The 2018 Bledisloe Cup moves across the Tasman this week as the All Blacks host the Wallabies at Eden Park on Saturday night at 5:35pm. New Zealand is paying just $1.05 for the victory at Sportsbet and the bookies are expecting another crushing defeat for the Wallabies.
In game 1 last week, it was the same old story for the Wallabies. While they didn’t get blown off the park in the first half like last year, they saved that performance for the second half. After 39 minutes, they were looking pretty good with a 6-0 lead with a pair of penalty goals. But a team try finished off by Aaron Smith before half-time seemed to ignite the All Blacks second half onslaught.
So with Australia holding a 6-5 lead at half-time, the All Blacks ran riot in the second half with 33 points to 7. Goodhue crossed in the 44th minute to start things off. Then Barrett scored a pretty incredible solo try, which came after a sloppy error by Australia. Barrett had a few question marks on him before this game so he would of enjoyed proving his doubters wrong. Brodie Retallick found the line in the 63rd minute and Naholo scored a quick double in the latter stages to seal another thrashing at ANZ Stadium. Maddocks scored a consolation try for the Wallabies in the 67th minute but the game was sealed for the All Blacks in the end. The key to victory was mainly taking advantage of the many and often Wallaby mistakes. NZ won the lineout count 17-7 and missed just 12 tackles compared to Australia’s 31. The Wallabies also couldn’t find much running room with 620 total run metres. In contrast, the All Blacks dominated with 948 metres and made 8 line-breaks in total. Hooper was good in his first outing since a hamstring injury. But much like most of his teammates, they ran out of gas in the second half.
To make matters worse for Australia after the loss, Israel Folau will miss the second test with injury. Dane Haylett-Petty is the likely replacement but we’ll have to wait and see. Now, the next task will be somehow finding form at Eden Park, which has become a graveyard for opposing sides, especially Australia. Because the Wallabies haven’t won here in 32 years! In fact, the All Blacks are aiming for a 42nd straight test win at Eden Park. Those are just incredible numbers and it’s really hard to see that trend changing. The last clash between the two sides at Eden Park was back in 2016 as the All Blacks cruised to a 37-10 win. So the line has increased by a total of 10 points from the first test with the All Blacks -22.5 favourites. It does seem fair and it’s pretty much the only value in this matchup.
The 13+ bet saluted in game 1 but doesn’t offer much value in this one. So based on the All Blacks record here, it looks to be one way traffic once again. Especially with Australia again struggling with injuries, form and they just make too many errors to compete with the All Blacks over 80 minutes. In the home sides last overall game here, they crushed France 52-11 and have beaten the line in last 3 clashes against the Wallabies at Eden Park. In those games, they’ve scored a total of 129 points at an average of 43 points. While in defence, they’ve conceded just 14 points per game. Australia couldn’t crack the All Blacks defence in game 1 and that won’t get any easier over in NZ. So the numbers say the All Blacks should score over 40 points and concede under 20.
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