Michel Lee is back with his esports betting predictions for three Icelandic Esports League Round 12 matches. Today he takes a look at Fylkir vs Por and Dusty vs Armann, who’ll meet on Tuesday, January 3, and TEN5ION vs Lava, who will to clash on Thursday, January 5.
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Esports Betting Tips: Tuesday January 3rd
Fylkir vs Por
Icelandic Esports League
Fylkir have been struggling this tournament and now enter Round 12 as the second-worst team, with a 2-9 record and a -67 round difference. On the other hand, Por are 8-3 with a +21 round difference, which sets them in a good spot to finish the group stage in the top four.
As a team with a significantly better record, Por are expected to defeat Fylkir, which isn’t surprising, especially considering that Por are 1-0 up in the H2H. But they won that match 16-14 back in September. It’s also important to mention that Por aren’t in the best form, having won just one of their last three games.
So even though Por definitely deserves to be considered the favourites, I wouldn’t say that they should be priced at 1.20 against a team they narrowly beat months ago. It’s even more concerning that Por lost against DUSTY, who struggled against Fylkir (26-28).
Fylkir aren’t in a good spot, and I don’t expect them to go far this tournament, but they have fought well in some of their games and seem a bit underrated heading into this match. I’ll take the underdogs to make a day a bit harder for the shaky Por and win at least 11 rounds on Tuesday.
Fylkir +5.5 rounds
$1.83 (1 Unit)
DUSTY vs Armann
Icelandic Esports League
DUSTY have lost just three games after 11 rounds of play, against LAVA (12-16), Atlantic Seafood (6-16), and Vlostodu, but the latter was a forfeit loss. Armann, on the other side, are 5-6 and on a three-game losing streak, with defeats against SAGA (14-16), Vlostodou (14-16), and Breioablik (7-16).
DUSTY are clearly the better team, which explains why esports bookmakers have them priced at just 1.16 to come out ahead of this match. And while this is a fairly low figure, it looks fair.
Armann have had some good games this tournament, but I haven’t seen much from them lately, making it hard to believe they can stop DUSTY. The main concern I have about the underdog’s chances is that DUSTY are very efficient in beating weaker teams, as seen in their dominant victories against Por (16-10), Breioablik (16-10), and TENSION (16-3).
1.83 on DUSTY to win with at least six rounds to spare is an appealing bet. They have had some slip-ups, but considering how weak Armann are, this should be another easy W for DUSTY.
DUSTY -5.5 rounds
$1.83 (1 Unit)
TEN5ION vs LAVA
Icelandic Esports League
TEN5ION have won just one match 11 rounds into the Icelandic Esports League, and based on their performances; I don’t expect that to change anytime soon.TEN5ION have played a few close games, but those came mostly in the first six weeks of the tournament and have become very scarce.
On a more positive note, TEN5ION won their first match of the tournament last round when they stunned Fylkir (16-10). Unfortunately, that doesn’t change the fact that over the previous four, TEN5ION have lost against SAGA (11-16), NU (10-16), Armann (0-16), and Por (12-16).
LAVA Esports are 6-5, which isn’t too bad of a record and good enough to sit them in fourth place, above Breiodablik and below Por. LAVA have shown enough, but they’re not in the clear yet, so winning games like this will play a crucial role in their chances to end the league in the upper part of the standings.
Although LAVA have been struggling lately, with a 2-3 record from their last five games, their only bad loss came against Icelandic Esports League leaders Atlantic Seafood (7-16), while they’ve been very good at beating weaker teams.
TEN5ION looked better last round and might be able to add a couple more wins by the end of the tournament, but I don’t count on that happening on Thursday.
LAVA Esports -3.5 rounds
$1.83 (1 Unit)
