The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
2023 AFL Brownlow Round 16 Overview
Back to regular scheduling for Round 16 of the AFL season, and this is the round where Nick Daicos reclaimed overwhelming favouritism for the 2023 Brownlow Medal. Back-to-back best afield matches for Daicos should have him well in front at this point and he will be hard to beat from here.
A couple of other contenders were quiet, but Marcus Bontempelli, Lachie Neale and Christian Petracca may be in the votes for Round 16, but they've got some work ahead of them to catch Daicos now.
Check out our Round 16 Brownlow votes below!
2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 16 Match Analysis
Brisbane 20.14.134 def Richmond 7.11.53
The Lions were far too good for the Tigers in a rather lacklustre start to Round 16. It might be tough to split the best Lions players with Lachie Neale (34 disposals, 8 marks, 10 clearances, 2 goals), Hugh McLuggage (34 disposals, 6 marks) and Joe Daniher (5 goals, 19 disposals, 10 marks) all exceptional. Noah Balta (24 disposals, 7 marks) and Jacob Hopper (22 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals) were best for the Tigers.
Lachie Neale - 2.5
Hugh McLuggage - 2.5
Joe Daniher - 1
Sydney 6.18.54 drew with Geelong 7.12.54
A wasteful Sydney were probably fortunate to pinch a draw in the end against the more efficient Geelong side. Draws are always a little tricky for votes but Errol Gulden (26 disposals, 9 tackles), Nick Blakey (29 disposals), and Luke Parker (27 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) were valuable for Sydney, while Gryan Miers (27 disposals, 1 goal) and Zach Tuohy (28 disposals) showcased their foot skills for the Cats.
Errol Gulden - 3
Nick Blakey - 1
Gryan Miers - 1
Zach Tuohy - 1
Adelaide 21.12.138 def North Melbourne 11.6.72
The Crows were always in control and kicked clear in the second half against the Roos. Reilly O’Brien was a dominant big man with 15 disposals, 52 hitouts, 6 clearances and 2 goals in one of his best games. Ben Keays (29 disposals, 7 tackles, 2 goals), Jordan Dawson (28 disposals, 8 marks, 8 tackles) and Mitchell Hinge (26 disposals, 10 marks) were also excellent, while Izak Rankine finished their efforts with 5 goals from his 17 disposals and 6 marks. The votes could go any number of ways here. Harry Sheezel (31 disposals) was best for North.
Reilly O’Brien - 3
Ben Keays - 2
Izak Rankine - 1
Western Bulldogs 16.6.102 def Fremantle 11.7.73
The Bulldogs put themselves into the thick of the top eight with a good win over the Dockers. Marcus Bontempelli (27 disposals, 6 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal), Tom Liberatore (21 disposals, 9 tackles, 9 clearances) and Jack Macrae (24 disposals, 8 tackles, 9 clearances, 1 goal) were the standout ball winners for the Dogs, while Jamarra Ugle-Hagan showed his class up forward with 4 goals from 15 disposals and 9 marks. Caleb Serong should be in the votes for his 38 disposals, 7 tackles and 10 clearances, while Liam Henry (33 disposals) was left to run rampant on the wing.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Caleb Serong - 2
Jamarra Ugle-Hagan - 1
Gold Coast 5.12.42 def by Collingwood 18.12.120
It was supposed to be the biggest match in the Suns’ history but they blew it with a mauling at the hands of the Pies. Nick Daicos put one hand on the Brownlow with another best afield display with 36 disposals, 10 tackles, 7 clearances and a goal. Tom Mitchell (30 disposals), John Noble (30 disposals, 1 goal) and Jamie Elliott (5 goals, 11 disposals, 6 marks) were also good contributors. Noah Anderson (35 disposals, 8 marks, 7 clearances) tried hard for Gold Coast.
Nick Daicos - 3
John Noble - 1.5
Jamie Elliott - 1.5
Essendon 10.14.74 def by Port Adelaide 11.12.78
An amazing finish saw Dan Houston land a 55 metre bomb after the siren to put a dagger through the heart of Bombers fans. It capped off a great game for Houston who had 32 disposals, 7 marks and the match winner. Connor Rozee (23 disposals, 9 marks, 9 tackles, 3 goals), Zak Butters (25 disposals, 8 marks, 1 goal) and Kane Farrell (25 disposals, 7 marks, 1 goal) were also valuable for the Power. Darcy Parish (29 disposals, 7 marks, 7 tackles) and Zach Merrett (31 disposals) were typically busy for the Bombers.
Dan Houston - 3
Connor Rozee - 2
Kane Farrell - 0.5
Zak Butters - 0.5
Hawthorn 7.10.52 def by Carlton 17.10.112
Back-to-back wins for the Blues has given them a sniff of September action after defeating a poor Hawthorn side. Adam Cerra (27 disposals, 7 tackles, 6 clearances, 2 goals) was super while Patrick Cripps (28 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances) showed glimpses of his Brownlow best. Sam Docherty (26 disposals, 6 marks, 1 goal) and Harry McKay (19 disposals, 8 marks, 5 tackles, 2 goals) were also valuable for the Blues. Josh Ward picked up 28 disposals for the Hawks in his first game back from injury.
Adam Cerra - 3
Patrick Cripps - 2
Harry McKay - 1
Melbourne 5.15.45 def by GWS Giants 7.5.47
The Dees will rue wasting their opportunities in wet conditions as Josh Kelly (26 disposals, 2 goal) kicked the match winning goal in the dying moments to steal victory for the Giants. Jack Viney was best afield with 41 disposals, 7 tackles and 7 clearances in the losing effort, with Christian Petracca (34 disposals) and Lachie Hunter (30 disposals) also good for the Dees. Tom Green enjoyed the heavy conditions with 38 disposals) with Stephen Coniglio (30 disposals) and Harry Himmelberg (28 disposals) also prominent.
Jack Viney - 3
Josh Kelly - 2
Christian Petracca - 1
West Coast 12.5.77 def by St Kilda 12.13.85
The Eagles put up one of their best showings in months, giving the Saints a big scare before succumbing late. Brad Crouch (26 disposals, 17 tackles, 7 clearances) was a beast, with Rowan Marshall (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 34 hitouts, 8 clearances), Mitch Owens (4 goals, 14 disposals) and Jack Sinclair (30 disposals) best for the Saints. Luke Shuey (28 disposals, 9 tackles, 8 clearances) was immense while the West Coast defenders were busy and controlled the ball with Tom Barrass (20 disposals, 14 marks), Shannon Hurn (30 disposals, 13 marks) and Alex Witherden (29 disposals, 12 marks) racking up plenty of touches.
Luke Shuey - 3
Brad Crouch - 1
Rowan Marshall - 1
Mitch Owens - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
