The AFL season rolls on as we continue with our in-depth 2023 Brownlow Medal coverage. Every game, every round, we'll have 2023 Brownlow Medal tips, analysis and information, to make your 2023 Brownlow Medal night a profitable one!
As usual, we’ll share our thoughts from every match of the AFL season, along with our Brownlow vote allocations using our own system which has a proven profitable history over many years. For full details on how it works, see the section at the bottom of the page. We hope you'll use our free Brownlow tips to help you find value during the season and built a green book before the big night.
For links to every round of the season and full count, head to our 2023 Brownlow Medal Leaderboard page.
2023 AFL Brownlow Round 14 Overview
The bye rounds continued with just the six matches this round so several stars enjoying a week off. However those who were busy during Round 14 action included Tim Taranto, Marcus Bontempelli, Toby Greene, Lachie Neale and reigning Brownlow medallist Patrick Cripps who had one of his best games for the year.
Taranto is the big mover in the Brownlow betting markets on Betfair as he's been smashed in from $27 a few weeks ago to around $7 now and into third favourite behind only Nick Daicos and Zac Butters. There's plenty of debate as to whether Taranto's massive stats accumulation is effective and influential during his matches. We certainly make consideration as to disposal efficiency and don't just look at the raw stats, but whichever way you want to spin it, Taranto has been enormous this season and we now have him as our new Brownlow leader after Round 14!
Let's see where our Round 14 Brownlow votes went!
2023 AFL Brownlow Votes - Round 14 Match Analysis
Port Adelaide 16.14.110 def Geelong 11.6.72
The Cats jumped out of the blocks but the Power ran them down to confirm themselves as a legitimate premiership contender with their 11th straight victory. Dan Houston was superb across half-back with 31 disposals, 7 marks and 6 clearances to be Port’s best. Ollie Wines (28 disposals, 6 tackles) and Connor Rozee (25 disposals, 6 tackles) won plenty of ball, Todd Marshall (15 disposals, 7 marks, 3 goals) and Jeremy Finlayson (10 disposals, 7 marks, 4 goals) hit the scoreboard, while Aliir Aliir (14 disposals, 12 marks) did a great job on Tom Hawkins. Zak Butters (23 disposals, 8 clearances, 1 goal) was solid but his mighty Brownlow run of votes might come to a halt here. Max Holmes (24 disposals, 7 tackles, 7 clearances) was best for the Cats.
Dan Houston - 3
Ollie Wines - 2
Todd Marshall - 1
Brisbane 13.19.97 def Sydney 12.9.81
The Lions did enough to hold on for an important win against the Swans. Zac Bailey (26 disposals, 6 tackles, 2 goals) was back to his best, with Lachie Neale (29 disposals, 7 tackles, 10 clearances) and Josh Dunkley (28 disposals, 8 tackles) good accumulators, while Oscar McInerney (18 disposals, 48 hitouts, 6 tackles, 8 clearances, 1 goal) was dominant in the ruck. Luke Parker (24 disposals, 11 tackles, 10 clearances, 1 goal) and Errol Gulden (27 disposals, 2 goals) stood tall for the Swans, while Harry Cunningham did an excellent shutdown job on Charlie Cameron.
Zac Bailey - 3
Lachie Neale - 2
Oscar McInerney - 1
GWS Giants 16.10.106 def Fremantle 5.6.36
The Giants were far too strong as the Dockers will be very disappointed with their efforts in this one. Josh Kelly returned from injury to rack up 33 disposals, 8 clearances and 3 goals to be best, with Tom Green (31 disposals, 6 tackles, 6 clearances) and Stephen Coniglio (31 disposals, 6 clearances) also winning plenty of ball. Up forward Toby Greene was again influential with 4 goals from 16 disposals, while Jake Riccardi chipped in with 5 goals from 15 disposals and 8 marks. Caleb Serong was best for the Dockers with 32 disposals and a goal.
Josh Kelly - 3
Toby Greene - 2
Jake Riccardi - 0.5
Tom Green - 0.5
Richmond 13.12.90 def St Kilda 11.4.70
The rains arrived to make it a desperate wet-weather slog in the second half as the Tigers did enough to hang on for the win. It was Trent Cotchin’s 300th game and he was superb with 29 disposals, 5 tackles and 2 goals and will likely be in the Brownlow votes. Tim Taranto was relentless with 38 disposals, 10 tackles, 6 clearances and a goal, while Dusty Martin was at his best with 35 disposals and 6 clearances. Perhaps the most vital cog was Nick Vlastuin who was excellent across half-back with 23 disposals, 9 marks and a goal. It’s pretty rough that one of those four will miss out on the votes.
Tim Taranto - 3
Nick Vlastuin - 1
Trent Cotchin - 1
Dustin Martin - 1
Carlton 18.12.120 def Gold Coast 8.13.61
Carlton fans finally have something to cheer about as they thrashed the Suns at the G. Adam Cerra (27 disposals, 6 tackles, 8 clearances, 2 goals), Patrick Cripps (27 disposals, 7 clearances, 3 goals), Matthew Kennedy (27 disposals, 9 clearances, 1 goal) and Sam Docherty (32 disposals, 9 marks) all won plenty of ball, and hit the scoreboard, to setup the victory. Noah Anderson (27 disposals, 7 marks) and Ben Ainsworth (22 disposals, 6 marks, 2 goals) tried hard for the Suns.
Adam Cerra - 3
Patrick Cripps - 2
Sam Docherty - 1
North Melbourne 13.6.84 def by Western Bulldogs 15.15.105
Once again the Kangaroos were competitive in an honourable loss as the Bulldogs got the job done. Cody Weightman had a day out with 6 goals from 13 disposals and 7 marks, but he might get pipped for the three Brownlow votes by Marcus Bontempelli who was outstanding with 32 disposals, 11 tackles, 8 clearances and 3 goals. Adam Treloar (34 disposals, 7 clearances, 1 goal) will also be in contention for votes. Harry Sheezel continued his excellent start to his career with 32 disposals for the Roos.
Marcus Bontempelli - 3
Cody Weightman - 2
Adam Treloar - 1
For those who need a refresher on how our Brownlow vote predictor system works, we assign 6 votes per game so that our total votes are the same as the official 3-2-1 system, however we break up those votes as we see fit across potentially more than three players. Some games are really tough to call which way the votes will go, so a better predictive model is to split performances and assign half points to each player where there is doubt. So for example if two players dominate and it's too hard to split their performance, they are given 2.5 votes each, with the remaining 1 vote given to another player(s). This will give us a predictive total closer to their true total, rather than guessing. We can then form a 'range' for each player (i.e. a min and max we think players can poll) with the thinking behind this that the variations from the half votes will even out over the long term.
If you intend on using our Brownlow votes to bet why not consider one of the best Australian sports betting sites which offer some great features for new customers. Also be sure to check out our Twitter page at @Before_You_Bet and continue returning to the site for our AFL tips.
