We have another change at the top of the table in the English Premier League, with Arsenal moving into top spot after Liverpool’s draw with Man City. Matchday 29 is a smaller slate with only four games due to the FA Cup Quarter Finals, but we’ve still got you covered with our best bets for free right here!
EPL 2023-24: Matchday 29 Preview & Betting Tips
Burnley vs Brentford
Turf Moor, Sunday 17th March, 2:00am AEDT
Matchday 29 kicks off at Turf Moor as Brentford travel north to take on Burnley, in a fixture that will have big implications on the relegation battle. Burnley are in nineteenth place, ten points away from safety while Brentford are in fifteenth place and only five points clear of the relegation zone. If Burnley are any chance of staying in the Premier League, they’ve got to start picking up some wins. Since their 2-0 win over Fulham on the 23rd of December the Clarets have record zero wins, three draws and seven losses.
Brentford haven’t been flying either, with one win, one draw and six losses from their last eight Premier League games. These two sides have been awful at the back this season, which has seen them sitting in the bottom six on the table. Burnley are the second worst defence in the league this season having conceded 62 goals, while Brentford are the seventeenth ranked defence conceding 52 goals. Burnley haven’t kept a clean sheet in their last ten games, while Brentford have only kept one clean sheet in their last eighteen games.
Brentford should win this game, however it’s difficult to have any confidence in them given their current form, so the total goals market is where we will be looking in this fixture. Five of Burnley’s last six Premier League games have seen over 2.5 total goals, while ten of Brentford’s last twelve league games have hit over 2.5 total goals. Given both clubs' defensive struggles, there will likely be goals in this game regardless of the result.
Over 2.5 Goals
$1.70 (1 Unit)
Fulham vs Tottenham
Craven Cottage, Sunday 17th March, 4:30am AEDT
Tottenham will be looking to make it four wins from their last five games when they take on Fulham on Sunday morning. Four second half goals saw Spurs thump Aston Villa, in a crucial result for Tottenham’s top four hopes. Fulham’s two game winning streak came to an end at the hands of Wolverhampton last week, in a frustrating 2-1 defeat. Fulham had fifteen more shots on goal than Wolves, but failed to take their chances which proved costly.
After going through a period of struggling to convert their chances, Tottenham have been emphatic in front of goal over the last fortnight with 3-1 and 4-0 victories. Heung-Min Son and Timo Werner have scored in both games and their form will be crucial to Tottenham’s aspirations of finishing in the top four. Tottenham have been consistent at both ends of the ground, having the fourth ranked attack and the fourth best defence. Spurs are also the only team to have scored in every Premier League game this season.
Tottenham have had the wood over Fulham in the Premier League over the last fourteen years, with fourteen wins, one draw and one loss in Premier League fixtures against Fulham since 2010. The difference in attacking quality will be the pivotal deciding factor, with Spurs having scored 19 more goals than Fulham this season. Tottenham are outstanding value in this clash, and have far too much attacking firepower for Fulham to overcome.
Tottenham to Win
$2.05 (2 Units)
West Ham vs Aston Villa
London Stadium, Monday 18th March, 1:00am AEDT
Matchday 29 concludes with the best matchup of the shortened slate, as Aston Villa travel to London to take on West Ham in a battle of fourth versus seventh. Villa will be desperate to bounce back after a 4-0 defeat against fifth placed Tottenham, who now have the upper hand in the race for a Champions League berth given they have an extra game in hand. West Ham came back from 2-0 against Burnley last week to secure a 2-2 which extended their unbeaten run to three games.
Aston Villa’s improvement this season has been built on a brand of football that has allowed their attacking game to flourish. Unai Emery’s side had scored fifteen goals in the five games prior to last week’s defeat, with Villa’s 59 goals ranking them as the fourth highest scoring team in the league. Villa will be looking to expose an inconsistent West Ham defence, that hasn’t kept a clean sheet since the second of January and have conceded sixteen goals from their last six games.
Aston Villa were at their efficient best against the Hammers when the two sides met back in October, in a 4-1 victory. Villa held 59% possession and scored their four goals from seven shots on target, exposing a vulnerable West Ham defence with three second half goals. Aston Villa will be desperate to bounce back from their worst performance of the season, and try and regain some momentum in their push for a place in the Champions League.
Aston Villa to Win
$2.35 (1.5 Units)
