The GWS Giants head down to GMHBA Stadium to take on 2022 Premiers Geelong. It’s a big occasion for the Giants, with skipper Toby Greene playing his 200th game. Although the Cats have had their own struggles with their form and fitness, this looks to be a tough ask for the Giants and first-year coach Adam Kingsley.
Check out our Geelong vs GWS preview and AFL betting tips for this match below.
AFL Round 11 Preview & Betting Tips
Geelong vs GWS
GMHBA Stadium, Saturday, 4:35pm AEST
The Cats are 5-5 as they head into an 10-game stretch where they play 6 times at GMHBA Stadium. The focus has been on the overall form and level of the Cats in comparison to their 2022 season, however there are certainly many factors to consider when gauging their level. A lot has been said about the players they are missing from their starting 23 at the moment. Patrick Dangerfield, Mitch Duncan, Max Holmes, Cam Guthrie, Sam Menegola, Gary Rohan, Jack Bowes and Rhys Stanley are all missing, on top of losing the experience of Joel Selwood at the end of last year. The Cats will be buoyed by the return of Sam De Koning, who will provide a strong defensive presence in the back six along with Steward and Ratugolea. Such is the depth of the Cats, they are still able to field a strong 23 here. The Cats gave up over 100 points per game through their 3 games without De Koning, however coming back home to GWS against a team with less firepower looks to be just the tonic for Geelong here.
Another loss and another handful of injuries for GWS as well. Josh Kelly, Nick Haynes and Harry Himmelberg all make way from the team that lost to St Kilda, with the Giants’ depth being genuinely tested with some top-line omissions. They’ve won 1 of their last 5, and were it not for kicking 17.5 at the SCG against the Swans a month ago, they’d be in an even bigger hole. They are still working their way through some early teething issues with a new coach and gameplan, and this shapes as an incredibly tough test on one of the toughest grounds in the league.
There are a couple of ways to play this match-up, however with the inclusion of De Koning back into the back 6, I expect the Cats to strangle the GWS forwards consistently here. For all their injuries, the Cats forward line is still potent and has the advantage in a number of key match-ups, try as GWS might by adding Lachie Keefe into the back line. I prefer the GWS total unders compared to the total game unders.
GWS Under 66.5 points
$1.90 (1.5 units)
Same Game Multi
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Tyson Stengle 2+ goals – Returned last week, and should be able to wreak havoc at the feet of the likes of Hawkins and Cameron against this GWS defensive setup.
Brad Close 1+ goal – 9 goals in his last 6 games, having kicked a goal in 4 of those. Another who is likely to benefit of the increased focus on Hawkins and Cameron.
Gryan Miers 1+ goal – In the search for a touch of value into this SGM, Miers to kick a goal appeals. Averages a goal a game at GMHBA Stadium, and I like his ability to get himself into attacking positions.
Same Game Multi odds: $4
