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Dolphins vs Rabbitohs Preview & Betting Tips: NRL Round 19 2024

July 10th 2024, 9:47pm, By: Scooby

NRL Betting Tips

A reduced round of NRL fixtures begins on Thursday with the Dolphins hosting the Rabbitohs. Even with key players missing for both teams, this game promises to be an exciting clash. Each side has their own motivation ahead of this game; for anyone, two competition points are vital, especially with the Finals on the horizon. Before You Bet is here to take a detailed look at the action ahead with the aim of finding you a winner or two to add to your enjoyment. 

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2024 NRL Round 19 Preview & Betting Tips

The Dolphins vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Kayo Stadium – Thursday 11th July – 7:50pm (AEST)

Match Preview

The Dolphins had a week off last week to lament their Round 17 loss to the Dragons. Failing to again win in Sydney, they competed strongly in the first half. They were the only team to score a try and had a narrow 6-2 lead at HT. Unfortunately, they were outplayed in the second half, conceding 5 tries and failing to build on their tally. They were inferior in most areas and were outplayed by an opponent which appeared to have a greater desire for victory. With a 47% share of possession and 72% completion rate, it was always going to be difficult. Their issues were further compounded as they averaged just 7.9m per carry, had just 2 line breaks, made significantly fewer PCM’s, and missed 48 tackles. It was a stark contrast to what this team has produced in other matches this season. 

The Rabbitohs had no such issues in their 32-16 victory over the Eels last week. They were strong in making it 5 consecutive victories, dominating the first half and leading 16-4 at HT. They continued to build on that lead in the second half, with an evident difference in class between the two sides. Even with a 49% share of possession, they had a slightly better completion rate (77%) and averaged 9.1m per carry. Interestingly, they made fewer total metres and fewer PCM’s; however, their spark in attack was obvious with 7 line breaks creating plenty of opportunities. They also improved their defence dramatically, missing just 22 tackles over 80 minutes. They still want to feature in the Finals and must continue to win matches to overcome their horrible start to the season. 

Match Prediction

Both sides have the omission of key players to face ahead of this contest. The loss of Mitchell and Murray for the Rabbitohs is arguably larger than that of Tabuai-Fidow, Kaufusi and Marshall-King for the Dolphins. That is not to discredit the key role they have played for their side this year. Each still had capable players to fill the void. Unfortunately for the visitors, it appears as though they will have a tougher job of covering player absences. The Dolphins still have Pangai Jnr, O’Sullivan, Fuller, and Bostock to call upon. All have played well this season at different points. 

The Dolphins have been listed as favourites for this game ($1.65 vs $2.25) as their home ground advantage (60% vs Rabbitohs who have never played here) will also provide them with an edge. They also have a superior attacking record (24ppg vs 21ppg) and defensive record (22ppg vs 27ppg) compared to their opponents. 

The Rabbitohs will take confidence into this game, but you won’t know until early just how important that will be for Walker, Cook and Wighton. There is every chance that they could ensure that the result is not decided until the dying stages of this contest. The Dolphins can often struggle to completely shut teams out of contests too; 5 of their 8 victories have come by 12 points or less. Use this to your advantage but keep your stake low; the Rabbitohs could cause an upset if the Dolphins slide in performance continues. 

Dolphins to Win

$1.65 (1.5 Units)

 

Same Game Multi

We’ve collaborated with exciting new bookmaker, QuestBet, to bring you a great value Same Game Multi for the opening game of each AFL & NRL round. Simply click this link or the image below to jump on our Dolphins vs Rabbitohs SGM. 

As stated above, the Dolphins have a history of tight matches in 2024; if the Rabbitohs do cause an upset, it will be unlikely to be by a large margin. Bostock returns to the wing and will want to regain form; he is the leading try scorer for the Dolphins this season (11). Farnworth has been damaging recently and the questionable defence from the Rabbitohs outside backs will give him numerous opportunities to score. Johnston will be benefit most from sweeping movements to the Rabbitohs left edge. It relies on Walker and Wighton execution well but if they do, he is the man to finish with the ball over the line. 

Either Team By 12 points 

Bostock, Farnworth & Johnston to Score 

QuestBet SGM Odds: $14 at QuestBet (0.5 Units)

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Scooby is our NRL guru with over ten years experience writing about rugby league with Before You Bet and previously at The Profits. His background is in playing and coaching but he's enjoyed the switch to share his knowledge through his articles, as well as sharing his thoughts on Twitter.

Scooby's strength is assessing the overall team - what they offer across the field in a match and how the ethos of a club contributes to their success. Momentum also has a major impact on sports, and Scooby likes to explore this, while underpinning his judgement against a solid basis of statistical analysis. When combined with the aforementioned points, it combines for a holistic approach towards betting on rugby league.

Other sports he enjoys include Cricket, Horse Racing and NFL. There is a reason why Scooby ‘clicked’ with BYB from Day 1 - he loves his sport as much as we do.

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