Saturday Horse Racing: Warwick Stakes Preview

August 22nd 2015, 11:18am, By: tim_tips

We're getting closer to Spring with a big Saturday of horse racing on the cards. There are plenty of talented fillies making their first appearance of their campaign with the Warwick Stakes the feature race of the day. Our resident horse racing expert Tim is back once again to bring you some more great horse racing betting tips

Those that have followed Tim's work, either on Twitter or through his subscription service at Tim's Tips, will know that Tim brings excellent form and great experience in the industry. Tim will be providing previews and analysis of feature races, with regular articles each Saturday and throughout the spring racing season. 

Pro-Ride Warwick Stakes 1400m - WFA Group 2

PORNICHET resumes today after living up to his potential at the end of his last preparation where he won the Group 1 Doomben Cup comfortably. He's had two trials leading into this but judging by last prep he will need a couple of runs before he is ready to win.

BEATEN UP also resumes. He ran a cracker of a race behind Hartnell in The BMW last prep but that was over 2400m. He is another that needs a few runs and also more ground.

FORETELLER is another that resumes for Chris Waller. Needs 2000m and a few runs under his belt. He will will be going round for fitness against this handy field.

MORIARTY is probably a level below this field and is similar to Foreteller in that he will need a few runs and a bit more ground. Not up to the better horses here.

BURBERO surprised most people last start when he knocked off Weary and Temple Of Boom to take out the Group 2 Missile Stakes over 1200m here. Didn't think he was quite up to winning a WFA event against that class of horse but he rattled home impressively to win. He's won a Group 2 over 1500m before so the step up to 1400m here looks no problem at all. Has a fitness edge over most of the field and is flying so with the good draw he can't be ruled out of this.

MESSENE was expected to run well first up but looked massive in the yard and clearly needed the run. He drifted from around $3 to about $7 on track before finishing 5th, not beaten all that far. Much better suited here 2nd up with a run under his belt and 1400m is ideal. Drawn the rail so expect him to be right up there on the pace. He can bounce back here.

HAWKSPUR is similar to Foreteller and Moriarty. Terrible first up record and he will be going round for fitness here aiming towards the middle distance races later in the Spring.

IT'S SOMEWHAT was really impressive on his Australian debut when he won the Group 3 Liverpool City Cup first up last prep over 1300m. Probably not the calibre of field that he faces today but he resumes today off the back of two trials and has been well supported. If he runs up to his Australian debut he is right in the mix. Wide draw the concern.

COMPLACENT has his first run in nearly two years today. We last saw him when he won the Group 1 Spring Champion in Sydney before running 2nd to Polanski in the Victoria Derby. Talented horse but clearly has had issues and they will be happy just to see him go around here.

ZARATONE ran 4th behind Burbero in the Missle Stakes last start. He will likely try and cross from barrier 9 to try and lead which should ensure there is a decent tempo in the race. Looks to be outclassed again today though.

KERMADEC is one horse I am really looking forward to seeing this Spring. His Australian Guineas run still makes me sick to think about. Resumes today after winning the Group 1 Doncaster Mile at his last start and while 1600m is his pet distance, he is just as capable of winning this first up over 1400m. Has had two trials leading into this and has been well supported after the scratching of First Seal. He is top pick.

ROYAL DESCENT was named Racing NSW Champion Miler the other night, even though she hasn't won a race in a long, long time. Resumes today off the back of a nice trial win. Has placed in 4 out of 5 runs over 1400m and 11 out of 13 runs at Randwick. Capable of running well fresh and the good draw will help her but I see her as a solid place chance more than a winning hope.

GUST OF WIND finished off a quite remarkable preparation last time in by winning the Group 1 ATC Oaks. She resumes today and is being targeted towards the Melbourne Cup. Her trainer says that she is a really dour two-miler which means she will likely be getting back to last in this field and plugging home. Keep an eye on her going forward for Spring.

Verdict

Although this is a decent field I think we can rule out most of these due to the fact they are horses resuming that will be looking for races further down the track to be competitive in. I really only see a couple of decent chances in this race. KERMADEC goes on top for me. Dominant in the Doncaster Mile and he should have won the Australian Guineas last prep too. He won't be fully wound up today but he still has the ability to win this race over 1400m. BURBERO surprised many last start and he holds a significant fitness edge over plenty of these. The 1400m will suit him better than most here and he can be in the money again. IT'S SOMEWHAT will need luck from barrier 11 but if he gets a decent run in transit he might just give this a shake. His Australian debut was impressive and if he can repeat that he will go close here, while ROYAL DESCENT is a solid place chance resuming from a spell. MESSENE could be the big improver.

1st KERMADEC
2nd
 BURBERO
3rd IT'S SOMEWHAT
4th 
ROYAL DESCENT

 

Promotions

Ladbrokes

Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Warwick Stakes, Race 6 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Ladbrokes horse racing promotion

 

CrownBet

CrownBet Boost: Receive enhanced prices for eight horses across eight different races at Moonee Valley and Randwick on Saturday. Promotion available from 11am-1pm Saturday. Details will be provided on the CrownBet website.

Crownbet Horse Racing Boost

 

Bonus Bet Refund: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on any of the last four races at Moonee Valley or Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

Multi Bonus: Place a Fixed Odds win 3+leg multi on any metro venue this Saturday, and if one leg fails, you'll receive a bonus bet refund up to $50.

Live Vision: CrownBet also offer free streaming vision of all Victorian horse races for its customers on their website, so you can watch Victorian races live.

Luxbet

Place a Win bet on the Warwick Stakes, Race 6 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse wins you'll receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100. Applies to your first bet only.

Sportsbet

Place a Win bet on the Warwick Stakes, Race 6 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd to one of the six Chris Waller trained horses, receive cash back matching your stake up to $100. Applies to your first bet only.

Sportsbet horse racing promotion

 

Bookmaker

Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Show County Quality, Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100.

William Hill Australia

Quaddie Insurance: Place your first quaddie at Randwick this Saturday at William Hill and if your last leg loses, get cash back matching your stake up to $50.

Premium Prices: Receive special over the odds prices on selected horse races this Saturday around the country. Head to the website for more details.

BetStar

Silver Shadow Stakes Bonus Bet: Place a Fixed Odds win bet on the Silver Shadow Stakes, Race 4 at Randwick this Saturday, and if your horse finishes 2nd or 3rd, receive a bonus bet refund matching your stake up to $100. This is definitely worth a short in a six horse race like this one!

Lay of the Day: Get enhanced fixed odds of $5 for Countryman in Race 7 at Randwick this Saturday. Max bet $50.

Centrebet

Power Prices: Receive special over the odds prices on selected horse races this Saturday around the country. Head to the website for more details.

BetHQ

No Loss Weekend! New customers can enjoy a no lose weekend at BetHQ. Get busy on the punt over the weekend, and on Monday morning, if your account has suffered a loss, then the difference will be refunded as a bonus bet up to $500!

TopBetta

Horse Racing Tournaments! Join in regular horse racing tournaments every Saturday at TopBetta! Compete against other punters and whoever can accumulate the most winnings during the day with their tournament dollars will scoop the lion's share of the prize pool! Great fun for a Saturday on the punt with minimal risk and big prize pools.

 

Make sure to read full terms and conditions of any betting promotion before placing any bets. 

_ _ _ 

 

Take note: Any of the tips in this article are simply the author’s opinion, so bet at your own risk and always gamble responsibly.  Also be sure to check out the Before You Bet Twitter Page for all our thoughts in the lead up to bets! Happy punting!

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