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2023 AFL Brownlow Medal: Round 8 Votes

May 9th 2023, 11:09am, By: Brownlow Bandit

The 2023 AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!

As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the season, along with our vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.

For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.

2023 AFL Brownlow Round 8 Overview

There were plenty of stand out performances in Round 8 of the season, with some monstrous fantasy scoring and possession counts. Marcus Bontempelli is back up with the leaders, while Tom Green was almost as good in their epic showdown. Josh Dunkley and Andrew Brayshaw were back to their best while Christian Petracca and Clayton Oliver continue to accumulate Brownlow votes.

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2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 8 Match Analysis

Carlton 11.8.74 def by Brisbane 15.10.100

The Lions kicked off Round 8 with a strong win over the Blues to confirm their position as a premiership contender. Josh Dunkley was back to his old best with a massive game - 33 disposals, 11 marks, 13 tackles, 6 clearances and a huge 172 AFL Fantasy points. Hugh McLuggage (27 disposals, 6 clearances) and Jarrod Berry (29 disposals, 9 marks) had better games, and Charlie Cameron finished their work with 4 goals from 12 disposals and 6 tackles. Special mention to the great work of Jack Payne (13 disposals, 9 marks) who was a blanket on Charlie Curnow to keep him to just 1 goal. Adam Cerra (33 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances,1 goal) and Sam Docherty (28 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles,1 goal) were best for the Blues.

Josh Dunkley - 3
Adam Cerra - 2
Jack Payne - 1

Richmond 15.14.104 def West Coast 8.10.58

The Tigers took a while to shake off the Eagles but kicked clear in the second half for a much-needed win. Shai Bolton was the star with 31 disposals, 8 marks, 7 clearances and 3 goals in a brilliant showing. Tim Taranto (30 disposals, 10 clearances, 2 goals), Jacob Hopper (32 disposals, 10 clearances, 1 goal), Dion Prestia (23 disposals, 3 goals) and Dustin Martin (27 disposals, 1 goal) were all very good. Dom Sheed (29 disposals, 7 marks, 9 clearances) and Jamaine Jones (30 disposals, 7 marks) were best for the Eagles.

Shai Bolton - 3
Tim Taranto - 2
Dion Prestia - 1

Geelong 14.14.98 def Adelaide 11.6.72

The Cats had to fight but landed the win at home in a game that might be tricky for Brownlow votes. Max Holmes (22 disposals, 8 tackles, 1 goal), Tom Stewart (24 disposals, 8 marks) and Jeremy Cameron (15 disposals, 3 goals) were good, while Esava Ratugolea impressed with 13 disposals and 8 marks in defence. Jordan Dawson led the ball winners for the match with 29 disposals and 6 tackles.

Max Holmes - 3
Jordan Dawson - 2
Tom Stewart - 1

Gold Coast Suns 13.7.85 def by Melbourne 13.12.90

The Dees will be relieved to escape with the points away from home as they scraped home against the gallant Suns. The best on ground was arguably from the losing side as Noah Anderson was elite with 36 disposals, 10 clearances, 5 tackles and a goal. Wil Powell (25 disposals, 11 marks) and Darcy Macpherson (30 disposals, 7 marks) were best for the Suns. For the Dees, it was tough to find clear winners. Clayton Oliver (28 disposals, 6 marks, 6 clearances) was below his best but willed his side home in the last quarter. Christian Petracca (26 disposals, 1 goal) and Max Gawn (15 disposals, 6 marks, 17 hitouts, 2 goals) were also important.

Noah Anderson - 3
Christian Petracca - 1
Clayton Oliver - 1
Wil Powell - 1

GWS Giants 10.11.71 def by Western Bulldogs 13.8.86

The Dogs scrapped a win against the Giants to move into the eight in tough conditions in Canberra. Marcus Bontempelli was immense with 32 disposals (25 contested), 7 tackles, 14 clearances and a goal. He went head-to-head with Tom Green who was almost as good with 38 disposals, 9 tackles, 8 clearances, 3 goals and a whopping 170 AFL Fantasy points. It’s only a question of who will get the 1 Brownlow vote. One of Tim English (23 disposals, 10 marks, 40 hitouts), Bailey Smith (32 disposals), Josh Kelly (34 disposals, 6 tackles) and Lachie Whitfield (31 disposals, 10 marks) would seem most likely.

Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Tom Green - 2
Tim English - 1

Fremantle 18.9.117 def Hawthorn 7.6.48

Fremantle did what they had to do with a sizable victory over the Hawks. Andrew Brayshaw was back to his best with 34 disposals, 9 marks, 8 tackles and 2 goals to be best. Luke Jackson (24 disposals, 6 marks, 7 tackles, 2 goals) played his best game for his new club, with Jaegar O’Meara (26 disposals, 6 clearances) and Hayden Young (26 disposals, 8 marks) also very good. Will Day was once again one of the best for the Hawks with 26 disposals, 7 clearances and a goal.

Andrew Brayshaw - 2.5
Luke Jackson - 2.5
Jaegar O’Meara - 0.5
Hayden Young - 0.5

Port Adelaide 12.20.92 def Essendon 13.9.87

They kicked less goals than the Bombers, but the Power got away with the win. Zac Butters (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances) and Connor Rozee (29 disposals, 1 goal) led the way for the Power, while Darcy Parish (37 disposals, 9 clearances) and Zach Merrett (28 disposals, 10 tackles, 1 goal) were prolific for the Bombers.

Zac Butters - 3
Darcy Parish - 1
Connor Rozee - 1
Zach Merrett - 1

Collingwood 11.11.77 def Sydney 6.12.48

The Pies winning run continues after overcoming the Swans in a fiery contest. Scott Pendlebury (31 disposals) and Isaac Quaynor (22 disposals, 9 marks) were best for the Pies, while Brody Mihocek had a career-best haul of 5 goals from his 10 disposals. The Swans won plenty of ball with Errol Gulden (37 disposals, 13 marks, 7 clearances), Luke Parker (34 disposals) and Callum Mills (31 disposals, 9 marks) among the leading disposal winners, but they couldn’t convert that onto the scoreboard.

Scott Pendlebury - 3
Errol Gulden - 2
Brody Mihocek - 1

North Melbourne 4.10.34 def by St Kilda 8.16.64

It wasn’t exactly an advert for AFL footy as the Saints did what they had to do over the Kangaroos in a pretty ugly scrap. Callum Wilkie (28 disposals, 9 marks) controlled from half-back, alongside Liam Stocker (25 disposals, 16 marks) and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (28 disposals, 11 marks). Jack Ziebell (36 disposals, 18 marks), Harry Sheezel (30 disposals, 8 marks) and Liam Shiels (28 disposals, 9 tackles, 7 marks) tried hard on another low day for the Roos.

Callum Wilkie - 3
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera - 2
Jack Ziebell - 1

 

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For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.

If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.

 

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