Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 10th

July 10th 2019, 8:44pm, By: tim_tips

Welcome to our preview and horse racing betting tips for racing at Happy Valley on Wednesday, July 10th.

It's the final meeting at Happy Valley for the 2018/19 Hong Kong racing season and it should be an absolute cracker with Zac Purton chasing down Joao Moreira's record of 170 wins in a single season.

We've got nine races on the card and you can find our preview and betting tips below!

Happy Valley Racing Tips: Wednesday, July 10th

Best Bet: Race 4 - (2) Touch Of Luck

Best Value Bet: Race 9 - (7) Perfect Glory

Race 1

The two favourites should jump to the lead here. (1) Look Eras drops back to Class 4 after racing in Class 3 recently at his past two starts. He's acquitted himself well in those races and prior to that he placed in four straight races in Class 4. Three of those were at this track and distance - in fact, he's placed in seven of his nine starts over the 1000m at Happy Valley. Barrier 1 is a huge advantage for him so he has absolutely no excuses tonight. He just struggles to get his head in front with three wins from 39 starts. (4) Aquila will be urged to sit outside him from barrier 12. The barrier hurts him but if Purton can get across early, I think he'll dominate the race in terms of putting the other horse to the sword. He's going to be very hungry for winners tonight as he chases the record, and this horse has plenty more to come given he's had just two starts to date.

Race 2

The barrier means (2) Love Chunghwa will go straight to the back of the field. In all likelihood we will see Purton hug the rail and try to save all the ground on the inside in the straight. Whether he can make up the ground is the issue but he's racing well and he obviously gets a big jockey change tonight. I won't be losing on him. (10) Bonito has suddenly discovered form. He's got a win and two 2nds from his past three starts, which are the only times he's placed from 17 career starts. Draws well tonight and the jockey is going really well so he should race well all things considered. Not discounting (12) Master Bernini at double figure odds, while (3) Regency Gem and (6) Open House are chances.

Race 3

(2) Lady First drops to Class 4 for the first time since arriving in Hong Kong more than two years ago. The 1200m trip is a bit of a query but this is the easiest race she's competed in and Purton jumps on. The champ has had nine rides this season for trainer Jimmy Ting, resulting in four winners and a 74% ROI. (8) Lightning Treasure and (12) Compassion Star can race well down in the weights with good barrier draws.

Race 4

Looks a nice race for (2) Touch Of Luck to bounce back from a slightly disappointing performance last start on the dirt at Sha Tin. Perhaps he's a bit high in the handicap now but he does find a very winnable race. While it seems he's drawn a bit awkward in barrier 9, that's actually the most successful barrier over this track and distance on the A course this season. Purton and Moore have struck at 40% this season with a 43% ROI and $3.00 is an acceptable price. (5) Charity Wings is racing OK and can run a good race here at nearly double figure odds, while (9) Dream Warriors looks the obvious danger.

Race 5

Backing two at each way odds here but will be saving on (5) High Rev with Purton on board of course. He would have been top pick but barrier 12 hurts. Purton could ride a broomstick home at the moment though. (7) Shining On was well-backed last start and finished off his race really well. He draws the plum barrier 1 tonight so that should give him his chance to win, though he does struggle to get his head in front. He's a double figure odds chance so only something small on. (9) Diamond Legend has placed in his past two starts and starts from the same barrier as he did when finishing 2nd here last start. He can run well again at each way odds.

TIP:

(7) Shining On
$10

BET NOW AT Ladbrokes

Also backing: (9) Diamond Legend $8.50

Race 6

(1) Hong Kong Bet goes on top. He was a winner here three starts ago when he drew barrier 1, which is a big advantage over this track and distance. He then ran 2nd from a wider barrier before being outclassed in good company at Sha Tin last start. Back to Happy Valley tonight, carries top weight but gets the all important inside barrier draw. He'll be hard to beat. The Purton runner is (5) Jumbo Happiness, who is a decent price at $6.00. He's first up tonight, which is probably a good thing as he meets a lot of tired horses. First up last prep he wasn't beaten far over 1200m here. Drawn well and will go close. (7) Special Stars is also first up tonight and he's already a dual winner over the track and distance. Size/Moreira combination so he's the logical danger to the two above.

