Round 14 of the 2026 AFL Premiership Season gets underway this Friday night with another huge daily fantasy contest on offer from Draftstars with over $50,000 in guaranteed prize money in their main daily fantasy tournament.
Friday night brings a key matchup this week with Geelong hosting Gold Coast down at GHMBA Stadium. This matchup looks highly favourable for Geelong on paper and the numbers back that up emphatically. The Cats have won nine consecutive games at GMHBA Stadium by an average margin of 45 points, and Gold Coast have never won in Geelong — losing all eight previous visits there by an average of 65 points. The Suns arrive in difficult circumstances following their QClash loss to Brisbane last week, in which they lost Lachie Weller and Will Graham to hamstring injuries and struggled badly through the midfield against a dominant Lions contested effort. For Geelong, the headline selection news is that Tom Stewart enters concussion protocols and will miss, which is a significant loss to their half-back scoring. However, Lawson Humphries returns from an ankle injury and Mitchell Edwards is set to come back in after being managed against Adelaide. Geelong are installed as 24.5-point favourites, making this a typical lopsided home game down at the Cattery and a game script that strongly favours loading up on Cats players.
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AFL $50,000+ Cats vs Suns
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AFL Daily Fantasy Lineup Tips: Round 14 – Geelong vs Gold Coast
AFL Fantasy Round 14 Thursday: Where to Attack?
The matchup data from the last 10 games is clear and comprehensive — the arrows point firmly toward Geelong midfielders and forwards as the primary attacking angles
The most important number for Geelong stacking purposes is Gold Coast's concession to inside midfielders. The Suns have been giving up over 6 points above league average to inside midfielders over the last 10 games — a generous number that sits as the third most for the position in the league. Bailey Smith, who has had 30 or more disposals in 11 of his last 12 games, steps directly into that concession and should be the undisputed first name in any lineup. The general forward concession by Gold Coast (+2.33) and key forwards (just over league average) make for a great stacking option along with the midfielders, especially considering that the Cats are around 4 goal favourites in this matchup.
For the Cats the best areas to target against them include attacking half backs and wings, noting that their structure and style generally push their opponents into possessing the ball down in this part of the ground. The next area is the ruck, which will be a crucial play point given who is in the lineup for the Suns this week.
Game Script – Geelong inside midfielders and forwards, Gold Coast half backs and ruck
AFL Fantasy Round 14 Friday – Our Value Fantasy Picks
Ned Moyle ($10,080) is the value ruck lock of the slate and the role confirmation is the entire case. With Jarrod Witts out of the Gold Coast lineup, Moyle steps in as the sole ruckman for the Suns on Friday night — full ruck responsibility from the opening bounce. That role clarity at $10,080 is extraordinary value on a single-game slate. The matchup data makes it even more compelling. Geelong have been giving up 11.20 points above league average to the ruck position — one of the highest ruck concessions in the competition over the last 10 games — meaning Moyle walks into the most generous individual ruck matchup on the Friday slate as the outright number one ruckman. His last five scores of 71, 72, 79, 65 and 78 average 73 points in what has been a shared role with Witts throughout the season — remove that sharing arrangement and his floor lifts materially. His last matchup against Geelong was 83 points, his season-high is 99 and at GMHBA Stadium where the ground dimensions generate above-average ruck contest volume, his hitout and ground-level work should drive a score well into the 80-95 range. At $10,080 as a confirmed sole ruckman in the best ruck matchup available on Friday night, he is the value anchor of any Gold Coast-containing lineup.
Jeremy Cameron ($10,970) looks significantly underpriced on this slate and his recent score of 26 last week is almost entirely responsible for the price suppression, creating one of the clearest value opportunities on the board. Before that outlier he posted 89 and 111 in consecutive weeks, and his GMHBA Stadium venue history tells you exactly what he produces at this ground when he gets forward supply. His last five scores at this venue read 111, 94, 141, 64 and 123 — three scores of 111 or above, an average of 107 across those five appearances, and a ceiling of 141 that is one of the highest venue-specific scores posted by any forward in the competition. That 26 came against a physical Sydney defensive setup away from home — Friday night at GMHBA in front of a packed crowd against a Gold Coast defence that gives up above average scores to key forwards. Geelong are expected to spend extended periods in their forward half as 24.5-point favourites, Cameron's marking, goal-kicking and forward pressure will be well supplied. At $10,970 for a player averaging 107 at this exact ground, he is one of the clearest value plays of the entire round.
AFL Fantasy Round 14 Friday – Our Mid Price Fantasy Picks
Tanner Bruhn ($11,710) is the most attractive mid-price value play on the slate and his form run into this game is excellent. He has posted 85, 54, 91, 63 and 101 in his last five for a last-three average of 76.7 and a last-five average that includes two scores above 85. His opponent scores against Gold Coast read 98, 57 and 42 — the 98 is the ceiling reference in this matchup and at GMHBA Stadium his venue scores of 101, 77, 53, 94 and 88 average 82.6 across five appearances. Gold Coast have been giving up above average to inside midfielders and Bruhn attends a meaningful share of Geelong's centre bounces in his hybrid inside/wing role. At $11,710 for a player with a ceiling of 98 in this exact matchup and 101 at this venue, he is outstanding value in any Geelong mid stack.
AFL Fantasy Round 14 Friday – Our Premium Fantasy Picks
John Noble ($14,940) is the standout Gold Coast premium and the case is built around the Geelong designated kicker and general defender concessions, which are both among the worst in the competition. The Cats have been giving up over 7 points above average to half backs Noble has been on fire in recent weeks. His last three scores of 146, 69 and 126 average 113.7 points — a ceiling of 146 just two weeks ago that is one of the highest scores posted by any defender in the competition this season. His opponent scores against Geelong read 115, 46 and 102 — the 46 the outlier in an otherwise strong opponent record and the 115 confirming exactly what is available when the matchup aligns.
Bailey Smith ($17,710) is the premium lock of the slate for the second consecutive week and the numbers require no further advocacy. He has recorded 30 or more disposals in 11 of his last 12 games, averaging 119.5 points across his last 10. His last five scores of 108, 126, 97, 157 and 127 include two scores above 120 and a season-high 157. Gold Coast have been giving up above average to inside midfielders and Bailey Smith is one the most prolific inside midfielder in the competition. His GMHBA Stadium venue scores of 97, 71, 145, 154 and 130 average 119.4 — five appearances at this ground all above 71 and three above 130.
Suggested Draftstars Lineup for AFL Friday
Weather Report for Friday 12th June
GMHBA Stadium (Geelong) — 9 degrees, clear. Cold winter evening, dry conditions. No weather concerns but the temperature will make for a lively crowd atmosphere.
AFL Betting Markets Round 14 Friday
Geelong ($1.22) vs Gold Coast ($3.82)
Points: 177.5
Line: Geelong -22.5
Also, be sure to check out our full AFL Friday Preview and Betting Tips. Our experts break down the game and highlight some key bets that you can follow!
