Welcome to our horse racing preview and betting tips for racing at Wyong, Hamilton and Pakenham on Thursday, May 16th.
Luke Krahe is back with his preview, with five selections throughout the course of the day! Check them out below.
(1) Embracer is going to be very short here after a nice debut effort, he had trialed well prior to that debut and will be no value here. So, we have to find one that can run in the placings, quite often in these situations where there is a very short-priced favourite there is some good overs to be had. (7) Smart Decision is lining up for start number three, she was first-up at Newcastle and was a heavily backed favourite. She had no luck and was stuck 4-wide without cover, got bumped 5-wide to be outside the speed at the top of the straight and understandably weakened late. Tommy Berry goes on, she draws well and should be right o the speed for a long way. She clearly looks the second pick and only needs to improve a little to run second here. Have something the small the win as well if the favourite is off in the betting late.
We attack another maiden at Wyong, this time with a first-starter (8) North for the Snowden yard. He has been given plenty of time, he trialed twice early in the year and showed talent and was sent to the paddock. He has trialed twice again this time in, showing speed at both of them. He does have to take on the older horses here, but there are a lot of positives with the un-tried well trialed 2YO’s taking on the tried campaigners. There is only the one turn from the 1100m here at Wyong, Berry should be positive from the wide gate and be up on the speed for a long way. His main danger could be the 3YO (7) Set Goals, he can improve fresh off a heavy track debut, but I am prepared to risk him off a trial that didn’t impressive me.
(4) Charlie’s World has had three weeks between runs, he was extended out to 2700m last start at Stawell and was ok through the line. He placed at his previous two over 2000m, he doesn’t have a great turn of foot but looks well in back in this grade. He will be giving them a start, he will probably look under pressure a long way from home but he will keep grinding. He won’t want it turned into a sit-sprint so Allen should get going a long way from home, hopefully he gets the right cart into it.
(5) Gregorian Chant took on the best of her age group last prep and raced horses like Verry Elleegant in the Spring, sure she was outclassed and well beaten but they obviously have an opinion of her. She is out of the in-form Mitch Freedman stable, she looks perfectly suited at the mile here third-up. She was running on well from a mile back at Geelong last start when not getting much room late, she was beaten a length and a half but maybe that margin was unfair. There has been a subsequent winner from that race that finished behind her at Geelong. She will get back, look for her late.
Very keen on the chances of (2) Aluf here on one condition, if there is no confidence for the Lloyd Kennewell trained (9) Weekend Escape. She is having her first start for the yard, if there is no money for her then Aluf looks near on a good thing. He has a good record on the synthetic track surface, has a good draw and has tactical speed. He was very heavily backed late at the bool over the carnival and led, was headed early in the straight but stuck on well late. The horse that beat him has gone back to SA and won a $100K feature last Saturday, that looks a good form reference for a race like this. If he gets the front easily, it should be an easy watch. The downside if there is no money for the bottom one is that Aluf may be too short, but you can’t have the cake and eat it too.
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