This tournament really feels like it is going to be a race in three, and it is hard to see any shock winners in the field when you look at the form of the big names lately. Of course the three I am referring to are Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal and Alexander Zverev. You can hardly fault the form of any of them in the lead-up, and it is more a matter of looking at the draw for each of the players to see where the potential value lies for any of them.
The first thing to point out in my opinion is that Nadal is only a slight favourite due to sitting in the opposite half to Djokovic and Zverev. Flip Djokovic and Nadal and you would have Novak as a clear favourite, with Zverev second favourite in my opinion.
There are two different ways to tackle this tournament. If I were to pick a “most likely to make the final” I would be looking in the direction of Nadal (with saver on Cilic), however if I want best value selection to win the whole thing, I would side with Zverev (Djokovic close behind, however he does have a draw that is quite tough). Outside of Isner who won in Atlanta, it is hard to make a claim for any of the other seeds in the top section going the distance. Fognini is coming off winning a title, Del Potro is coming off a crushing loss to Fognini (and didn’t look 100% throughout his tournament last week), Carreno Busta and Schwartzman don’t have enough form on hardcourt to warrant a play, and Kyrgios is clearly below 100% fitness.
The second half of the draw is wide open, however looking at his performances last week, it is very hard to justify opposing Alex Zverev on his current form. He was simply brutal in Washington, and on that form it is really difficult to see anyone outside of Djokovic beating him, especially with the fitness concerns around Thiem and Raonic, and form concerns for Dimitrov, Goffin, Sock and Bautista Agut.
At the end of the day, I think this is a race of 4: Nadal and Cilic in the top half, and Djokovic and Zverev in the bottom half. I like Zverev to defeat Nadal in the final, and start to accelerate the changing of the guard that I think a lot of tennis watchers have been waiting for quite a while to witness.
Note: The ATP Toronto is now underway but you can still get on Zverev at decent prices at Betfair Australia
Another great 15 game slate in the MLB this Wednesday, the 26th of June! We have a preview and betting tips for some of the key games of the day here read more
The PGA Tour continues this weekend as we head to Detroit for the inaugural Rocket Mortgage Classic! We have a full preview and betting tips for the event here read more
Harness racing continues at Gloucester Park this Tuesday night and Trent Orwin has picked out his best bets from the card here! read more
It's the matchup that many have been waiting for in the round robin stage of the Cricket World Cup! Australia will face off against England on Tuesday night as the great cricketing rivalry gets another instalment. See our preview and tips for the big game here read more
There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more
Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more
Barrier draws are crucial in racing and they are especially important in harness racing. We've explained why barriers are such a key part of harness racing form study and their importance to determining a horse's chances here. read more
There are many common terms used in harness racing that may not make sense to those new to the sport. Our harness racing glossary will help you understand what some of the key terminology means. read more
The last of the AFL bye rounds came and went over the weekend with Round 14 and another set of Brownlow votes are up for grabs! See our reviews of the games and how we think the votes panned out here. read more
We are back once again with a full list of the AFL odds for all six games in Round 14! This weeks odds come courtesy of the folks at Ladbrokes read more
Round 13 of the AFL was fairly stock standard as all six of the favourites won in the shortened round! There were 36 Brownlow votes up for grabs over the round and we have our predictions as to how it panned out here read more
Only the six games in the AFL again this weekend due to the byes but still plenty of value on offer! We have a complete odds list of all six games courtesy of Sportsbet here read more