Week 3 in the NFL gets underway on Friday morning with the Dolphins taking on the Jags and continues early on Monday morning. As usual, we have a preview and betting tips for some of the key matchups of the week as well as betting tips for every game here read more
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Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more
Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more
Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more
That's it! The 2020 AFL regular season has come to an end and Brisbane's Lachie Neale has surely done enough to secure the 2020 Brownlow Medal with another brilliant game in Round 18. Let's take a closer look at our Round 18 Brownlow Medal vote predictions! read more
There's just one more round to go in the 2020 AFL season. Round 17 has completed and the Brownlow votes are locked away. It was a quiet round for those at the top of our Brownlow leaderboard, but there were a couple of stand out performances this weekend. Let's take a closer look at each match with our Round 17 Brownlow vote predictions. read more
2020 AFL Brownlow Medal predictions and vote tracker. Our AFL experts offer round-by-round Brownlow votes including a rolling Brownlow leaderboard and tracking for the 2020 AFL season. read more
It's been a quiet few weeks for our runaway Brownlow Medal favourite in Lachie Neale but he was back with a bang in Round 16 to all-but lock up the 2020 Brownlow Medal. Let's take a closer look at the matches from the week with our Round 16 Brownlow vote predictions. read more