The sixth event on the 2017 Moto GP calendar, the ‘Gran Premio d’Italia’, or the Italian Moto GP will race this Sunday night from 10pm. We preview the big race and give our betting tips below.
Gran Premio d'Italia Betting Tips
A thrilling finish in the French Moto GP two weeks ago saw Spaniard Maverick Vinales overtake Valentino Rossi on the final lap of the race before Rossi ultimately crashed out trying to regain the lead. A win for Rossi would have put him in front on the Moto GP Standings, however, crashing out sees him fall to third behind teammate Vinales and Dani Pedrosa heading into the Italian Moto GP.
There were doubts over Rossi’s health in the lead up to his home race after the seven-time World Champion suffered a moto-cross accident last week while training. Rossi will have to undergo one final fitness test in the coming days to prove he is right to race.
Rossi looked the class rider throughout the French race two weeks ago, but a crucial mistake on the final lap as he took a corner with a much too defensive approach allowed Vinales to snatch the lead. Vinales is a worthy favourite for the event but after watching Rossi outrace him for the majority of the race in France, a bet on Rossi at $3.50, providing he takes part in the race, could be great value.
There’s also the fact that there is absolutely no love lost between the Italian and his three Spanish counterparts in Vinales, Marc Marquez and Dani Pedrosa, even if the former is his teammate at Yamaha. Rossi won’t want to disappoint his adoring Italian fans here and hand the win to a Spaniard, I wouldn’t bank on him having a similar lapse in concentration at home.
Rossi holds the record for most wins in the Italian Moto GP with a staggering nine, so it’s safe to say he knows the track better than anyone.
TIP: Valentino Rossi to win the Italian Moto GP - $3.50 at Sportsbet
Much like this year’s Formula 1 season, the Moto GP is has largely been dominated by two manufacturers. A combination of Marquez and Pedrosa from Honda and Rossi and Vinales from Yamaha will likely make up the podium finishes, but if you’re looking for some value, there’s always some outside chances with the potential for crashes and the Rossi withdrawal.
Johan Zarco on the second Yamaha team has been around the mark all year and actually led the French Moto GP for a small stretch before he was reeled in by Rossi and Vinales. The Frenchmen finished 2nd after Rossi crashed out and could be a good bet to climb the podium again in Italy.
TIP: Johan Zarco podium finish
The Ducati’s have looked a few steps behind the likes of Honda and Yamaha this year, but the duo of Jorge Lorenzo and Andrea Dovizioso have still managed to claim a podium each and a few top five finishes. Dovizioso in particular will be looking to impress in front of his home crowd on an Italian bike.
TIP: Andrea Dovizioso podium finish
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