Esports Betting Tips: Thursday, March 11th

March 11th 2021, 10:36am, By: Michael Lee

Esports Betting Tips

It's time for our Esports betting tips for Thursday, March 11th. Today, our Esports guru Michael Lee takes us to the ESL Pro League Season 13 tournament where he has plucked out three of his best bets for the day. Check out his thoughts below!

Esports Betting Tips: Thursday, March 11th

OG vs Heroic

ESL Pro League Season 13

OG and Heroic last met at the start of the year, during cs_summit 7, where Heroic won 2-0 (16-12 on Nuke and 16-10 on Inferno). Despite what the scores would suggest, the match was very one-sided throughout, seeing how Heroic built a sizable HT lead on both maps (10-5 on Nuke and 12-3 at Inferno).

Nikolaj "niko" Kristensen, who now plays for OG, was the best player on Heroic with 46 frags and 1.26 HLTV rating, while IGL Aleksi "Aleksib" Virolainen emerged as the best player on OG with 39 frags and 1.22 HLTV racing. I wouldn’t take too much from that match as it was played at an event that is known to be taken lightly, on top of the fact that Heroic no longer field two players they had back then.

One thing to take away from OG and their recent showings is that they clearly have some issues closing out close series, and since I expect a close match on Thursday, I have to favour Heroic slightly more. They have pleasantly surprised me with their roster changes and against a disorganised side such as OG, they should be gunning for a W.

OG can still be a dangerous opponent if you don't take them seriously as they have enough firepower to take a map off almost anyone, but as noted before, Map 3 should almost always end in the hands of OG's opponents. Heroic take this one 2-1!


Over 2.5 Maps

BET NOW AT PickleBet

Heroic 2-1 ($3.05)

BIG vs FunPlus Phoenix

ESL Pro League Season 13

BIG and FunPlus Phoenix (then GODSENT) last met way back in October 2020, during DreamHack Open Fall 2020, when BIG won 2-1. GODSENT took the series lead with a 19-17 win on Mirage but fell apart on Overpass, which fell in hands of BIG with 16-12. The last map was incredibly close and could have gone either way, but it was BIG who pulled ahead with an OT 19-15 win on Inferno.

Ismailcan "XANTARES" Dörtkardeş was doing most of the heavy lifting for BIG with 99 frags and 1.47 HLTV rating, while Pavle "Maden" Bošković tried his best to save GODSENT with 79 frags and 1.20 HLTV rating.

I'm not sure what's going on with BIG, who aren't playing as well as they have just a few weeks back, and I would even go so far as to say that what they're showing recently is not up to the standards of what you would expect from such a stacked roster. BIG were a joy to watch a couple of weeks ago, but after their disappointing run at IEM Katowice, something changed and they simply aren't the same team they once were.

FunPlus Phoenix are nothing special, but with the amount of firepower they have, FPX should give the Germans a hard time. BIG are a good team on paper, but on the battlefield, they're mediocre at most. Value bet on FunPlus Phoenix!

Renegades vs Complexity

ESL Pro League Season 13

Complexity are finally looking like their old selves from 2020, when they dominated the scene and were quite enjoyable to watch. It may be too early to say, but Complexity seem like proper tournament contenders, whereas Renegades are not even a team that will make out of groups.

Upsets are fairly common in online CS, but I'm giving Renegades zero to no chance of winning on Thursday. Complexity have more firepower and are also far more tactically sound, effectively meaning Renegades need a miracle to walk away with something.

The Aussies have failed to win a single map against way worse opponents than Complexity this tournament and I don't see a valid reason why they would start winning maps against one of the best European teams now. They only thing that works in Renegades' favour is the fact that they're playing without any pressure since no one expects them to win, but the same argument could have been made for all of their previous matches - which they lost 0-2. Complexity should win this one with eyes closed!


2020-21 NBA Betting Tips: Sunday 11th April

The exciting NBA season continues on Sunday with another juicy seven-game slate. Catch our best spread and player prop bets for the value games right here! read more

2021 AFL Round 4: Melbourne vs Geelong Preview & Betting Tips

Round 4 of the 2021 AFL season continues on Sunday with three games on the cards. Here, we take a look at the second game of the day which sees Melbourne host Geelong at the MCG. Catch our match prediction and player props for this huge clash right here! read more

2021 AFL Round 4: Fremantle vs Hawthorn Preview & Betting Tips

We look to round out out the third week of the 2021 AFL season with a clash over in the West, with Fremantle hosting Hawthorn. Both sides will be desperate to get their second win of the season in what looks to be a closely fought match. read more

2021 AFL Round 4: North Melbourne vs Adelaide Preview & Betting Tips

After an embarrassing performance on Good Friday, North Melbourne get an opportunity to redeem themselves when they host Adelaide on Sunday afternoon at Marvel Stadium. We have a dedicated preview and betting tips for the clash here read more


Best Australian Sports Betting Sites

The best Australian sports betting sites ensure safe and successful online betting for punters. Here's our list of the best sports betting options in Australia. read more

Performance Ratings & Pricing with Julian Vallance with Sportsbet

Julian Vallance from Sportsbet takes us through some of the key factors which he uses with pricing upcoming horse races such as performance ratings. Check out his video from Sportsbet here. read more

What is Over-Round and How do Sportsbooks Make Money?

Over-Round is an important concept for both punters and sportsbooks. It's how Australian sportsbooks make money! All punters should understand over-round, how to spot it, and how to find better value on the Betfair Exchange. read more

Betfair Commissions and Charges

Ever wondered why you can get such great odds at Betfair in comparison to other online bookmakers? We break down why that is the case and why Betfair isn't just for professional punters here read more


2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 3

The extended weekend of football over the Easter weekend brought some entertaining matches and some surprise results with Sydney and Melbourne both undefeated after three rounds of action. Check out who the star performers were with our Round 3 Brownlow vote predictions. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 2

Round 2 of the 2021 AFL season produced a couple of thrilling finishes and the cream is rising to the top early on the Brownlow Medal leaderboard. Check out our analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for Round 2 of the season here. read more

2021 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 1

The first round of the 2021 AFL season is in the books with some stellar performances to start the season which will be sure to attract the eye of the umpires. Who will get the Round 1 Brownlow votes? Every week we'll have analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for every match of the 2021 season. read more

2021 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard

Once again the BYB team are bringing you comprehensive coverage of the 2021 Brownlow Medal, with round-by-round analysis and Brownlow vote predictions for every match, as well as our 2021 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard tracker. Click here for access to our Brownlow Medal content for free! read more