Great day of racing on offer this Thursday, the 11th of April across Australia. We take a look at some of the best value races at the Wyong, Pakenham and Kyneton race meets and give our betting tips below!
It looks a two-horserace on paper between Tapiconic and Furlana, and although I would normally in these situations put the one that will be in front of the other early around here at Wyong, the small field should see every horse get their chance. Both these horses went around on the same day, Tapiconic was on debut over 1200m, was left flat-footed when they quickened but really knuckled down over the last furlong and was as good as anything through the line. Furlana had the perfect run in transit, eased three-wide before running to the front and getting run down. That was over this trip, 1400m which sees her at a littlle disadvantage in times comparison, but the last 600m of Tapiconic’s race was 1.21 seconds quicker. He looks perfectly suited getting out in trip, if he can balance up closer and improve at all, he will be winning this. Worth noting also that Furlana goes from the Hawkes team to the Kylie Gavenlock yard at Gosford. No disrespect but it looks a negative stable change. Betting in the black at the time of writing this, expect him to start well in the red.
This doesn’t look an overly strong Class 1 event, happy to bet around the likely two favourites in Loveseat, who was poor and had every chance in a race no harder than this last time and Plagiarist, who is first-up off a 5-month break straight to the mile and will want further. Shark Alley has to step up in trip to the mile, but you won’t get many easier miles than this one at Wyong. He looks to get a comfortable lead and if he can slow them up through the middle sectionals, give a kick down the side, he will be hard to run down. He has the fitness edge and the lead looks his, just a matter of how Robbie Dolan wants to set the race up.
The first of the day doesn’t look a very strong maiden, Neighbourhood is on debut after winning a trial at Cranbourne recently. She wasn‘t well away, pushed out in the straight and was very green, but she looked to have ability. What interested me more was a jump-out she had back in February, she was away with them and wasn’t extended early in the straight, she got out of view when the camera was focused on the leaders but she really ran through the line nicely. She was beaten about 6 lengths but when they panned to them 100m after the post she was all over the back of the winning trio. She doesn’t look like she wants to be in between runners at this stage of her career, Micky Dee will have his work cut-out but she looks to them covered if she does everything right in a weak race.
High Hopes has been to the races once, he was big odds at Sale a couple of weeks ago and has since been gelded? Seems a short turnaround but there was plenty to like about his first time at the races. He jumped well enough, was caught wide and eased back after finding them a bit speedy over the shorter trip, was following the winner but didn’t quicken until balanced up in the straight and really hit the line well. He looks well suited getting out to the 1400m, he had the fastest 600, 400 and 200 of the race that day, the times weren’t breathtaking but over the extra trip and on top of the ground, he should settle closer.
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