There were no surprises in Round 16 with games going to script and everyone will be pleased that the bye rounds are now over. Collingwood maintain a clear gap at the top of the AFL ladder, while Adelaide's strong percentage sees them climb into the Top 4. There's nine teams still in contention but only eight spots for finals with the GWS Giants and Gold Coast looking the vulnerable sides on the edge.
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote predictions and projections using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2025 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page and check out the latest Brownlow Odds.
2025 AFL Brownlow Round 16 Overview
A couple of interesting matches in Round 16 in terms of where the Brownlow votes might go. Nick Daicos and Zak Butters should be in the votes, but have they done enought to get the 3? And then there's Jordan Dawson and Connor Rozee who were both good, but we have left them both out of the votes in Round 16. Other notables in the votes in Round 16 and climbing up the leaderboard include Matt Rowell, Isaac Heeney, Jai Newcombe and Andrew Brayshaw.
Check out our 2025 Round 16 Brownlow votes below and our updated 2025 Brownlow leaderboard here!
2025 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 16 Match Analysis
Port Adelaide 16.14.110 def Carlton 8.12.60
Season 2025 goes from bad to worse for the Blues who were thrashed by the Power to kick off Round 16. Zak Butters (30 disposals, 6 clearances), Connor Rozee (30 disposals, 11 marks) and Miles Bergman (25 disposals, 8 marks, 2 goals) were typically prolific with Mitch Georgiades kicking a bag of 5 goals from 11 disposals and 6 marks.
Mitch Georgiades - 3
Zak Butters - 1.5
Miles Bergman - 1.5
Sydney 14.12.96 def by Western Bulldogs 16.9.105
In one of the matches of the year, the Bulldogs did enough to get past the Swans. Joel Freijah was the star for the Dogs with 4 goals from 23 disposals and 7 marks. Lachie Bramble (28 disposals, 1 goal) and Aaron Naughton (18 disposals, 12 marks, 3 goals) were also important. Swan superstar Isaac Heeney was the last player on the ground to touch the ball but he came good with an incredible 5 goals from 21 disposals and 6 clearances. Errol Gulden (30 disposals, 6 marks, 7 tackles) and Brodie Grundy (23 disposals, 6 marks, 43 hitouts, 8 clearances, 1 goal) were also excellent for the Swans.
Joel Freijah - 3
Isaac Heeney - 2
Brodie Grundy - 1
Gold Coast 15.14.104 def Melbourne 12.13.85
This one was all over at quarter-time as the Suns raced to a 6-goal lead and the Dees couldn’t recover. Matt Rowell (24 disposals, 11 tackles, 12 clearances) was a beast in the middle, with Sam Flanders (28 disposals), John Noble (29 disposals, 6 marks) and Noah Anderson (27 disposals) also good contributors. Jake Melksham could’ve had one of the great games as he ended up with 5 goals with 6 behinds from 18 disposals and 8 marks. Kysaiah Pickett (25 disposals, 3 goals) and Christian Petracca (32 disposals, 7 clearances) were also good for Melbourne.
Matt Rowell - 3
Jake Melksham - 2
Kysaiah Pickett - 1
Hawthorn 23.12.150 def North Melbourne 9.11.65
The Hawks crushed the Kangaroos in Launceston in a dominant performance led by Jack Gunston kicking a career-best 7 goals from 15 disposals. Mabior Chol chipped in with 5 goals, 14 disposals and 7 marks, while Jai Newcombe (27 disposals, 6 marks, 9 clearances) and Karl Amon (33 disposals) won plenty of ball. Colby McKercher (34 disposals) was the leading ball winner on the ground while Nick Larkey kicked 5 goals from 14 disposals and 7 marks for the Roos.
Jack Gunston - 3
Mabior Chol - 2
Jai Newcombe - 1
Collingwood 13.10.88 def West Coast 8.11.59
In a match between first and last on the ladder, the Pies had to work hard for it, but eventually they took control to defeat a gallant Eagles team. Nick Daicos (34 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) and Scott Pendlebury (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) are likely to contend for top votes, while Darcy Cameron (19 disposals, 36 hitouts, 8 clearances), Josh Daicos (30 disposals) and Jack Crisp (27 disposals, 7 marks, 6 tackles) were also very good. Liam Baker (35 disposals, 6 tackles) was a stand out for the Eagles.
Scott Pendlebury - 2.5
Nick Daicos - 2.5
Darcy Cameron - 0.5
Josh Daicos - 0.5
Richmond 8.6.54 def by Adelaide 18.14.122
The Crows came to the MCG and did everything they needed to do in defeating Richmond by a healthy margin. It was a breakout game for young gun Daniel Curtin as he collected 26 disposals, 8 marks and 2 goals in a best-on-ground performance. Riley Thilthorpe (5 goals, 16 disposals, 6 marks) was a beast up forward, while the back line of Wayne Milera (27 disposals, 11 marks), Josh Worrell (24 disposals, 11 marks) and Rory Laird (26 disposals, 8 marks) were all over the young Tigers. Brownlow fancy Jordan Dawson had 26 disposals, 6 tackles and 7 clearances but might just miss the votes here.
Daniel Curtin - 3
Riley Thilthorpe - 2
Wayne Milera - 1
Fremantle 11.15.81 def St Kilda 9.15.69
Fremantle stormed home in the final quarter to pinch the win against the Saints. Jordan Clark (31 disposals, 10 marks, 1 goal) was a stand out with his run and drive from half back, while Luke Jackson (15 disposals, 8 tackles, 16 hitouts, 2 goals) and Andrew Brayshaw (25 disposals, 6 tackles) were both important in the win. Rowan Marshall (22 disposals, 6 tackles, 26 hitouts, 10 clearances, 1 goal), Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (28 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) and Jack Macrae (26 disposals, 7 clearances) are all a chance for a minor vote.
Jordan Clark - 3
Luke Jackson - 2
Andrew Brayshaw - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
