The ATP World Tour continues this week with another great tournament getting underway. The Rolex Shanghai Masters will feature nearly all of the best men’s tennis players in the world in what’s become a fairly prestigious tournament on the yearly calendar. As always, we preview the event and provide our best bets. Good luck to everyone following!
Let’s start off with a look at the main market here. World #1 Novak Djokovic is the clear favourite to continue his great year, ahead of Roger Federer and the in-form Daniil Medvedev. The Joker comes in off a title-winning run at the Japan Open last week where he defeated Aussie John Millman in the final. It was the first time we’ve seen him since the US Open and he looked in fantastic touch, winning the tournament without dropping a set. Federer will play his first tournament for ranking points since the US Open, although he did feature in the Laver Cup where he beat Isner and Kyrgios. For Medvedev, his last hitout was a title-winning run at the St. Petersburg Open a couple of weeks back where he also didn’t drop a set. These three are the clear standouts here and we’ll be siding with the value option in Medvedev. He’s had an incredible 2019 season rising to #4 in the world and is still hungry for more success.
We’re keen to go all-in with Daniil Medvedev this week. Seeing how we have him winning the title at odds, he’s obviously our pick in the Quarter 2 market as well. You can get around even odds for him at Sportsbet, which seems like value with the way he’s been playing over the past couple of months. There are a couple of other talented players in this group with Khachanov, Fognini, and Fritz, although none of these guys boast the form coming into this event that the hard-hitting Russian can. On another note, Andy Murray is back in action too and is amongst the talent in Quarter 2. He's been playing well despite a lack of match fitness, but he won't be troubling the big guns until he gets some more consistency on court.
The second of three quarters that we’re keen to have a play on is Quarter 3. This is the quarter that none of the big three favourites (Federer, Djokovic, Medvedev) are in, so there’s an opportunity there for someone in the group to make a run to the semis. The favourite to do just that is Dominic Thiem and we tend to agree. He’s the best player in this group and also brings in the best form. He won the title at the China Open last week, defeating the likes of Murray, Khachanov, Gasquet, and Tsitsipas en route. Fatigue can sometimes hurt a player coming off a big week, but Thiem is one of the fittest guys on Tour and is built to compete 365 days per year. The best odds seem to be at BetEasy, so jump on quickly.
The other quarter we’re keen to attack is Quarter 4. Roger Federer leads the charge here as the odds-on favourite. He’s by far the best player in this group and should be making his way through to the semi-finals as long as he doesn’t get hurt or isn’t in uncharacteristic form. As mentioned earlier, Federer had a solid hitout at the Laver Cup a couple of weeks back but hasn’t played any other tournaments since the US Open. He should be fresh as a daisy and ready to make an impact in one of the last major tournaments of 2019. Interestingly, you can get Federer at $1.90 at BetEasy, while he’s as short as $1.53 at other major sites such as Sportsbet. What does this mean? Get on quick before the price shortens.
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