It’s a Friday night AFL blockbuster in Launceston as the third-placed Adelaide take on the sixth-placed Hawthorn. It’s a massive clash with ramifications at the top end of the ladder, with both sides coming off crucial wins last week!
Check out our preview and Hawks vs Crows tips for the match below!
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Hawthorn vs Adelaide Predictions & Tips: 2025 AFL Round 14
Are The Hawks Back?
After three straight losses, the pressure was piling up on Hawthorn, but they responded in fine fashion with a 22-point win over the Bulldogs last week. After recording just 36 and 38 tackles in Rounds 11 and 12, the Hawks came out with huge intent without the ball, laying 58 tackles. The return of Hawthorn’s pressure game saw their best return for scores from turnover in a month (47 points), with Conor Nash (7 tackles) and Connor Macdonald (7) leading the way. The big question is can the Hawks back it up against another top eight team, which is something they’ve struggled with this season.
Are The Crows The Real Deal?
Sometimes football can come down to fine margins, which lead to expansive judgements on teams. The Crows looked set to fail another test against a top four side when they trailed Brisbane by 17 points at three-quarter time last week. A remarkable blitz at the start of the fourth quarter saw the Crows kick five goals in eleven minutes to go two goals in front. However Adelaide would spend the final eight minutes in their defensive 50, with Brisbane peppering the goals. Ultimately Brisbane’s inaccuracy allowed the Crows to hold onto a five point victory, which was their first win against a side in the current top five. A trip to Tasmania against the Hawks will be another test for Adelaide’s status as a genuine contender in season 2025.
Stats That Matter
Adelaide have been absolutely electric in the front half this season, being the highest scoring team in the AFL this season averaging 101 points per game. The Crows have been a high kicking team ranking third in the competition for kicks and fifth for inside 50’s. Adelaide have been an incredibly efficient side inside 50, ranking equal first in the competition for goals per inside 50. The Crows rank 1st for scores from defensive half, third for scores from kick in, fifth for scores from forward half, fifth for scores from centre bounce, and seventh for scores from stoppages.
Hawthorn have been reliant from going end to end, ranking first for scores from kick-in, and third for going from defensive 50 to scoring. Hawthorn’s clearance work is a major concern though, ranking 16th in the competition for clearances, only ahead of Richmond and West Coast.
Hawks or Crows? Who Wins the Battle of the Birds?
On current formlines the Crows would be an easy pick, however given this game will be played on a cold winter’s night in Tasmania, it’s hard to pick against the Hawks. Since 2001, Hawthorn has won 62 of 82 games at UTAS Stadium and are currently on a 7-game winning streak in Launceston. Hawthorn also won both meetings against Adelaide last season and have won 4 of their last 6 games against the Crows.
Hawthorn plays the conditions so well in Launceston, and after getting back to their best football last week, they should be able to get enough pressure around the ball to nullify Adelaide’s key forwards and grind out a victory.
Hawthorn to win
$1.82 (1 unit)
Hawks vs Crows Prop Bet: Prime Time Ginnivan
Our Best Player Prop Bet: Jack Ginnivan to Kick 2+ Goals
Jack Ginnivan is a big game player, and has delivered over the last two weeks in prime time fixtures, kicking 2 and 3 goals. Ginnivan is in great form, kicking multiple goals in 5 of his last 7 games. Ginnivan is winning plenty of footy having recorded 54 disposals over his last two games and generating plenty of opportunities in front of goal.
Jack Ginnivan 2+ Goals
$2.05
Hawks vs Crows Same Game Multi
Rory Laird 25+ Disposals: Rory Laird has been in great touch over the past week, producing games of 25, 27 and 27 disposals. Laird has absolutely dominated the Hawks, with has last nine games seeing him record 29, 30, 29, 42, 36, 32, 25 (shortened quarters), 29 and 28 disposals
Jordan Dawson 20+ Disposals: Even though he hasn’t been at his best over the last month, the Crows skipper continues to impact games. Dawson has reached the 20+ disposal mark in 10 of his 13 games this season.
Josh Ward 20+ Disposals: Josh Ward had a coming of age performance last week, recording a career high 28 disposals to guide the Hawks to a much needed win. Ward has recorded 28, 26, 20, 23 and 22 disposals in his last five games.
Jack Ginnivan Anytime Goalscorer: As mentioned above, Ginnivan is in great form having hit the scoreboard in seven straight games. Ginnivan has produced returns of 2, 3, 1, 2, 1, 2, and 2 goals in his last seven games.
Same Game Multi Odds: $4.00 at Dabble
Hawthorn vs Adelaide Betting Odds & Match Info
Date: Friday, 13th June
Time: 7:40pm AEST
Location: UTAS Stadium, Launceston
Weather: Mostly clear, light winds, 5 degrees.
Odds: Hawthorn ($1.80) vs Adelaide ($2.02)
Line: Hawthorn -2.5
Points: 153.5
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Where to Watch Hawthorn vs Adelaide?
You can watch all the Hawks vs Crows action on either Channel 7 or Kayo Sports.
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