Race 7

A very competitive race overall so there's only one horse I'll be playing on. Vinnie Ho might be able to get (8) Mr Picaso home here at double figure odds. He was good first up when beaten less than a length and although his second up record has historically been poor, his runs in Hong Kong when second up from a break have actually been quite good. Drawn well in the middle of the line and could go well so something small on him eachway.

Race 8

I'll be keeping this simple and backing (2) True Grit and saving on (3) Tashidelek. True Grit has been very impressive this preparation, winning all four starts. All four have been over the 1650m here at Happy Valley but he steps up to 1800m tonight. That won't be an issue as he relaxes so well. He carries weight tonight and is right up the top of Class 3 but he could still win again. Tashidelek went down as the short-priced favourite last start, beaten a short head. He draws well again tonight and should be right in the finish. He's at even money so equal stakes on the both of them.

Race 9

Great race to finish off with. The favourite (8) Sunny Boy will be hard to beat. He won two starts back and then was narrowly defeated last start after beginning from barrier 12. He draws much better tonight so expect another good run. But it would be wrong of me not to back Purton in the last. (7) Perfect Glory won here first up with a big weight in easier class but he hasn't had much go right for him in his past two starts. Purton jumps on tonight and he's drawn well so he'll be much closer to the pace than he was last start. He's got a good record at the track and distance so at each way odds I'll play (still $8 available). (6) Waldorf draws barrier 1 and has been on a winning run. He can measure up here at a similar price.

TIPS

Horse Racing Tips: Monday, July 22nd

The new week of racing kicks off with racing at Goulburn, Scone and Ballarat Synthetic on Monday. Luke Krahe gives us his best bets for each track here! read more

2019 AFL: Round 18 Sunday Preview & Betting Tips

Round 18 of the 2019 AFL Premiership Season continues on Sunday with three important fixtures set to play out. As always, we preview each match and provide our best bet. Check them out here! read more

Horse Racing Tips: Sunday, July 21st

We round out the weekend with our best bets for Sunday's horse racing at Coffs Harbour, Narrandera and the Sunshine Coast. Find them in Luke Krahe's preview here! read more

2019 Tour de France: Stage 14 Betting Tips

Stage 14 marks the first of the big mountain stages in the 2019 Tour de France and to celebrate, we have a full preview and betting tips for the Saturday night stage here read more

ARTICLES

Major Harness Races in Australasia

There are approximately 90 Group 1 level harness races in Australia and New Zealand each year; we've highlighted some of most high profile races on the annual racing calendar here. read more


Harness racing form: what are the most important things to consider

Harness racing form can be daunting to punters that are new to the sport and form analysis for the trots is certainly different to that of the gallops or greyhounds. We've listed what we think the most important factors to consider are when studying the form for a trots race. read more


Harness Racing Barrier Draws

Barrier draws are crucial in racing and they are especially important in harness racing. We've explained why barriers are such a key part of harness racing form study and their importance to determining a horse's chances here. read more


Harness Racing Glossary

There are many common terms used in harness racing that may not make sense to those new to the sport. Our harness racing glossary will help you understand what some of the key terminology means. read more


BLOGS

2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Round 17

Round 17 of the 2019 AFL season is in the books, and according to our Brownlow vote projections, we have a new leader! Whether we're right or wrong, it's going to be an exciting count this year! Check out our thoughts and Brownlow votes for Round 17. read more


2019 AFL Round 18 Odds

Round 18 in the AFL season gets underway on Friday night with a fantastic clash between the Crows and Bombers! We have all of the odds for Round 18 courtesy of Bet365 here read more


2019 AFL Round 17 Odds

Round 17 of the AFL season offers a great slate of games headlined by the Grand Final rematch on Friday night between the Eagles and Magpies! We have all of the odds for Round 17 courtesy of Ladbrokes here! read more


2019 AFL Brownlow Medal Votes Predictions Round 16

Round 16 in the AFL offered up some thrilling contests and some outstanding individual performances! We take a look at each of the nine games and break down how we think the Brownlow votes will be dished out here read more


Ladbrokes