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AFL Daily Fantasy Tips 2024: Round 5 Saturday

April 13th 2024, 11:18am, By: Jesse Penfold

AFL Fantasy Tips

Round 5 for the 2024 AFL Premiership Season sees a return to our four game Super Saturday Slates. The day gets underway with a potentially juicy game for fantasy with GWS playing St Kilda at Manuka Oval. Then Adelaide will continue to search for their first win of the season against everyone’s latest tip for the flag, Carlton, at Marvel Stadium. Later at night we will see Port Adelaide host Fremantle at Adelaide Oval and Gold Coast will look to get their finals push back on track with a great matchup against Hawthorn at People First Stadium.  

Draftstars continue to offer massive prize pools with the Saturday main contest being worth $60,000 along with their usual variety of alternate contests:

  • AFL $60,000+ Saturday
  • AFL $5,000+ Saturday High Roller ($150 Entry)
  • AFL $3,000+ Saturday Mini ($2 Entry)

The AFL Star contest is back for 2024 and Draftstars are offering the biggest prize pool in Australian DFS history with a $1 million guaranteed final with $250,000 top prize! There are qualifiers and satellites running for every AFL match, while there will also be a sprinkling of qualifiers across other sports such as NRL and NBA.

Meanwhile the 1000 AFL Target contests are set to return to Draftstars for the first time since 2018. Enter the contest and hit the 1000-point barrier with your team to scoop the jackpot!

Draftstars AFL Star

 

Betting Markets

GWS ($1.29) vs St Kilda ($3.50)
Points: 164.5
Line: GWS -20.5

Carlton ($1.30) vs Adelaide ($3.45)
Points: 168.5
Line: Carlton -21.5

Port Adelaide ($1.30) vs Fremantle ($3.40)
Points: 165.5
Line:  Port Adelaide -20.5

Gold Coast ($1.23) vs Hawthorn ($4.05)
Points: 161.5
Line:  Gold Coast -24.5

If you’re looking to bet on the AFL this season, then you can bet with PlayUp by using the same account that you have at Draftstars. PlayUp are Australian owned and offer an strong range of AFL betting markets and offers, including Same Game Multis.

Additionally, we have a full Betting Previews for all four games where we provide our best bet for the game as well as a great value Same Game Multi!

PlayUp

 

Weather

Canberra – 21 and sunny, no forecast of rain or winds

Adelaide – 21 and cloudy, no forecast of rain

Gold Coast – 26 with afternoon showers, nothing heavy so no real impact on fantasy scoring

Melbourne – in Marvel Stadium so need to consider the weather.

Perfect conditions for football across the country this Saturday.

 

Where to Attack?

Hawthorn have continued to concede points to inside midfielders this season at 9 points per game above league average, which makes the Suns midfielders prime targets to roster on todays slate, especially at home and over four goal favourites.

Fremantle have been giving up a massive amount of points to backs this season at over 20 points per game above league average to general defenders. Port Adelaide have a nice selection of half backs to stack up in this matchup. Or alternatively, the Saints have continued their trend from last year giving up over 10 points per game above league average to the designated kicker over their last five games.

Game Script – Gold Coast inside midfielders, Port Adelaide backs

 

VALUE PLAYS

Will Graham ($7,160) / Sam Clohesy ($9.180)

Both Suns made their debut last week and at the bare minimum price point they were in most winning lineups. This week with the price bumps the decision will not be as easy. Graham stands out to me as the obvious player to run back, which may be surprising given he scored just 63 fantasy points compared to Clohesy’s 95. But Graham is getting inside midfield opportunity, assuming Sam Flanders roles who has been moved to half back. Last week Graham attended 49% of the Suns center bounces, which means his role is potentially more juicy than Closehy’s long term and is yet to see as big a price bump.

It is worth noting that both players debuted against the Giants who are one of the toughest matchups in the league this season, and this week against the Hawks at home will be much more fantasy friendly so going back to the well and stacking up both players in the same team is certainly in play.

 

MID PRICED PLAYS

Jack Lukosius ($11,300) has shifted to the back line in recent weeks and like most players, this has led to his fantasy output growing substantially. Posting 84 and 86 point fantasy games from his last two weeks, he has shown in past seasons that the ceiling is over 100 points in this role and that makes him elite mid-range price play, especially in a favourable matchup against the Hawks.

Jake Soligo ($11,300) appears to be earmarked as the young player who will be injected into the Crows midfield to give them some pace and point of difference from the slow plodders they have been rolling out. He was their best player last week, attending almost 60% of their centre bounces and racking up 102 fantasy points.

 

PREMIUM PLAYS

Lachie Whitfield ($15,230) will line up against what has been the best matchup for backs over the last season and a bit, and in particular for those taking the kick ins. Lachie is the Giants primary ball mover out of the back line and as noted above, the Saints are giving up over 10 points per game above league average to their opponents designated kicker. Whitfield has had a ripping start to the season averaging over 111 points per game and I expect that to continue this week as he looks to be one of the top premium plays on this slate.

Matt Rowell ($14,680) has started the season in career best form with scres of 112, 115 and 104 from his first three games. He has been absolutely dominating on the inside and while he ran out of puff in the fourth quarter last week against one of the league's toughest opponents, I expect him to be back to 100+ scoring this weekend. As noted above the Hawks are one of the top matchups in the league for inside midfielders.

 

Suggested Draftstars Lineup

Draftstars Team

 

Cheat Sheets

 

AFL Fantasy Data Projections

AFL Fantasy Projections

AFL Fantasy Projections

AFL Fantasy Projections

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